αstrostar ⭐️🌐

Mastering smart trading. Lost but learned a lot.
Always looking for no brainer trades.
SUI is the new SOL this bullrun.
Being early on Abstract.

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

No brainer coins on my list, that can give you an idea:

1. $TROLL
2. $WOJAK
3. #Y2K
4. #ITALIANROT
5. $URANUS
6. $NYAN
7. #HARAMBE

These coins are most likely going up. (Some of them might take longer, but if you go in with size now, it's better than wasting $ on quick plays)

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

@chinchat09 @Cristiano The best

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

@papilios50827 Let's see brother

[papilio @papilios50827]

Technical Tuesday📈:

Just some few things today
___
1⃣ $BTC bounced off of the 3rd band of the AVWAP on the first touch (pic 1)

We are currently sitting on the April 2025 low, would be good if we establish that as a support.
___
2⃣ ETH/BTC looks absolutely ready to rip (pic 2)

If $BTC doesn't dump here and continues to go up, $ETH will outperform huge, and some altcoins too.
___
3⃣ $BTC and $ETH exchange reserves (pic 3-4)

People still take their coins from the exchange.
Doesn't look like bear market to me...
___
⏺️ Summary:

Technicals look good.
Tomorrow is the FOMC, which usually leads to a selloff in the coming days/weeks.
Would be nice if we didn't this time, but let's see...

[papilio @papilios50827]

Technical Tuesday📈:

Today was VERY volatile in the markets...

We are still in a sideways movement inside of a closing triangle.
Currently aboce the PoC of this range.

At some point we have to break out of this sideways PA and I think it will be to the upside.

Spot is buying, coinbase premium positive, funding negative and liquidity above us.

IF $BTC breaks out above this with spot demand I think the next big resistance will be 74.4k.
There are sitting fib extension levels and it's the low of April 2025.

That should be our next target.

If we don't break out, we either continue to range (or even break below, which I don't think will happen so fast!)

Let's see how this plays out.

#Bitcoin #crypto

[papilio @papilios50827]

Sunday Summary📒:

This week has been full of action.
I think it is too early to really talk about what is going on, but I will make it very short.
___
1⃣Mood:

The market is fearful. War, tariffs and US debt is a still spreading fear.
Retail is scared af, calling for WW3 and the end of the world and $BTC.
Everybody is either leaving or going short.

Bullish.
___
2⃣Technicals:

Still massively oversold, ranging since weeks, boring PA.

We need a breakout above those range highs, to get some momentum.

Patience.
___
3⃣Whales:

Some are selling, more are buying now.
Coinbase Premium is positive again.

Bullish.
___
4⃣Traditional Markets:

Will be very volatile this week this coming week.
Stay carefull with leverage...
Let's see how markets react tomorrow.
Can't predict anything.

But I expect a selloff on monday.
Patience.
___
5⃣ Flow Data:

OI is down.
Coinbase Premium turned positive.
Funding mostly red.
Short term liquidity on both sides, longterm clearly to the upperside.

Bullish.
___
6⃣ Stablecoins:

Looks like the stablecoins could put in a reverse for the cryptomarket.
USDT.D ready to fall.
Supply looks like it is going to go up again.

Patience.
___
⏺️Summary:

I am still bullish at these price regions and think, many will be suprised how quick $BTC can reverse from here.

BUT we have a lot of action right now in the world and we should be ready to adapt if necessary.

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

@papilios50827 Thank you for the summary, when will life be good again

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

@papilios50827 Helpful bro!

[papilio @papilios50827]

Traditional Thursday📊:

Let us take a look at the traditional markets today.

1⃣ The $SPX, the $RUT, the Nasdaq and the Dow Jones recovered from last weeks "dump", which is a good sign.
The are all in ATH regions, looking to go into a price discovery phase very soon.
___
2⃣ One interesting chart is the RUSSEL2000 divided by the S&P500 (RUT/SPX) (pic 1)

Last year, we saw the lowest ratio since the dotcom bubble.
We saw a sharp downtrend since April 2021.
Since then, we stayed in a risk-off sentiment, due to QT, rising interest rates, etc.

That changed in the summer this year (or at least it looks like it for now, of course we don't have guarantees)
If we really formed a bottom in summer last year, we could see a more risk-on regime in the coming years, which of course $BTC would benefit from.

