NFL Week 5 Late Night Spellcast🪄🧙♂️
Bhayshul Tuten over 58.5 Rush Yards
(-114 FD | 1.14 units)
NOTE: This line has moved since I played it on Tuesday, but I'm posting this because I would STILL play 65.5 at 1U
We’re discovering a new system in the NFL: Running Backs in International Games. Just look at the last 2 seasons of international games and how much running backs are dominating.
Workhorse RBs in International Games since Week 2, 2025:
Taylor ’26: 20 Att - 95 Yards
J. Williams ’26: 19 Att - 98 Yards
Henry ’26: 26 Att - 89 Yards
Rodriguez ’25: 15 Att - 79 Yards
Achane ’25: 21 Att - 120 Yards
Robinson ’25: 17 Att - 84 Yards
Taylor ’25: 32 Att - 244 Yards
K. Williams ’25: 12 Att - 54 Yards
B. Hall ’25: 22 Att - 59 Yards
Dobbins ’25: 14 Att - 40 Yards
Mason ’25: 13 Att - 52 Yards
Judkins ’25: 23 Att - 110 Yards
Mason ’25: 16 Att - 57 Yards
Gainwell ’25: 19 Att - 99 Yards
So if a running back gets at least 12 carries, he’s getting 50+ Rush Yards in nearly EVERY International Game, with tons of RBs getting 20+ carries.
Last year in London, the Jags got crushed by the Rams and couldn't run the ball. HOWEVER, Tuten did play 29% of snaps in that game, so this won’t be his first International Game in his career.
Now, he’s the Alpha, getting 13+ Carries and 45%+ of snaps every single game this season. What stands out to me is Tuten is covering this line every week without long runs. He’s yet to have a rush for more than 20 yards this season, as he’s faced some above-average rush defenses in the Browns, Bengals, and Patriots.
The Eagles have given up 60+ Yard rushers in EVERY GAME this season!!
🎯 D’Andre Swift: 20 Att - 84 Yards
🎯 Kyren Williams: 16 Att - 80 Yards
🎯 Tony Pollard: 14 Att - 64 Yards
🎯 Croskey-Merritt: 16 Att - 63 Yards
With Barkley, Bigsby, and DeVonta Smith potentially out, the Eagles could struggle to run the football and control the clock in this game. This screams the Jags rushing 30+ times to control the clock and momentum as they steamroll the Eagles.
It starts and ends with Tuten.
Like in 2022 after FTX collapsed, the crowd missed that it was the low for Bitcoin, expecting lower.
The parallels to that time period are nearly identical right now. Technicals. Price Structure. On-chain.
This parallels the bottom.