Garry Kasparov @Kasparov63 at Halifax Security Forum:
"For 4 years, Ukraine has been fighting for the whole of Europe. NATO was created to fight one war — not to go to Afghanistan, not to go to Syria — one war: to save free Europe from Russian aggression. Ukraine is the only country that is fighting this war, and we are still discussing should we include them or not."
Bravo, what a speech. Thank you!
Wir erleben gerade den historischen Bruch, dass sich die USA unter Donald Trump faktisch aus der transatlantischen Sicherheitsordnung, wie wir sie kennen, verabschieden.
Wir müssen aufhören, verzweifelt zu versuchen, die USA im alten Modus in Europa zu halten. Dieser Zug ist abgefahren. Das „Burden Shifting“ – die Lastenverschiebung – ist keine bloße Drohung mehr, es ist in vollem Gange. Das ist das neue Normal.
Die größte strategische Gefahr, die im Raum steht – und das war bereits im ursprünglichen 28-Punkte-Plan der Trump-Berater angelegt –, ist eine fatale Rollenverschiebung, die das Ende der NATO, wie wir sie kennen, bedeutet: Wir dürfen unter keinen Umständen zulassen, dass die USA zum „Mediator“, zum bloßen Vermittler zwischen Russland und Europa werden. Das würde bedeuten, dass Washington den Aggressor Putin und das verteidigende Europa auf eine Stufe stellt. Das wäre das Ende unserer Sicherheit und würde eine Kapitulation Europas bedeuten. Damit würden Grenzen mit Gewalt verschoben und Aggression belohnt.
Daraus ergeben sich für uns zwingende Konsequenzen, die wir bisher gescheut haben:
1. Fähigkeiten neu ausrichten: Wir brauchen u.a. massiv ausgebaute Fähigkeiten bei unseren Nachrichtendiensten und eigene, souveräne Satellitenaufklärung, um nicht länger am Tropf der US-Intelligence zu hängen. Ansätze dazu gibt es bereits auch in Europa.
2. Die Nuklearfrage stellen: Wir müssen das Tabu brechen und uns mit unseren Nachbarn – insbesondere Frankreich und Großbritannien – ehrlich und konkret über eine europäische nukleare Abschreckungskomponente unterhalten. Ohne diesen Schirm sind wir erpressbar.
3. Ablehnung von Kapitulationsplänen: Wir müssen den sogenannten 28-Punkte-Plan oder ähnliche Vorschläge aus dem Trump-Umfeld komplett ablehnen. Das sind keine Friedenspläne, das sind Kapitulationsurkunden für die Ukraine und mittelfristig für Europa. Allein die Diskussion darüber belohnt den Aggressor Russland und verschafft ihm Zeit.
Stattdessen müssen wir einen eigenen, selbstbewussten Entwurf für eine europäische Sicherheitsarchitektur präsentieren. Diplomatie funktioniert nur aus einer Position der Stärke heraus. Das heißt, wir müssen aufhören, nur auf Putin zu reagieren, und anfangen, Russland klare Forderungen zu stellen:
Die bedingungslose Anerkennung des Existenzrechts aller Nachbarstaaten.
Die Anerkennung der freien Bündniswahl aller Nachbarländer. Einflusssphären sind nicht zu akzeptieren!
Der Abzug nuklearer Waffen aus Kaliningrad.
Der vollständige Abzug russischer Truppen aus der Republik Moldau (Transnistrien), aus Georgien und natürlich aus der Ukraine.
Wir haben zu lange versäumt, den Amerikanern zu zeigen, dass wir bereit sind, die Lasten für einen Krieg auf europäischem Boden zu tragen. Jetzt müssen wir beweisen, dass wir überhaupt noch bereit sind, uns selbst zu verteidigen.
EXCLUSIVE: US presidential envoy Steve Witkoff advised Russia on how to pitch Ukraine plans to Trump, in audio files reviewed by Bloomberg https://t.co/P0wXMFavBS
1/6 What an EPIC failure!
In the last 1000 days, russia—despite going all-in—has seized less than 1% of Ukraine’s territory.
War economy, mercenaries, north korean troops, over a million casualties. A full-scale invasion. A strategic disaster
Heute:
Ghislaine Maxwell: Ich will eine Begnadigung.
Trump: Wenn ich will, kann ich Maxwell begnadigen.
Wie kann es sein, dass die MAGAs, die vormals imaginäre Qanon Pädophile jagten, jetzt ok damit sind, dass eine verurteilte Pädophile und Menschenhändlerin möglicherweise von Trump begnadigt wird?
