Asha

Economics | Capital Market | AI

[Asha @ashanmaa]

@Iam__Ilham gas jadi AI trainer aja am, atleast make dollars dari this disruptive technology

[Asha @ashanmaa]

@genzcorporation halo kak, saya tertarik

[Asha @ashanmaa]

$IHSG

The uptrend is just about to start,

place your bet accordingly

[Desmond Wira @desmondwira]

Dalam trading, survival is victory

Bukan menghasilkan profit sebanyak-banyaknya yang paling penting, melainkan kemampuan bertahan di pasar

Melindungi modal adalah strategi paling utama

Profit hanyalah bonus

Jika modal habis, artinya game over. Kita tidak bisa trading lagi untuk waktu yang lama. Harus ngumpulin modal lagi. Kecuali punya duit unlimited. Sayangnya nggak semua orang punya privilege kaya gini

Pasar selalu ada besok

Trader sukses bukan yang paling sering untung, tapi yang paling disiplin menjaga modalnya

Satu kerugian besar bisa menghapus semua keuntungan sebelumnya dan menghancurkan mental

Ingat prinsip ini:
✅ Risiko maksimal 1-2% per trade
✅ Selalu pakai stop loss
✅ Jangan overtrade
✅ Lindungi modal seperti nyawa

Capital preservation adalah yang membuat kita tetap bisa trading hari ini, besok, dan seterusnya

Stay in the game. Itulah kemenangan sejati

Lindungi modal, maka profit akan datang dengan sendirinya cepat atau lambat

[Asha @ashanmaa]

$IHSG

Breakdown MA20 and horizontal support (AGAIN), next stop is double bottom, supposedly bounce back simultaneously when the IPO party parade starts

[Asha @ashanmaa]

$IHSG

Supposedly stays sideways for a while, due to only neutral news from MSCI.

It's already overbought if you look at the Stoch RSI indicator.

It must stay above 6008 (MA20) to keep sideways momentum.

[Asha @ashanmaa]

@buildportosaham UW nya kureng

[Asha @ashanmaa]

$IHSG

Supposedly stays sideways for a while, due to only neutral news from MSCI.

It's already overbought if you look at the Stoch RSI indicator.

It must stay above 6008 (MA20) to keep sideways momentum.

[Asha @ashanmaa]

IDR

After 9 trading days or about two weeks, the Rupiah bounced back to keep weakening against the USD.

This is really proof that the hike in interest rate is exactly what a painkiller would do to cancer, it's only giving it short relief, while the problem is still there.

[Asha @ashanmaa]

IDR

CONFIRM BREAK THE SHORT-TERM UPTREND BY CLOSING BELOW MA20.

due to:

1. Intervention of BI (interest rates hike)
2. Cut budgets for MBG and Kopdes
3. The rumor of changing the Minister of Finance
4. USA-Iran peace deal

The problem isn't solved yet, but its a good start.

[Asha @ashanmaa]

$IHSG

THE BOTTOM IS ALREADY IN.

In short term its a clear uptrend because it breaks the MA20

The only way to maintain it's uptrend both in Stocks/Rupiah is by bringing the certainty of policy making in governments, otherwise it's only just a brief bullish

[Asha @ashanmaa]

IDR

CONFIRM BREAK THE SHORT-TERM UPTREND BY CLOSING BELOW MA20.

due to:

1. Intervention of BI (interest rates hike)
2. Cut budgets for MBG and Kopdes
3. The rumor of changing the Minister of Finance
4. USA-Iran peace deal

The problem isn't solved yet, but its a good start.

[Asha @ashanmaa]

IDR

CONFIRM BREAK THE SHORT-TERM UPTREND BY CLOSING BELOW MA20.

due to:

1. Intervention of BI (interest rates hike)
2. Cut budgets for MBG and Kopdes
3. The rumor of changing the Minister of Finance
4. USA-Iran peace deal

The problem isn't solved yet, but its a good start.

[Chart Investor Saham IHSG,USA,Crypto @TradingDiary2]

Breaking news:
IHSG jebol hari ini kayanya gara2 ini deh guys

Moody's Ratings memberikan peringkat kredit perdana Baa2 kepada Danantara Investment Management (DIM) dengan outlook negatif, sejalan dengan peringkat kredit Pemerintah Indonesia (Baa2/Negative).

