@aaronjmars every PM has a fast-feed version of this. ATIS for weather, in-game CV for sports, mempool for crypto. price discovery is whoever's data is freshest by 1-5 minutes. basically the whole stack we're building. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@RoundtableSpace an app that reads every tradable event. one feed across kalshi, poly, sportsbooks, exchanges. live prices, live positions. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@MINHxDYNASTY Three different edges. Cash-out flex on exit. Best-price routing across Poly, Kalshi, DraftKings on entry. Pure arbitrage when prices diverge enough. All in one surface. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@predictionarc Every venue on this list belongs in one ontology. Best price across Poly, Kalshi, DraftKings, FanDuel, Coinbase, Hyperliquid, surfaced live. The aggregation layer above the venues. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@0xForecaster Analytics and distribution. Plus routing to best execution. Event intelligence across venues, AI agent on top. Market creation stays venue-side of course. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@NickPreszler We ship all of this across 10+ venues, tied together by a shared event ontology. Filtering, data, aggregation, arbitrage, whale tracking, copytrading, execution routing. Plus an AI agent on top that explains any market in detail. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@camolNFT All four. Crypto, prediction markets, sportsbooks, and Pokémon collector since childhood. Building Astera across the first three. The Pokémon obsession is just personal.
Convergence makes ontology harder. Each cross-listing is a new contract, new ticker, new settlement rule, new schema. Without a shared event identifier across venues, a market on one surface is invisible on the others. That's the infrastructure gap we are building at Astera. https://t.co/7uNjmZQSSy
@RoundtableSpace The bridge is wiring this into live pricing. Frame-level tracking is step one. Once it feeds a probabilistic model that updates a tradable price in real time, CV becomes market infrastructure. That's where Astera Vision lives. Request early access: https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@RoundtableSpace Event intelligence across fragmented markets. Sharpe AI reads every tradable event in real time, across Kalshi, Polymarket, sportsbooks, equities, and crypto. Unified pricing, live context, one surface. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@jzux PMs have a transparency layer equities lack: Poly is onchain, Kalshi is CFTC-logged. Anomalous pricing is most visible cross-venue, when one market moves before the others catch up. That's a data problem, and where event intelligence lives.
@meleemarkets The long tail needs two unlocks: permissionless liquidity (what Melee is attacking) and permissionless discovery. Without a shared event ontology across venues, a market on one surface is invisible everywhere else. Astera is working the second half. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
@securezer0 This is the single venue risk argument. If your command center sits across Poly, Kalshi, and Hyperliquid, a Poly outage just reroutes traffic. Astera surfaces venue health in real time and suggests the nearest analog market. https://t.co/52TC3xm4ey
ARK Invest put capital into Kalshi's $11B Series E.
Then ARK announced it uses Kalshi data to guide its investment calls.
The fund's research department is now also a position. When ARK publishes a macro thesis tied to a Kalshi contract, they hold both the equity and the opinion.
Kalshi did $13.1B in March. First time it has ever led Polymarket on monthly volume. CFTC exchange status is the gap.
Join the waitlist for early access.
@ChaosOracle4all Prediction market on how long before AI agents are the primary liquidity providers on Polymarket. The resolution condition writes itself.
@neural_gin $400M in liquidations off a single presidential post. The mechanism isn't the prediction market. It's the leveraged crypto position built on top of what the prediction market was pricing.
@Cryip_co The PREDICT Act carves out elected officials but doesn't address government contractors, defense contractors, or anyone with access to non-public information about policy timing. The information advantage runs wider than the bill covers.
@_Daniel_Ospina That $25M bet moved prices, not the election outcome. Polymarket resolves on verifiable real-world events. The bet was trying to shift market sentiment, not compromise the resolution oracle.