@drsparwaga You know my old bet ... It's China that enters economic depression will crash hard and send the wave to the rest of the world using USDCNH BIG UP trade...
This is $SVIX and its (W)MA200.
Once this level will be taken down US will flip into massive downturn.
There're massive signs I believe this spike > (W)MA200 is a massive short volatility bull trap...
The moment I believe USDCNH bounce up, SVIX will plunge into oblivion... Basic math...
Last week I told if we plunge at the end of session we might have Black Monday - this statement was based on assumption SVIX will close below (W)MA200.
@ezkappdo@Marenemf Exactly. It's a warning (just warning) which you can ignore at your own risk.
I bet it'll materialize, but that's my opinion. Probability I'm right raising the moment this retest will be rejected.
NVDA/SOX ... + $NVDA
Are we observing "THE END of NVIDIA" after this (W)MA200 retest, the same moment NVDA jumping below key 212$ level?
I'll risk the thesis - YES WE ARE...
NVDA keeps its rotation since October 2025 (magical 4Q25).
If this retest NVDA/SOX will be completed on (W)MA200 (and later confirmed by (M)MA50) - Nvidia is officially FINISHED.
Magical moment...
And here comes another points related to $NVDA
1/ NVDA/SOX retesting (W)MA200 from the bottom so far
2/ NVDA/GOLD made multiple top.
The clouds are very grey over NVIDIA. If those retests are valid, especially #1, we're about to see big NVIDIA drop vs SOX...
@drsparwaga It doesn't work like this :) ...
Many times I said ->
yes we can still have bond bull market but let's move -50% lower in 4 weeks and let's jump unemployment till 20-30%...
Who smokes this crack keeping QQQ +0.4%, while $USO is +3%
QQQ/USO - keeps crashing... Blue (M)MA200 target, once broken we have "THE END OF TECH ERA"...
The moment USO retests (M)MA200 from the top look on $SNDK ...
1/ First -57% drop
2/ Bounce
3/ 0.618 (the most common dead-cat bounce level)
4/ The question what SNDK is going to do once USO starts move up.
AT&T $T - the more you touch the trend line, the faster you'll break this trend line ... How beautiful break - retest and plunge has been completed :