A S M Sayeem

[Masoud Pezeshkian @drpezeshkian]

این یک سند تاریخی و پیامی از ایران مقتدر است: صلح در سایه احترام متقابل تحقق خواهد یافت.

جمهوری اسلامی ایران به صلح جهانی با حفظ عزت و استقلال، پیشرفت و همکاری منطقه‌ای همواره متعهد و پایبند است.

[Armchair Warlord @ArmchairW]

Well. War with Iran it is. I had hoped it would not come to this juncture, but here we are. Some thoughts after the day's fighting.⬇️

1. As an initial matter, the Trump Administration's actions here are aggression and perfidy. This attack on Iran was unprovoked and occurred during negotiations in which the Iranians were by all indications willing to make significant and lasting concessions to assuage American and Israeli concerns about the peaceful nature of their nuclear program. Soon enough we will regret setting this precedent.

2. US and Israeli forces appear to have achieved tactical surprise by launching a limited decapitation strike first against senior figures in the Iranian regime. The measure of performance of the strike - did they hit what and whom they intended to hit - is currently the subject of... significant debate. The measure of effectiveness of the strike - did it dislocate the Iranian defensive response or cause panic and infighting in the regime - was negative. The Iranian military deliberately cleared what was at the time an airspace crowded with civilian traffic, brought air defenses online, and began launching retaliatory strikes about an hour later.

2A. The Iranians only brought their air defenses online after their airspace was clear of civilian traffic, suggesting they felt confident in their ability to absorb a limited first strike and also indicating that they very much wanted to avoid repeating Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 with wild defensive fire.

3. Iran has thus far had some success penetrating US and Israeli missile defenses on the far side of the Middle East and considerable success smashing up US bases (and local critical infrastructure) in the Gulf and Iraq with their plentiful arsenal of short-range missiles and cruise drones. There's nothing really new and game-changing here from the Twelve Day War, as I pointed out earlier. They have a lot of missiles and drones and seem more than happy to contest with us on throw-weight.

4. As I pointed out earlier, the considerable standoff that US and Israeli aircraft are operating from has wrecked sortie generation. Coalition strikes on Iran throughout the day have been remarkably modest following the initial wave of attacks, likely due to a combination of delay from forced refueling, disruption to remote bases due to Iranian missile attacks, forced use of standoff weapons due to Iranian AD coverage, and Iranian AD attriting incoming salvos. Effects have not been particularly impressive either - I've seen a grand total of two strikes with noticeable secondaries.

4A. As long as the Iranian IADS network remains intact enough to deter Coalition forces from flying "downtown" into Iranian airspace proper, there's very hard limits on the amount of coercive power that can actually be applied to Iran. We only have so many standoff missiles and don't have a Russo-Chinese missile printer to call upon. And I remind the reader that our bigger and stronger adversaries (Russia and China) are very invested in ensuring that IADS network remains intact so as to preserve their ally.

5. There has been no noticeable regime fracture or civil insurrection in Iran. Everyone in the regime seems to have fallen in line immediately and all the demonstrations in Iran through the day have been pro-government. This is to be expected - the Iranians have not only rehearsed this, they've had multiple repetitions of executing it over the past year.

6. Mossad's attack network in Iran seems to be well and truly dismembered - as I suggested it had been earlier. There have been no reports of commando or insurgent activity in Iran over the course of the day. The Iranian internet is shut down at the moment and nobody seems to be posting online via Starlink.

7. Oil shock is a real prospect here. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. The Bab al-Mandeb is likely going to be interdicted soon by the Houthis. Iran has already begun limited strikes on oil and gas infrastructure in the region. Air and missile campaigns are inherently indecisive, and Americans are not going to tolerate a weeks or monthslong campaign that spikes oil to $150+/barrel.

8. Claims are floating around - out of Israel, of course - that this entire affair was a scheme cooked up by Trump and Netanyahu and that the negotiations were always a sham. I suspect that isn't the case, and that Trump was herded into action by Netanyahu threatening to attack unilaterally after the US "coercive task force" was finally fully assembled in the Gulf.

So how does this end? Well, Trump has been quite explicit that he's aiming for a short war (probably trying to beat the markets), so I wouldn't be surprised if this is over relatively quickly. On whose terms... well, that's another matter altogether.

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

Now that Obama’s poll numbers are in tailspin – watch for him to launch a strike in Libya or Iran. He is desperate.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@WarHunter2222 Source and where it was shot down?

