Asad Jahangir

My 2 sats #hodl #Bitcoin

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin #Dream

1 sat = 1 USD

PS: 1 #BTC = 100,000,000 sats

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#BTC So far so good. For last three #Bitcoin cycles

1) We broke out of the consolidation phase (in Red circles) with a big Green candle

2) Broke above downward trend line

3) Consolidate for 4-8 weeks (in Green circles) before resuming the uptrend

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

While everyone is trying to predict the #Bitcoin bottom and there are hundreds of models out there, here is my high-level analysis summarizing all the noise into three possible areas for the #BTC bottom this bear market.

1) 22k - Based on extrapolation of all the previous highs and lows using some AI tools. Lowest probability scenario of the three. We'll be extremely lucky if we get there

2) 43k - At the start of the bear market, my highest probability scenario was a touch of the 400-week SMA, currently sitting around 42.9k and climbing at roughly $100/week. But since the vast majority is now expecting a 40k bottom, that makes this lesser probable scenario

3) We have already bottomed - Highest probability scenario based on Asad's original system. Only the weekly timeframe is still indicating there could be some more downside, but I'll stick with it unless proven otherwise

PS: Regardless of where #Bitcoin bottoms, DCA wins.

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Daily RSI approaching oversold is signaling that this might be the last pullback of the #BTC bear market

This pullback to bottom today or tomorrow around the $71k area. There could be a quick wick lower, but not expecting #BTC to spend much time below the $70k-$71k zone

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

Brace for impact: the US Home Price Index just broke down from a rising wedge, a classic bearish signal that could mark the start of a housing market correction.

#HousingMarket #RealEstate #Macro #Economy #HousingMarket

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin update: Wkly close today has increased the probability in favor of 60k bottom

Wishful thinking: consolidate here and/or make a double bottom in coming wks before a major leg up to allow for DCAing

For those waiting for sub 40k #BTC, what is ur plan if it doesn't happen

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Primary Scenario: Downward trend continues with bounces (lower highs and lower lows on weekly) and we get cycle bottom in Jul/Aug between 35k and 45k

Less likely but possible: #BTC already bottomed yesterday at 60k and we are off to new ATH

DCA wins in either case

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Primary Scenario: Downward trend continues with bounces (lower highs and lower lows on weekly) and we get cycle bottom in Jul/Aug between 35k and 45k

Less likely but possible: #BTC already bottomed yesterday at 60k and we are off to new ATH

DCA wins in either case

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin RSI 30 weekly corresponds to ~$72k and we have had multiple touches of it the last few hours.

That makes #BTC under $72k a Buy Zone for me

PS: Prices can fall another 50% from here. So, when you don't know, you DCA

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Roadmap: We are entering the accumulation phase of Bitcoin with touch of RSI 30 on weekly

Historically, the next 6–9 months tend to be the best window to DCA into #BTC ahead of the next bull cycle, even if price still drops another 50% (my base case)

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Roadmap: We are entering the accumulation phase of Bitcoin with touch of RSI 30 on weekly

Historically, the next 6–9 months tend to be the best window to DCA into #BTC ahead of the next bull cycle, even if price still drops another 50% (my base case)

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin This move has fully played out with 25% pullback in price and touch of RSI 30 on daily.

Made this #BTC call on 1/6/2026 and feels so good to read it on charts with pinpoint accuracy and obviously made a lil bit money in that 😉, Alhamdulillah

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Higher probability scenario: a daily RSI close at ~70 in coming days with possibly a wick upto/above 100k and then further downside leading to market bottom in 8-12 months
Lower probability: Current price action turns into full fledge reversal leading to a new #BTC ATH

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin primary scenario: so far so good. Perfect textbook RSI 70 close (69.85) followed by ~17% pullback

As far as the next move, haven't made up my mind yet

Considerations

1) Weekly is suggesting further downside
2) Daily is signaling some relief (at least temporarily)

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Higher probability scenario: a daily RSI close at ~70 in coming days with possibly a wick upto/above 100k and then further downside leading to market bottom in 8-12 months
Lower probability: Current price action turns into full fledge reversal leading to a new #BTC ATH

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin primary scenario: so far so good.

Perfect textbook RSI 70 close (69.85) followed by ~6% pullback so far.

Support (or lack of it) of 21 daily sma will be make or break.

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Higher probability scenario: a daily RSI close at ~70 in coming days with possibly a wick upto/above 100k and then further downside leading to market bottom in 8-12 months
Lower probability: Current price action turns into full fledge reversal leading to a new #BTC ATH

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin Higher probability scenario: a daily RSI close at ~70 in coming days with possibly a wick upto/above 100k and then further downside leading to market bottom in 8-12 months
Lower probability: Current price action turns into full fledge reversal leading to a new #BTC ATH

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

@Wisdom_HQ 1

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

@CryptoThro LTC

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

@indiantweetrian What if Kohli played Wasim and and Waqar?

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

#Bitcoin is having a nice rally but the downtrend continues (lower highs and lower lows) and the probability is in favor current top at $126k as ATH for this cycle until we reclaim following levels #BTC

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

Officially and publicly turned bearish on #BTC since July (first warning on 7/10). Here are the price levels #Bitcoin has to reclaim for me to be bullish on new ATH w corresponding difficulty levels

1) $111.5k - easy
2) $114k - difficult - falling daily SMAs
3) $116k - Herculean

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

Officially and publicly turned bearish on #BTC since July (first warning on 7/10). Here are the price levels #Bitcoin has to reclaim for me to be bullish on new ATH w corresponding difficulty levels

1) $111.5k - easy
2) $114k - difficult - falling daily SMAs
3) $116k - Herculean

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

@cryptotea Complacency

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

@QM92 @100trillionUSD It's definitely a possibility

[Asad Jahangir @asadrawal]

@ShubmanGill Thats what we have been trying to explain to IAF