apollodorvs

swasembada pangan dan efisiensi numero uno, reformasi birokrasi?

[Paul Muad’Dib @trygraptor]

“Are you a bard for a civilization at dusk?”

[ame @taurosze]

🚨🚨Update terapi DIARE anak terbaru : ZINC 5 mg segala usia. Karena efektifitas sama dengan dosis sebelumnya (10-20mg/hari), namun efek samping muntah lebih sedikit. 👦🏻👧🏻

Pegasus 1 Agustus 2026; Pediatric Gastroenterologi Hepatologi UKK IDAI

[Sistha @sisthaaaaa]

Adek sepupuku keracunan MBG. Satu sekolah kemarin dipulangin cepet karena pada diare (termasuk adekku). Bahkan ada yang sampe pingsan juga katanya.

Ada mobil ambulans juga, ngangkutin murid-murid. Terus dari speaker sekolah malah diumumin: mohon tidak didokumentasikan. Taek.

[IG @burhanuddinmuhtadi @BurhanMuhtadi]

Adab berdiskusinya jelek banget. Suka memotong, kurang mendengar, suara melengking tanpa isi dan argumen. #rosikompastv

[Яizal do @afrkml]

“Kita ga butuh pemimpin yang pinter ngomong!”

Yeah, your wish has been granted. Congratulations. 😍👏🏻

[Myles 🇯🇲🇧🇧 @myles_premium_]

This deserves permanent residency ffs. We ain't seen this since Michael Phelps.

[Elon Murz | SVP of Meme Engineering @ecommurz]

There r worrying signs everywhere, but perhaps the people at the top r too far to notice

[dhil @dhilxa]

Sebagai orang yg sering ikut tender, instansi si ijo kalo udah arahnya pengadaan, korupsinya bener2 dengan nominal yg ga masuk akal, bukan membenarkan korupsi lain ya, tapi mereka tuh "ambil kue" selalu ga kira2 bisa 70% sendiri.

Dan kabar buruknya presiden kita darisana

[Upstate Federalist @upstatefederlst]

There is no other point in human history when 10,000 men stampeding across your border was not considered an invasion.

[Faris Abdurrachman @farisrachman_1]

More people should understand that one important reason for the public sector dysfunction that we see today is simply because they're underfinanced.

Low domestic revenue mobilization capacity = weak and ineffective state.

[Ahlus Soresu wal Djem So @ObiWan_Catnobi]

Mindset kolonial.

Papua, Indonesia timur, daerah terdepan dijadikan tempat pembuangan & hukuman. Rot in hell, Sudaryono

[Beta EP - 🍉 @BetaEpsilonPhi]

Ada namanya UU 1/2022 Hubungan Keuangan Pemerintah Pusat dan Daerah,

- Pasal 146 ayat 1, Max Belanja Pegawai 30%,

- Ayat 2, penyesuaian Max 5 tahun, alias 2027 ini harus jalan.

- Kondisi di 2026, cuma ada 7/38 Provinsi, 25/415 Kabupaten, dan 1/93 Kota yang memenuhi

[Elon Murz | SVP of Meme Engineering @ecommurz]

What a terrible time to be a taxpayer

[dokterbedahYK @DokterbedahYK]

Orang tua yang mendorong atau membiarkan anaknya masuk fakultas kedokteran tidak bertindak atas kejahatan sadar (criminal intent). Mereka bertindak di bawah pengaruh ideologi yang sangat kuat: fantasi tentang keamanan sosial, prestise, dan pengabdian luhur

[Sesame Chiccen @Loccdawggg]

My friend I have unfortunate news for you

[Bagus P. Perdana @BagusPerdana_]

The Silence Is the Policy (Fed to BI)

Kevin Warsh decided the most dangerous thing a central bank can own is its own voice.

His Fed has stopped explaining itself. That, more than the level of the funds rate, is the regime change.

Play Depeche Mode’s “Enjoy the Silence” while you read this. For a decade the Fed treated communication as an instrument: forward guidance, the dot plot, a press conference after every meeting, the quiet promise that the path was knowable. Warsh flipped the premise. At his first FOMC on June 17–18 he held the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% on a unanimous 12–0 vote, refused to submit his own dots to the Summary of Economic Projections, cut the policy statement to the bone, and stood up five task force (communications, balance sheet, data reliability, productivity, and the inflation framework). Communications group is expected to recommend killing the dot plot outright. Rates, not the balance sheet, are the primary lever. The balance sheet, Warsh says, should shrink relative to the economy (a de facto tightening). Yet Fed Treasury holdings have risen $320 billion since November 2025, from $4.19 trillion to $4.51 trillion, as Reserve Management Purchases quietly undercut the stated ambition.

Spine of the argument is simple. Forward guidance was a free option the Fed wrote to markets for ten years. It suppressed the volatility risk premium across rates, credit, and equities. Withdraw the option and that premium has to reprice higher, structurally. The yield curve is already speaking. The 2s/10s spread has bear-steepened from +10 bps in February to +32 bps today, both ends rising, long end no longer anchored by a published path, pricing pure uncertainty. In every previous tightening cycle, guidance compressed the term premium and the curve flattened. Warsh era is producing the opposite: a bear steepener at absolute levels the post-GFC market has never sustained for long ; 2-year at 4.31%, 10-year at 4.63%.

Yet the near-dated OIS-implied overnight rate lived inside a 2.5 bp range for three straight months, 3.617% to 3.642%, barely twitching after the hawkish June hold. Meanwhile open interest in the August fed-funds futures contract has exploded 214% since June 1, from 321,053 contracts to a record 1,007,019 as of July 28. The overnight reverse-repo facility that once soaked up $461 billion now sits at $1.1 billion. The liquidity buffer is gone. Markets have heard the silence. They have not fully priced it.

For an emerging market this is not academic. Guidance was the calibration input. Bank Indonesia set policy against a knowable U.S. path. Remove it and BI is forced to react one step behind. The scoreboard is already lit: USD/IDR at 18,055, still within striking distance of its June 8 record of 18,178. The 10-year government bond yield at 7.33%, up from 5.96% in October 2025. Reserves at $145.6 billion after touching a two-year low of $144.9 billion in May. Current-account deficit at $4.0 billion, 1.1% of GDP, its widest since 2019. BI has round-tripped 150 basis points. Cutting to 4.75% through September 2025, then hiking 50 bps in May, another 25 bps off-cycle on June 9, 25 bps on June 18, and holding at 5.75% on July 22.

On July 27 Governor Perry Warjiyo resigned two years early. Destry Damayanti is acting governor. The institution is holding the line. The open question is how long that line holds without a permanent head, with reserves still below their December 2025 peak, and with the Fed having turned opacity into operating doctrine.

2013’s taper tantrum was a communication error. Warsh’s version is communication by design. The volatility is the policy.
Here in Jakarta, Indonesia is dare the case for a silent Fed simply exports its withheld risk premium onto someone else’s balance sheet.

In our own "Silencing Way", Cobaan di Cobain. Zharrrrr!

"Words like violence
Break the silence
Come crashing in
Into my little world
Painful to me
Pierce right through me
Can't you understand?"

Depeche Mode

[Iain Cameron @theiaincameron]

Two cities face each other across just 700 metres of water.

One is overwhelmingly Caucasian (97%). The other is overwhelmingly East Asian (99%).

Few, if any, world borders divide humanity so sharply.

1/n

[Pi en ice Ababil @PNS_Ababil]

Babun gede adalah ciri kabinet ga paham perencanaan.