@SarangSood Just asking if rice is also affected by middle east. Rice has increased almost 40 to 50 percent in my place. And I am saying about normal rice and not even some premium rice.
@trader0109@Nithin0dha Hota hai especially in commodities. Mera saath bhi huwa tha in the past. I realised it is due to liquidity. Tradingview ya chart software catch nahin kar pata. That was the reply I received back then.
@Pavan_07goyal Was carrying Sensex expiry strangle last week Wednesday and faced my highest loss till date. Us din se himmat khatam aur ab to wo loss ek do mahine me recover ho to bhi thik hai. Option selling without hedge is just brutal in this market. Unexpected gap ups are a regularity now
@KiranjitDas86 The only thing relatively safe now is intraday dynamic option selling based on market conditions or directional but hedged overnight option selling. Futures me STT 5 times kar diya to option selling me aaya par yahan alag hi lafda hai. Do hafte ki profit ek trade kha jaata hai
@KiranjitDas86 Already faced the overnight gap up last week Wednesday night. That was 2 percent gapup and wiped away 3.7 lakhs instantly at 9:15 Thursday morning which is my highest single day drawdown till now. Last month I tried the so called 45DTE straddle and lost 2.5 lakhs there too.
@AshishGupta325 Highest loss in a single day aur mind blank ho gaya tha. Abhi naked straddle strangle ka himmat nahin raha overnight. Isse to achcha intraday hai ya hedged directional. Kam fayda par kam nuksan bhi.
@AshishGupta325 Already face kiya last week. Sold a Sensex strangle on Wednesday afternoon with larger distance on low side and lesser distance on upper side as 200 DMA was very near. Socha ek baar to pause karega near 200 DMA. Aur next morning 2 percent gap up and 3.7 lakhs wiped out instantly
@SarangSood Abhi lagta hai algo trading hi try karna parega. Kal se algo coding me lag gaya hoon. Tradingview webhook bhi skip ya double alert deta hai bahut code kiya. Direct API coding se hi algo banakar hi ab trade karna parega. Nothing is working. Darr aur dukh khatam hi nahin ho raha.
@SarangSood Finally day end me decay start huwa par CAS me gap down khulte dar ke maare sirf 50K book kiya jabki auction end Tak 149000 dikhata if I had not booked 5 mins earlier. Aur hedge na hota to 6 lakhs plus profit hota aur Wednesday loss recover hota. Ye dukh kaheko khatam nahi hota
@SarangSood Pura mind blank ho gaya aur himmat tur gaya. Phir Friday end ko premium dekh ke lalach aaya aur 25050 ka iron butterfly ke liya with only ATM +/- 100 hedge which was very expensive. Muhurat trading aur aaj dono din full decay huwa par itna mehenga hedge ne saara profit kha gaya.
@SarangSood Aaj mere saath wohi huwa. Wednesday ko overnight strangle carry kiya soch ke 200 DMA hai paas to pause karega. Par overnight 2 percent plus gapup khula aur 3.7 lakhs wipe out kar diya which is probably my highest single day loss till date and that too single overnight position.
@MaganiGovardha8 Exact mere butterfly ke center pe Nifty expire Kiya par last auction ke fluctuation ke dar se sirf 50K book kiya jabki auction end Tak profit 149000 ho jata. Aur unhedged position to 6 lakhs se upar ho jata. Sab recover ho jaata sirf ek trade me par kuch recover nahin kar paya
@CommerceGuruu Aaj to hedge ne pura decay zero kar diya. Straddle had decayed 1.35 at EOD and was higher earlier but the ATM +/- 100 hedges ate the premium decay completely as theyvdecqyed by same amount. Kal ke liye hold hai par lagta hai kal phirse violent moves ayega.
@MaganiGovardha8 Aur aaj itna dukh laga. Dekha 1 lakh ke upar 5 mins me straddle decay ho gaya par butterfly hedge ne thoda bhi profit hone nahin diya. Total ATM premium decay was exactly the same as total OTM (ATM + 100) legs decayed. Monday ke liye hold Kiya hai par kuch bhi benefit nahin huwa
@MaganiGovardha8 Mera ulta kahani. Wednesday evening ek far off Sensex strangle liya without hedging. Raat ko 2 percent gapup aur subah directly 3.7 lakhs loss booked at 9:15 am. Aaj tak ka shayad highest single day loss tha. Friday dar ke maare iron butterfly liya at 25050 with heavy hedge.
@BaluGorade@grok Today and yesterday FII buying is within the 6 highest buying in the history of Indian stock market. I checked 10-15 years data. The other four times were once a year in 2020, 2021, 2015 and 2024. Two of them were COVID recovery period.
@justnottamomma Yahan to drawdown recover ke chakkar me aur drawdown ho raha baar baar. Ab to lagta hai Futures especially stock futures was far better with lesser risks overnight if strong stocks are hedged with weak stocks.
@justnottamomma 7 percent drawdown ho gaya Wednesday night ke gapup me. Direct 3.7 lakhs loss. Future se option selling me aaya tha is saal. Even futures me itna loss nahin hota tha. Ab to intraday ke alawa dar hi lagne laga hai. Par premium dekh ke 1:8 ke risk reward pe iron butterfly bech diya
@CommerceGuruu I just checked FII data and yesterday and today are within the six highest buying by FII in history of Indian stock market. Aur baaki buying once a year huwa tha ab to continuous ho rha hai extreme buying.