1/ British-Iranian attorney Elica Le Bon destroys the "poor Putin" narrative:
"Oh, Putin is put into a corner because democracies are coming near an authoritarian regime."
Actually it is Putin who is cornering humanity!
Her argument is full of much-needed moral clarity 🧵⤵️
Today's cover: Ukrainian toddler blown up by Russian drone as he played outside in targeted attack — as Moscow turns Kherson into ‘human safari zone’ https://t.co/0pBdDz7q4A
1/17 Trump a russian asset?
Let’s break down the key moments that show a consistent pattern of behavior aligning with russian interests.
Buckle up: the list is long and far from exhaustive
‼️This is a Must-Read especially since it’s coming from inside of Russia. This post by political blogger Igor Dimitriev is causing a lot of anger among Russian political ‘elites’:
“Even the memory of that brief euphoria that accompanied the entry of the CSTO [firces] into Kazakhstan in January 2022 is gradually fading.
Then it seemed that Russia was the guarantor of stability, the arbitrator, the center of power. Now there is nothing left of that feeling.
Kazakhstan is confidently following its own path, forming its own security strategy. It signed a military cooperation plan with Great Britain, including the training of officers in British military academies.
It is building a plant with its Singapore partners to produce 155 mm ammunition, NATO standard. It is introducing a territorial reserve system based on Western models. (There was even a scandal there recently with the local analogue of the Territorial Center of Recruitment).
All this in a paradigm where Russia is seen not as an ally, but as a potential threat.
Azerbaijan has finally liquidated Armenian Artsakh without regard for the CSTO and killed Russian peacekeepers.
After the downed plane in December 2024, it publicly demanded an apology and compensation from Moscow, closed the offices of Russian government agencies.
Aliyev plays openly - he is increasing cooperation with Ukraine, supplying humanitarian aid, and avoiding even formal neutrality.
Armenia - in the past, the main ally in the Caucasus - has effectively left the Russian orbit. Pashinyan has repeatedly announced his withdrawal from the CSTO, the country recalled its permanent representative to the organization, and closed Russian propaganda channels.
Uzbekistan has ignored the CSTO since 2012 and is actively developing partnership with Europe through summits and sectoral agreements.
Last year, there was tension between Moscow and Tashkent in connection with the assassination attempt on one of the government officials and the alleged "Chechen trace".
Instead of neutral Finland, there is now a 1,300 km border with NATO. Sweden, which remained neutral even during the Second World War, participates in NATO military exercises and supplies weapons to Ukraine.
The entire north of Europe is reorganizing its armed forces for joint exercises in the Arctic and the Baltic.
All of Europe is turning into a single anti-Russian coalition. Germany is reorienting its production capacities to military orders.
The EU's defense spending is aimed at 5% of GDP. For the first time, a single European military budget has appeared.
Syria, which recently played the role of a showcase for Russian geopolitical influence, is now a platform for the mass execution of pro-Russian elements. The Russian bases in Syria are the most vulnerable issue for [Russia’s] African initiatives.
Over the past three years, the security architecture in Eurasia has changed radically. Russia is no longer a regional leader, a political center, or a guarantor of stability.
Geopolitical weight is not just decreasing — it is being reset. In fact, the entire scale of Russia's foreign policy today is tactical battles in the Donetsk and Sumy regions.
What was intended as a quick regime change in Kyiv has turned into a protracted meat grinder, devouring the country's geopolitical capital.
The entire military machine is focused on storming Ukrainian villages. All resources are squeezed out for the sake of a front that is barely moving.
Where everything is heading was clear back in 2022. Nevertheless, the leadership of the Russian Federation has been hammering away at the Ukrainian defense with maniacal persistence.
Apparently, the Kremlin believes that if they manage to destroy Ukraine, all the problems will dissolve on their own and 2021 will return.
Although by the time Ukraine collapses - if it collapses at all - the world around will be completely different.”
Continued below🔽
"Trump appointed 22-year-old former gardener and grocery store clerk to head the counterterrorism division."
2020 – Gardener,
2023 – Supermarket clerk,
2024 – College graduate,
2024 – Trump campaign contributor,
2025 – Head of the counterterrorism division.
If this guy turns criminal soon, he'd have a good chance of becoming the next US president.
1/7 Failure Unlimited: russia has suffered 900,000 total casualties, expanded NATO, militarized Ukraine, and ruined its own economy, while reducing its control from about 30% of Ukraine in March 2022 to roughly 19% now. Look at the maps and witness the catastrophe!