Success is not built on success.
It's built on failure.
It's built on frustration.
It's built on fear that you have to overcome.
I pray that anyone who reads this will be successful in life.
All eyes on the weekly close.
Lock in that higher low on the weekly RSI, and my first DCA trigger hits.
Will start slow, and accelerate accumulation as more signals flash :)
$BTC
my dad paid $1,200 a year in property taxes in 1999
same house today
$33,000 a year
thatβs $2,750 a month
just to stay in a house you already own
you never actually own anything
you just rent it from the government forever
Best advice for new traders to the markets:
50% of your trading portfolio in the S&P 500, 50% you trade. Profits you make go back into the S&P 500, and if you don't make profits then you just learned a valuable lesson early to just put 100% into the S&P 500 long term.
My Super Cycle Prediction.
1972 Gold vs $BTC.
Precious metals enter a multi-year bear market. Gold and silver top out and trend lower into what could become a 5-7-year decline.
Then... capital flows into the only major asset that hasn't been inflated.
Millennials living through:
- 2 economic recessions
- 9/11
- Iraq & Afghanistan
- a global pandemic
- 8 stock market crashes
- jobs replaced by AI
- Host of The Apprentice possibly starting WW3
Weβre tired boss.
JUNE 2028.
The S&P is down 38% from its highs. Unemployment just printed 10.2%. Private credit is unraveling. Prime mortgages are cracking. AI didnβt disappoint. It exceeded every expectation.
What happened?ββββββββββββββββ
https://t.co/JzzwCrbJgS
There are many that are thinking about $BTC bouncing to 80k+ and then heading lower...I'm not sure. I'm more of the opinion that we either bottom *around* here or we just leg down. If you look at these consolidations in the past, they're either the bottom or just fuel for a leg lower.
Gimme more tweets like this one as this year progresses and some more drawdown in pain in Bitcoin.
That'll make the perfect recipe for generational longs for the next cycle.
I know no one wants to hear bullish ideas and everyone is scared and wants to fling poo at each other... but the Road to Valhalla is getting very close.
If global liquidity is the single most dominant macro factor then we MUST focus on that.
REMEMBER - THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN IS ROLLING $10TRN IN DEBT. EVERYTHING ELSE IS A SIDESHOW. THIS IS THE GAME OF THE NEXT 12 MONTHS.
Currently the gov shutdown has forced a sharp tightening of liquidity as the TGA builds up with no where to spend it.
This is not offset by the ability to drain the Reverse Repo (it is drained). And QT drains it further.
This is hitting markets and in particular crypto which is the most liquidity driven. TradiFi asset managers have had one of their worst years of performance vs benchmark and are now having to chase markets and that is allowing tech to be more stable than crypto. 401K flows help too. If this liquidity drain keeps going longer, stocks will get hit hard too.
However...
As soon as the gov shutdown ends, the Treasury begins spending $250bn to $350bn in a couple of months. QT ends and the balance sheet technically expands.
The Dollar will likely begin to weaken again as liquidity begins to flow. Tariff negiotiations will have largely been completed, removing uncertainty
Ongoing bill issuance increases, adding more liquidity via bank balance sheets and money market funds (and stable coins).
Ongoing rate cuts (we will have economic weakness from the shutdown that will add to the evidence that rates need to come lower but no, there is no recession)..
SLR changes free up more of the banks balance sheets allowing for credit expansion.
The CLARITY ACT will get passed, giving the crypto regs so deserately needed for large scale adoption by banks, asset managers and businesses overall.
The Big Beautiful Bill then kicks in to goose the economy into the midterms. The entire system is now being geared toward a strong economy and strong market in 2026 for these elections.
China will continue to expand its balance sheet. Japan will work to strenghten the Yen, and also fiscally stimulate.
The ISM will rise as rates fall and tarrif uncertainty drops away.
You just need to get through the Window of Pain and The Liquidity Flood lies ahead.
Always remember the Dont Fuck This Up rules...and wait out the volatility. Drawdowns like this are common place in bull markets and their job is to test your faith.
BTFD if you can.
td:dr - When this number goes up, all number go up.
Translated: "You will soon need approval for every single transaction you attempt. If we decide we don't want you to buy that steak or take that trip or fill that car with gas (all in the name of climate control, of course) then we will simply deny that transaction. And if you speak out against us, we may just seize your money altogether."
$80K car loan β βNice ride, enjoy it.β
$150K student debt β βEveryone has it, no big deal.β
$25K vacation on credit β βYou only live once.β
$10K in Bitcoin β βYouβre crazy, thatβs gambling.β
Society will cheer you on going broke,
but will panic the second you try to build wealth.
In the last 3 days:
> JP Morgan integrates Chainlink CRE.
> $ONDO integrates Chainlink CRE.
> All of @trondao $5.5 billion TVL is transitioned to Chainlink oracles.
> @solana partners with Chainlink for pending Chainlink launch on Sol.
> DTCC co-presents with Chainlink and confirms partnership.