Love it and I agree wholeheartedly. I do think that if we survive the existential threats we face there is a good chance that we have all of our material needs met, but to your point the more important question is quickly becoming our metaphysical needs. For that we need to understand consciousness (we have no clue whatsoever what it is) and, yes, internalizing wisdom is a good way of putting it. 👏
>Millenarianism, a belief that we are on the cusp of a total transformation of society, is a known way that people go crazy
on the contrary, the “end of the world” is a highly convergent belief that shows up in every generation, and seems to keep people sane / lets them find purpose in a complex world. if the world is ending, it makes your next steps very clear: you better do everything you can to stop it from ending, and if that’s not possible you need to make things right for when you meet your Maker
@MattPirkowski No I mean, putting aside a future where there is a UHI, what is the likely future you see happening and, if different, what is the future would like to see happen?
My intuition is that consciousness is required for true creativity, and that AI will either never be conscious or will not be conscious for a long time. Therefore, what is not going to be automated for a long time is creativity.
@lucifer5670 Interesting, but this could also be interpreted (even if not the creator’s intention) as a future in which everyone has their needs met but some CHOOSE to enter into this competition out of boredom.
@mikepat711 Great point. And the haters are like “No person will ever be able to do that so what’s the point.” In their minds it’s a negative they’re able to build a robot flying car
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say it with me now. experts are fake, smart generalists rule the world, everything is designed by people no smarter than you, and courage is in shorter supply than genius
On the one hand, I think a strong case can be made that we have made much less progress on AI capabilities than many assume. Frontier AI systems still struggle to learn from limited examples, learn continually from experience, and interact effectively with the physical world. More broadly, their competence is highly uneven. Superhuman performance on tasks they excel at (e.g., maths and coding, where training data can be generated at scale) doesn’t mean they will excel at the much messier tasks involved in most white-collar work.
On the other hand, nobody should find this assessment that comforting. It suggests there is vast room to improve the capabilities of existing systems by changing their design and algorithms. In other words, we could have vastly more powerful systems with the same amount of computing power.
Given that many of the world’s smartest people, assisted by already very capable AI systems and backed by vast resources, are working to accelerate AI research and development, even those sceptical of the current paradigm need to be prepared for the possibility of explosive change once certain capabilities are cracked.
I hope so and agree this is the way. I’ve found dots very disappointing mainly because it can only connect to one computer at a time. Presumably they will fix that but in general OpenAI seems to have a problem keeping it simple. FWIW Claude has always been my #1 recommendation for normies and still is.