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#OnceHuman #oncehumanmobile
6 Figures Bitcoin Next.
ThankYou for Playing another 🫱🏼🫲🏻 $94,000 Hit b4 $87K. Shared Free at $89.6K Live Bottom Call, before it was cool.
Since old Critics have turned into Friends, 150 Reposts and I make my Next X b4 Y Controversial bet Public (Quick: time is running out as it's Already shared on My Telegram's Big Monday Weekly Report)
$BTC recap
7 trades, 7 wins, and the 8th one in the making (once we hit 95k).
Everything called live, right here on my timeline.
Another small review, added a few more wins to the streak since last, now at 7. And our 8th one is in the making.
Didn't post the review after 6 wins, don't want to sound repetitive or braggy all the time and rather focus on just making money. Also been quite busy during holiday season. And I don't want to make it seem as if all I do is win either.
Obviously, I do take a loss occasionally. Not because my system has imperfections, it generally only has few. But I also do get slightly lazy sometimes and make mistakes, miss information of my own, or the market performs scammy moves I don't expect. Occasional losses indeed occur.
So it feels quite nice to have stayed sharp all this time, seeing the range through from start to finish, hitting level after level without being on the wrong side, nor flip flopping wrongly even once, and also, the market going from bottom, to range, to chop, to trend up now, based on our bullish bias (analysis) and sentiment reads, as wished.
That resulted in these 7 wins so far, with the 8th one in the making.
All receipts and timestamps are on my timeline, everything is called out in live time, as well as clear callouts given each time when we range, when we chop, and when it was time to go for a bigger, trending move.
We have seen it all unfold.
I invite you to scroll down my timeline to find all the tweets with the dates, not a single receipt is missing.
On the charts, I tried to keep all key annotations that helped us find the trades. My system is generally quite simplified, but requires key and refined logical steps, along with conviction paired with how markets work. There is a lot to unpack there, but for now, the chart I chared gives a good amount of those pieces.
Sometimes during the live calls, I gave more information, sometimes I gave less information and I leave most out, as I try to get the post out there as soon as possible to you each time and my posts are already long enough.
I also included a little PnL. Not something I do often as I do think it is a little cringy sometimes and should not be the goal. But just to show you what is possible.
Average trade duration of 3 days and 19 hours is also interesting. Of course, that also includes the last one which as you know, has been a longer hold, part of the plan. That one certainly is pulling up the average.
It's been a pleasure to share it and have you be part of it.
And yes, my personal (public) record since I opened X (twitter) 2 years ago is 8 high RR trade wins in a row (catching tops and bottoms). My personal private record (beforehand) is still higher. But I don't count that (only live calls count to my standards, as you know).
So we are now on 8 (in the making). Let's see if we break it.
No pressure in any way. We simply continue to do what we do. But it won't be laziness or missing my own data that will cause a loss.
Final disclaimers: do not risk it all just because we have been winning or win a lot in general.
High win rates do invite more risk for optimal gain, and some of your DM's have shown drastic capital increases, risking it all each time.
Great for a challenge, but not as a baseline.
Keep trading smart, keep winning, and before you know it, you are where you never thought you would be.
Final words, getting back to it: can we get 95k next? Locking in the 8th.
What a Big Fat GREEN Candle into our 90K Target!
This was shared as the TLDR Outlook of My Upcoming Report. There's a lot more remaining (check my latest updates)
I treated both Premium & Free Members with Love. However, only Premium Members knew about 99.9% CONVICTION!
ONLY if you're over-exposed, kindly take some profit to your pocket, you deserve it — As my HTF Targets are high, & if $BTC breaks my lower levels of marked Range, then next Support is at 74-76K, around E2 of this Long.
The Report is Free with Premium with a Generous Discount, Reach out @PremiumSupportLine on TG for Inquiries.
November 18, 2025 – High-Probability Technical Bounce on $BTC
Macro remains bearish, but I’m taking longs
After 6/6 perfect shorts ✅ from 103.5k down to 92.8k, we're entering a zone where a technical bounce has high probability of materializing, but the institutional macro context remains unequivocally bearish.
Why the Technical Bounce is Highly Probable?
Current Data as of Nov 18, 2025
Price: $92,798 (+1.45% session)
Perpetual CVD: -113.362k (stabilizing vs. -114k)
Spot CVD: -78.155k (no further deepening)
Funding rate: 0.0069% (neutral, liquidation pressure exhausted)
Structural level: 93k = monthly support defended
H1/H4 Signals Converging
Seller exhaustion confirmed
CVD stopped deepening → institutional absorption at 92-93k
Volume increasing without price collapse = passive buying active
Deleveraging partially completed
OI dropped from 125k to 102k (-18%)
Neutral funding = trapped longs already liquidated
Not too much fuel for additional cascade
Structural confluence intact
93k = validated monthly support (not broken on close on the monthly)
Historical value zone with previous reaction
Classic technical pattern
Extended drop without significant retracement
Oversold on lower timeframes
Probable technical target: 95-98k (previous distribution zone + volume POC)
Why Macro Remains Bearish?
ETF Flows: Brutal Institutional Distribution
Farside Investors Data
Distribution continues
Last 7 days: -$2,479M net
Last 2 days: -$1,358M (acceleration)
Institutions aggressively distributing:
BlackRock (largest ETF) leading outflows
Clear pattern: buy low, sell bounces
Nov 11 (+524M) was a bull trap → followed by -1,144M in 48h
Stablecoins: Absence of New Capital
No stablecoin expansion = no fuel for rally:
USDT flat (0.0% daily) = no new capital entering
USDC contracting (-2% weekly) = liquidity exiting
USDE collapsing -35.5% = massive carry trade deleveraging
No new spot demand to sustain rally beyond technical bounce.
