Gold (and silver) need to complete a B-wave bounce soon. That bounce is what draws in traders prematurely and then they get stopped out for losses during the C-wave decline.
The C-wave is what clears sentiment and builds the fuel for the next leg up in the bull market.
A potential spot for the B-wave bounce would be at the 23% Fibonacci retracement (where gold is now) or possibly a slightly deeper move to fully test $4000.
Then a C-wave decline to test either the 38% Fib ($3900ish) or the 50% Fib ($3750ish). Once the C-wave is complete and the intermediate correction is finished I think the odds are good for gold to reach $5000-$6000 and silver $75-$100 by late spring.