کارشناسان دلایل مختلفی را برای این قطع ارتباط مطرح کردهاند:
فرضیه اول (نقص فنی در خط تولید): برخی میگویند با بارندگیهای اخیر، رطوبت به سیستم نفوذ کرده. جنس «مقوا» در برابر آب و باد مقاومت کمی دارد! آب که به مقوا بخورد، وا میرود و ارتباط کلا قطع میشود.
فرضیه دوم (صرفهجویی در مصرف انرژی): با توجه به بحرانهای اخیر، احتمالا بیت تصمیم گرفته برای کاهش هزینهها، فعلا زیرساختهای مقوایی را سشوار بکشد تا برای روزهای مبادا خشک و آماده بماند.
فرضیه سوم (اشتباه محاسباتی): مقامات فکر میکردند دارند روی یک رهبر فولادی حساب باز میکنند، اما دیشب که خواستند سیستم را آپدیت کنند تازه فهمیدند کل ماجرا یک کاردستی مقوایی کلاس دوم دبستان بوده است!
“Only stupid countries don’t shoot back when you’re shot at”. — @SecRubio
I agree. Israel has a right to defend itself from Iran’s unprovoked missile attacks tonight.
Let me guess: Israel will be pressured to back off even though ballistic missiles have been fired into that country. 4-waves targeting civilian populations.
Is that what we would do?
The Iranian regime and its proxy, Hezbollah, are making it abundantly clear, as they have before now, that they have no intention of abiding by any deal -- whether a ceasefire or some grand deal. Hezbollah rejected the agreement worked out between Israel and Lebanon at the behest of our administration before the ink was dry. Before, during, and after the agreement, they've not stopped launching missiles into Israel, in violation of the so-called ceasefire. No nation can tolerate that, and Israel has not and will not, despite "defensive" handcuffs put on it by us in the past. As best I can tell, Israel, in consultation with our country or not, has had enough.
Make no mistake, Hezbollah is acting at the direction of the Iranian regime. Lebanon's president is also fed up with the Iranian regime trying to pull his country into the conflict and using Lebanon as a negotiating chip. He has also made clear that the Lebanese people want to finally be free of Hezbollah. The problem is that his military is not strong enough to deal with Hezbollah and it's left for Israel to deal with Hezbollah.
The Iranian regime is demanding nothing less than Israel commit suicide -- that is, not respond to Hezbollah's missile attacks or respond in a way that does not end Hezbollah's terror against Israeli citizens. The regime is hoping that President Trump will intercede and admonish Israel, as our country has made clear it wants a deal and that deal focuses primarily if not almost exclusive on nuclear and enrichment issues. Meanwhile, most of the Arab leaders (except for the smaller Arab countries, including UAE) fear that their oil fields will be attacked, and Turkey and Pakistan are working to bolster Iran and ensure the regime's survival, including through diplomatic pressure.
There is no real ceasefire. And the question is: what happens when and if there is a deal? How will it be enforced? Who will enforce it? Iran has no launched ballistic missiles at Israel, as it has as other nations in the region. Are Israel and the other nations free to hit back, or are only we free to do so? And what happens if the Iranian regime builds thousands of ballistic missiles, most of which cannot be intercepted?
In the end, the Iranian regime needs to be destroyed. It'll be much more difficult as time goes on and turns into years.
رهبر جمهوری اسلامی در یخچال است
رهبر جدیدش مقوایی است
طویله مجلسش تعطیل است
از داخل دچار تفرقه شدهاند
سپاهی ها کارتن خواب شدهاند
زیرساحتهای سرکوبش نابود شده اند و...
پس کصمادر هر کسی که بذر نا امیدی میپاشد
ایران را پس میگیریم، پاینده ایران و جاوید شاه
Prevent defense, whether in war or football, is a loser. And Israel, under constant attack and now direct attack from Iran, is urged stand down. The Israelis, the Iranian people, and the Lebanese people are all being terrorized by the Iranian regime.
That's enough.