Q: Why equities are risky for short term & advised for long term?
A: By nature, equities are driven by traders' sentiment in the short run & that creates volatility. In the long run, equities are driven by investors' faith & belief in the fundamentals moving the stock markets.
Donald Trump is trying his best to keep the markets calm. If he isn't able to convince the markets on war he is confusing them by talking about deal, negotiation, ceasefire & threats all in a day. Then repeats. DT's way of communication to the markets is very interesting.
Recent year SIPs into equity funds have turned red. In extreme market conditions such performances are inevitable. What should investors do?! Follow Cluster SIP method. Over & above the running SIP amounts, keep investing same amounts in the same funds during a market crash.
Gen Z invested heavily in stocks over the last few years, (mis)guided by several finfluencers. Gen Z thought stock prices will keep going up. Gulf war is a reality check & an opportunity for Gen Z to understand stocks are not one way up. Sticking to investment discipline is key.
Equity market crash can be viewed in two ways. 1. Fear 2. Opportunity. The current crash is fearsome but for those who missed the past rallies, this crash is an entry opportunity. If a right & cautious approach is followed, this crash can give good opportunities to enter.
பங்குச் சந்தை கடும் வீழ்ச்சியில் இருந்தால் அதை இரண்டு விதத்தில் அணுகலாம். 1. அச்சம். 2.வாய்ப்பு. தற்போதைய வீழ்ச்சி அச்சத்தைக் கொடுத்தாலும் கடந்த கால ஏற்றத்தைத் தவற விட்டவர்களுக்கு இது நல்ல வாய்ப்பு. சரியான அணுகுமுறையைக் கையாண்டால் இந்த வீழ்ச்சியில் வாய்ப்புகளை பயன் படுத்தலாம்.
Dubai's image as a safe & secure global economic hub is shattered after Iranian air attacks & Dubai can never restore it fully. India has a unique opportunity to create an alternative economic hub, though not easy, but achievable. India's human resources are a big advantage.
Iran's surprise attack on Gulf states, mainly the UAE, has exposed their weaknesses in hostile security conditions. Dubai's image which was built over the decades,as a safe & secure economic hub has taken a massive hit. India now has a opportunity to create a global economic hub.
TCS is an important tech stock to watch out. It's the cash cow for Tata Sons & its group funding. Devaluation of TCS can impact Tata group which relies on dividends from TCS. Though efforts were made to diversify income from other cos, yet TCS remains pivotal for the group.
IT sector stocks meltdown reflects re-rating of the industry dynamics. IT industry, which positioned as low cost service providers is likely to get disrupted by AI tools. IT sector to be blamed as tech companies never focused on R&D & innovation. More turmoil expected in stocks.
IDFC First bank scam reiterates the need for tighter strengthening of the due diligence and rigorous audits to avoid such unpleasant activities. The scale of the scam indicates the deep rot within the Bank's system by failing to track suspicious withdrawals in large amounts.
Equity markets turmoil, Gold skyrocketing, Trumponomics jitters, Iranian crisis, AI wave grip the investment landscape. Investors naturally are confused on such events impacting their investments. The time tested formula to tide such the rough sea is to follow "Asset Allocation".
In a big blow to President Trump, the Supreme Court of the US strikes down Trump Tariffs, taking away the economic WMD from his armour, thereby crippling his sweeping powers on Tariff levies. Watch out for Dollar, Gold & Stock Markets in the coming days. Interesting days ahead.
Gold bullish scenario - Kevin Warsh (Fed Chair), Weak $, strong demand & uncertain geo politics.
Bearish case - Profit booking, lesser geo political tension, Strong $ & independent Fed Chair.
Prev fall was profit booking but fundamentals remain strong for gold price to go up...
Correction in Gold prices seem to be temporary as the factors for price rise remains firm. With Fed rate cut, Gold can rise again on the back of a weak Dollar. Trump remains a key factor for Gold prices as his flip flop tariff policy is adding uncertainty to global eco & markets.
With net FII outflows from Indian equities touching 1.38 lac Cr till Sept'25, Fed rate cut may provide a re-entry for FIIs into Indian equities. Though Indian equities are now less dependent on FII flows & largely driven by domestic funds, return of FIIs will boost the markets.
Fed rate cut & Impact on India - Fed Reserve cut the rates with a cautious view on future rate cuts along with an uncertain economic outlook.
FII flows into Indian Equities may rise due to lower borrowing costs in the US.
Gold prices may rise owing to $ weakness post rate cut.
Turmoil in Tata Trusts the majority shareholders of Tata Sons can potentially spill over to the group cos, raising concerns on corporate governance. Without strong unifying leadership, the battle in the conglomerate has just begun. It doesn't augur well for the group companies.