New article in which I argue the post-Brexit immigration explosion was likely to have happened anyway, even if Remain had won the referendum.
The link to the article is in the following tweet, my bio, and @pimlico_journal, who have been generous enough to cross-post.
@LandsknechtPike Association football bears no relationship to calcio. It derives entirely from English public school football games of the 19th century and most closely resembles the football game played at Harrow school.
π¨NEW: The idea of 'imperial policing methods' coming home to manage 'community relations' is now oft-repeated on the British right.
But is it true? Where did the idea come from?
π: https://t.co/kTjXy0UtWp
βοΈ: @AnglesonWalter explores in part 1 of this series.
@Sam_Dumitriu This view may not make it past the Spectator editorial staff, but there is mountains of evidence that it's true (even if some women may find it insulting).
https://t.co/lA61h7LzNL
@Sam_Dumitriu Likewise, men being less likely to say they 'don't know' could be male overconfidence, or it could more simply be that they are less likely to not know something because they're more knowledgeable.
@aodanhill Not to mention, the core support for independence comes from people of Irish Catholic descent. If a more blood and soil approach to the franchise had been taken, it wouldn't have been favourable to the independence movement.
@aodanhill The rUK born population in Scotland would include a large number, perhaps a majority, of people who are half-Scottish or more, and the Scottish population in the rUK would have been overwhelmingly unionist, so I don't think a more purist franchise would have led to independence.
@HeracleanVision The market is only expecting a 25% permanent increase in oil prices. That's very bad, but doesn't seem enough to cause a global depression.
If this is the genuine Foreign Office view then it's good evidence that its perspective on Britain's national interest is some mix of a third rate TED talk about the coming 'African century', combined with misplaced Commonwealth nostalgia.
Firstly, the Caribbean mostly voted FOR reparations in the recent UN resolution. Secondly, I find it highly unlikely that countries demanding reparations for slavery in West Africa and the Caribbean are ever going to make up a large amount of our trade. Thirdly, even if they do, I highly doubt that these countries would boycott British goods due to failing to pay reparations for slavery. They haven't boycotted us so far! It's just an attempted shakedown operation, they're seeing what they can get away with. If they don't think they'll get away with it, they'll stop.
Worth noting that Israel, for example, has done far better economically than we have over the last couple of decades, despite facing far more international hostility than a Britain that refused to pay reparations would.
The correct approach for any British government is to say that Britain is proud of its central role in the abolition of slavery, and to point out how much resistance to abolition it encountered in Africa.
Ben had the phone he wrote this tweet on stolen from him, likely by an African or Caribbean, within an hour of posting.
Looks like he's started paying reparations already!
Noting the Foreign Office has traditionally wanted to leave this issue of reparations to one side β in the tabloids β because the UK needs the votes of the Caribbean in the United Nations and we need the future economic growth that come from markets of the future like Nigeria.
@isnit0 The title graph appears to do the same, but in the body of your essay it's labelled as comparing real wages to real state pension over time. I don't think this is true, it also looks like a comparison of the state pension in nominal terms versus wages in real terms.
@isnit0 Isn't it a bit dishonest to compare nominal terms state pension growth to real terms earnings growth? Clearly the two have diverged due to the triple lock, but not to the degree this comparison suggests.
@anglopjdst Yes, if a pensioner doesn't have sufficient income or wealth in excess of the state pension, they're given pension credit, and will be eligible for housing benefit or a council home if they don't own their own.
@anglopjdst No, a means tested state pension just rewards the feckless and disencourages saving. They should fix it in real terms at current levels and make it exempt from taxation.
@BDSixsmith@willsolfiac I enjoyed the article, but feel this misses the point that third-world immigration *is* the old liberal consensus. It's like saying the Catholic Church would do better to preserve Christian belief if they stopped insisting on the parts people struggle to accept, like the . . .