Critical Difference: Bounce vs. Reversal
Technical bounce (high probability):
Sustained bullish reversal (low probability):
Would require:ETF inflows >$500M daily sustained
USDT/USDC expanding ideally >1% daily
Funding rates >0.015% with OI growing
Recapture of 100k+ with institutional volume
My Personal Position & Execution Plan
What I'm doing here:
I'm personally entering longs at current levels (92-93k) with wide stop losses and medium-sized positions on this last swing low, why?
High-probability technical setup with clear invalidation
Risk/reward favorable from monthly support
H1/H4 signals aligning for bounce
The Full Scenario Map
Base case
93k → Technical bounce to 95-98k → Evaluate
At 95-98k resistance:
If we get volume rejection with bearish H4 confirmation → I close longs, look for short re-entry
Macro still bearish (ETF outflows + flat stablecoins) = distribution zone
Extended case
If we break 95-98k with volume → Extension to 105-110k possible
This is where it gets interesting:
Breaking 98k with institutional volume would change short-term structure
105-110k zone = previous broken support turned resistance
This is where I'd look for short re-entries with lower timeframe confirmations
Setup: HTF resistance + bearish LTF shift + continuation of negative ETF flows
Bull invalidation case
Sustained break above 110k with:
ETF inflows flipping massively positive
Stablecoin expansion accelerating
Funding rates >0.015% sustained
Would require macro thesis reassessment
Risk Management & Caution
Important Notes:
This is a counter-trend position in a bearish macro environment. I'm taking it because:
Technical setup is high-probability from monthly support
Risk is clearly defined
Position sized appropriately for counter-trend trade
But be cautious:
This could easily be a dead-cat bounce that gets rejected at 95-98k
Here are some years of trading summarized in a message:
I'd say the way I trade on HTF is conceptually simpler than lower timeframet
But the discipline to execute it properly is the hard part.
The hardest challenge is filtering all the BS out there, and not to toot my own horn, but being a philosophy student in real life and about to finish (my first career was finance) was truly a game changer for me.
Just look at local legends like Peter Thiel who also studied philosophy, i´d say a very short introduction to epistemology or books like Complexity from Oxford University Press could really help people discern how we know what we know, how to build systems, decompose the fundamental parts, and rebuild them from there
And well, apply all that to a complex system like markets where you don't actually have probabilities but historical recurrences
Social media is flooded with pseudophilosophy, people quote Nietzsche or any famous Stoics without understanding the frameworks or helping people create a plan based on their actual situation, as if the world were the same for everyone and one quote could help with anything beside a dopamine inyection
That's why I always ask people that send me DMs for tips to give me their trading profile, it's not the same trading with a 4-figure account or a 6-figure account, nor if you can only swing trade or trade intraday, or timezone etc, you gotta know the player to give him rules
People underestimate proper education way too much here and markets humble the undisciplined and uneducated, philosophy teaches rigor with evidence, something most traders desperately need
Take a look at what happens when you can discern what is true from what is false
People paying for groups that rely on marketing rather than results, I personally know maybe 2-3 trading groups where I could trust their people can actually trade
But still, teaching is a whole different thing as it requires translating knowledge, and if you trade based on "intuition," good luck sharing your feelings that cannot be quantified lol
People are constantly searching for miracle indicators or jumping from one analyst to another when someone takes a hit, as if we all didn't miss sometimes, the only ones who don't miss are the ones that don't shoot, and well, those who don't share anything live or trade live, I mean
So my take here is quite simple, don't, believe anyone, not even me, see the evidence, quantify it, backtest it, If it works, great
"$108,888 most ideal Post-FOMC ZONE will give Flash Reaction to $111111" ✅
Mission New Weekly Highs this week or Early Next Week. Why? A secret insight.... Friday Options Expiry Max pain lies $112K - $114K. Logical to expect Price in vicinity and gravitate towards.
This is a LOADED Secret Update from Private Telegram Yesterday - Many spoke of CME, nobody Mentioned $108,888? Giving flash reaction putting dots together. Only Mr.P's audience deserves it. ThankYou for Playing 🫱🏼🫲🏻
You can get this Secret Update free inside DM. Still many more things remain, I'm not releasing it publicly - don't want it to be mainstream.
@astronomer_zero You're positioned right. $BTC to make New Weekly Highs this week or Early Next Week. Why?
A secret insight.... shared in my recent post
AI getting trillion-dollar valuations while crypto still sleeps… the biggest disconnect in markets right now.
I'll make a dedicated post on this one as per my October Crypto Report where i discussed already Once the value catches up, it’s going to be wild. Probably the Next BIG thing for upcoming cycles
$INJ/USDT [LONG]
Sniped Entry earlier than my potential $BTC 110.9k Liquidity.
I'll keep it running as it aligned with Bitcoin 112k, good zone too. Just that reducing size at market price, to add back below (DCA).
✅ Limit E1: 8.388
✅ Closing half at market 8.58 (+2.37% Profit Without Leverage)
➡️ Add back 7.9
🆕 Limit E2: 7.55
🆕 SL: 7.45 (@-5%)
➡️ Targets: Same
I kinda agree with this.. near CME would be an ideal long setup for those who missed the 104k dip. 108k is strong weekly support for this final leg up, and I personally don’t think we’ll revisit those levels. A 3D close below 108k would definitely change things around, but that seems unlikely for now.
$BTC to take out Weekly Highs again, this very Week... Cheers :)