[Drop Site @DropSiteNews]

🇮🇹 BREAKING: Italy Sees Massive General Strike in Solidarity With Gaza

Italy is seeing a powerful 24-hour general strike today, Sept. 22, as millions of workers across transport, education, logistics, and other sectors are expected to join protests for Gaza. The strike has been announced by the Unione Sindacale di Base (USB) with USB, CUB, ADL, and SGB unions also participating, and demanding an end to Italian arms sales to Israel, sanctions, and a new foreign policy approach that prioritizes stopping the genocide.

➤ Trains, buses, taxis, ports, and schools are shut down across the country – with only air travel mostly running as normal.

➤ Unions are linking Gaza solidarity to broader social justice and labor demands, calling for housing investment, welfare expansion, and better workplace safety.

➤ Rallies and blockades are underway in ports of Genoa and Salerno, and also Rome, Milan, and other cities, demonstrating broad popular support for ending the genocide and backing Palestinian rights.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@SameerakDev @leonidragozin FPV drones range doesn't allow them to use sat nav to control them.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@EGYOSINT Hamas chose a path of freedom fighting, and Egypt chose the path of ass licking USA & Israel. It didn't start in 7th October-the occupation and genocide of the israeil ran way before.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@WarMonitorClips Misinformation at its peak. HTS militants were casually killing civilians in the latakia province.

[War Monitor @WarMonitors]

⚡️Children wearing Eid clothes and their father holding Eid money to distribute to them.

An entire family was killed when Israeli warplanes bombed a tent housing displaced people west of Khan Yunis, in the southern Gaza Strip.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@sentdefender No quote or proof or anything close to supprt the claim. Have we started to believe anything either side saying now?

[Satya Nadella @satyanadella]

A couple reflections on the quantum computing breakthrough we just announced...

Most of us grew up learning there are three main types of matter that matter: solid, liquid, and gas. Today, that changed.

After a nearly 20 year pursuit, we’ve created an entirely new state of matter, unlocked by a new class of materials, topoconductors, that enable a fundamental leap in computing.

It powers Majorana 1, the first quantum processing unit built on a topological core.

We believe this breakthrough will allow us to create a truly meaningful quantum computer not in decades, as some have predicted, but in years.

The qubits created with topoconductors are faster, more reliable, and smaller.

They are 1/100th of a millimeter, meaning we now have a clear path to a million-qubit processor.

Imagine a chip that can fit in the palm of your hand yet is capable of solving problems that even all the computers on Earth today combined could not!

Sometimes researchers have to work on things for decades to make progress possible.

It takes patience and persistence to have big impact in the world.

And I am glad we get the opportunity to do just that at Microsoft.

This is our focus: When productivity rises, economies grow faster, benefiting every sector and every corner of the globe.

It’s not about hyping tech; it’s about building technology that truly serves the world.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@ghostofRoc @GrandpaRoy2 That's the key here. FPv won't denote on the net, but they can hit the poles of the net. Considering it's a bit far from the front line, it would be fairly easy to replace the netting as well.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@CilComLFC @sentdefender What consequences left for the Gazan's? 50,000+ dead weren't enough d..mb a..s.

[War Monitor @WarMonitors]

Bro’s aura farming 😂💀

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@Pataramesh Egypt might benefit from the re-routing of the cargo ships through the Suez Canal. Also, Gaza reconstruction might add up to to its economy. But in a geopolitical sense, the net is 0 for them= agreed.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@TrueStrengthHQ @MyLordBebo Paid by the EU or USA to gather support from non allies countries.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@sentdefender Hamas is still active. And he considers removing Hezbollah. Best of luck.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@adam1trent @Faytuks Nazis & all other autocracy were telling themselves that we are more powerful than our opponents. Israel likely will stay long enough to see things crumble under their nose one day. Hope you may see that too mate.

[A S M Sayeem @ASMSayeem7]

@AMK_Mapping_ @GeoConfirmed You deserved this. Very few accounts like yours exist, which provide reliable & accurate war updates and changes in battle scenarios. Keep going, brother.

[Ruchir Jajoo @ruchirjajoo]

In 1996 Intel was worth >$100B and practically owned the semiconductor industry. Nvidia was unknown.

Now Nvidia is worth $3 Trillion, 30X the market cap of Intel.

How did Jensen Huang take on Intel and win?

It's the 21st Century David vs Goliath story.

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