Peringkat tersebut didukung oleh hubungan yang sangat kuat antara DIM dan pemerintah, mengingat DIM merupakan bagian dari struktur BPI Danantara, dimiliki 100% oleh BPI Danantara, serta adanya ekspektasi dukungan luar biasa dari pemerintah apabila diperlukan.

Moody's menilai DIM sebagai entitas terkait pemerintah (Government-Related Issuer/GRI) dan belum memiliki kekuatan kredit mandiri yang signifikan karena masih berada pada tahap awal pengembangan dan belum memiliki rekam jejak operasional yang panjang. Oleh karena itu, peringkatnya lebih ditentukan oleh keterkaitannya dengan pemerintah.

Dari sisi likuiditas, DIM dinilai sangat kuat dengan dukungan suntikan modal Rp70 triliun pada 2025 dan tambahan Rp50 triliun yang direncanakan pada 2026, serta akses pendanaan melalui obligasi Patriot Bonds senilai Rp68,4 triliun dan fasilitas kredit bergulir (revolving credit facility) sebesar US$10 miliar.

Outlook negatif diberikan karena mengikuti outlook negatif peringkat utang Pemerintah Indonesia. Jika peringkat kredit Indonesia diturunkan, maka peringkat DIM berpotensi ikut turun. Sebaliknya, kenaikan peringkat DIM sangat bergantung pada kenaikan peringkat kredit Indonesia di masa depan.

*Sumber: Bloomberg* KISI

[Asha @ashanmaa]

I'd agree

"Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own" - Rothschild

But you earn that buy by protecting capital first. Cut when the trend breaks. Then come back near the bottom.

You can't buy the blood in the streets if all of yours is already there.

[Asha @ashanmaa]

Announce. Backlash. Postpone.
Announce. Backlash. Postpone.

That's not policymaking.

That's governing by trial and error at the public's expense.

No impact assessment. No consultation. No framework. Just a press release and a retreat when people push back.

[Kepala Warga Tai. @handierawan]

Gas rem gas rem gas rem

[Asha @ashanmaa]

$USDIDR missmanagement governance

Rupiah, but it moves like some uptrend LQ45 stock lol

[Asha @ashanmaa]

"Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own." -Baron Rothschild

Set your position accordingly, I bet ~5800 will be the bottom for IHSG... BUY stocks that have a strong potential for rebound (low float/konglo/CA)

I'm betting on Q4 to be bullish

$IHSG

[Investor Nyangkut @ApestorNyangkut]

Kalo harus lewat badan khusus negara,maka kemungkinannya:

- margin keteken
- pricing power hilang
- birokrasi naik
- political intervention naik
- transaction cost naik (?) — ada approval,dokumen dan teka-teki bengek Sagala rupa nu ngarurudet.

Not good for business.

[Desmond Wira @desmondwira]

Rumor yang bikin IHSG junam hari ini:

Pemerintah berencana membentuk badan ekspor, terutama untuk komoditas. Nanti semua perusahaan eskportir harus menjual lewat badan tersebut

Badan tsb bisa mengantongi marjin. Sebaliknya perusahaan eksportir akan mengalami penurunan laba, nggak bisa jual langsung

Jika rumor tsb beneran, ya potensi IHSG makin junam

Sumber:
https://t.co/Y8FXqUWgNG

[이사 dojjunn @dojjunn]

Dikit-dikit ganti regulasi.
Ganti ini lah
Ganti itulah

Sebagai pemilik perusahaan pasti cemas lah. Ngk punya rasa aman, ngk ada kepastian hukum.

Gimana foreign mau confident invest di negara kita coba.. kalo gw jadi mereka jg mending milih malaysia/vietnam.

[Investor Daily @InvestorID]

BI-Rate Diproyeksi Naik pada Juni 2026, Bisa Langsung 50 bps

#rupiah #dolar #kurs

https://t.co/aGzdD1NeVP

[Asha @ashanmaa]

4. The statements of the government
5. The policies of the government abruptly change property rights (royalty mining)

These additional 2 factors further weaken the rupiah. If BI increases the interest rate by 0.5 - 0.75, it's just like taking a painkiller for a chronic disease.

[Asha @ashanmaa]

IDR will continue to weaken further due to the condition:

1. Oil Prices ATH
2. Frontier downgrade risk (MSCI); Reflected with the massive outflow of foreign in $BBCA; Might continue to be a domino effect on the bond market
3. Fiscal Deficits due to MBG

Conclusion: Hold non-IDR