Keep that chart in mind.
___
3⃣ The $IGV

The correlation between the Tech Software Sector and #Bitcoin is undeniable (pic 2)

The $IGV had a pullback at the same time as $BTC, BUT there is a big difference.
The $IGV put in a higher low and bounced of the 200 week moving average, with HUGE volume.
I think the software sector is not ready for a bear market yet, and with that $BTC could definitely follow to the upside.

If the correlation continues, and the $IGV is still showing strentgh, I expect $BTC to do the same.
___
4⃣ Gold and Silver

I think we all know about the #Gold and #Silver rally the last months/years.

A couple of weeks ago they both put in a (local) top. Since then they lost multiple trillion dollars in market cap.

#Gold is showing more strength than silver in this correction. It put in higher highs and higher lows since the crash.
I am not predicting anything, but I can imagine that #Gold will not correct as hard as #Silver.
I can imagine it putting in a more sideways action.
More and more people realize that their local currency is getting devalued from day to day, and #Gold is the oldest hedge against that.
I think #Gold will still thrive in the future because of that, we will see.

#Silver in the other hand is a different story.
It looks way weaker than #Gold.
Lower highs and lower lows. Check the history of #Silver, we know how these parabolas end.
BUT, I do think, that #Silver will not retrace as hard as in the past. Physical demand is there and in the future it will not go away so quick.
But for now, the silver bugs have to give their spotlight away.
___
5⃣ COPPER/GOLD

The famous ratio shows us, that we might enter the a strong economic season.
Less Fear (Gold strength), more productions (Copper strength)

Historically this has always been the perfect enviroment for $BTC to thrive.
If the ratio flips bullish again, we could see a more risk-on enviroment (pic 3)
___
6⃣ US economic expansion (pic 4)

We all heard about the ISM breaking 50 points a couple of days.
This signals a growth of the economy in the US. IF the ISM stays above 50 again when the new data is realesed next month (and better over 52.6), we can clearly say that this wasn't a fake out.

Another very good indicator is the HTRUCKSSAAR chart.
This chart shows us the heavy truck sales. If you produce much, you need something to transport that.
So when the truck sales go up, we know that production is rising too.
The good thing is, we had 2 month of uptrend now, which makes a fakeout very unlikely in my opinion.

Combine these two and we get a clearer picture of if the US economy is expanding or contracting.
And right now it looks more like a expansion, which will give us more of a risk-on enviroment.
___
⏺️ Summary

Traditional markets looks strong for now and we are likely to enter a new business cycle for the US after years of contraction.
This will give Bitcoin tailwind and we could see a pumping Bitcoin even tho "we are in a bear market year"

This is not a guarantee for anything tho, we can only observe an access.

On next weeks Traditional Thursday, I will look more at bonds, $DXY and the stocks of treasure companies.

👍If you liked this analysis, leave a like and follow and comment your thoughts too

[papilio @papilios50827]

🔴This statement from @Roman_Trading is wrong🔴

I will split the explanation into these topics:

1⃣ Why is the statement about this survey wrong?
2⃣ What exactly means "most people"?
3⃣ Why we cannot rely on this indicator this time, like the other two bullruns.

A thread 🧵⬇️

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

@papilios50827 @Roman_Trading Thanks for pointing it out 👏🏻

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

@papilios50827 Thanks for info

[papilio @papilios50827]

Probably nothing...
#Bitcoin #Bullrun

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

@papilios50827 Very interesting, thank you 🤝🏻

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

Look at this

[papilio @papilios50827]

Silver at ATH

Let us take a look at precious metals and what their pump means for BTC.

For that lets go back to the last time Gold and Silver pumped hard.
And who could have thought when that happened:
2019/2020

I split it in 4 phases:
🟦Phase 1 - The start of the pump
🟨Phase 2 - Gold pump
🟩Phase 3 - Silver/Gold pump
⬜️Phase 4 - Bitcoin pump

We are now at the end of phase 3, what comes next will surprise everyone...
____________________
🟦Phase 1: The start of the pump

In this phase we start with the bottom for precious metals and and delayed bottom for $BTC.
After that $BTC recovers earlier than Gold/Silver and puts in a local high first, followed by Gold/Silver earlier.
The phase ends with all of them still hovering a little below this local high.

🟨Phase 2: Gold pump

In this phase all the attention is clearly on Gold.
Gold pumps very hard, while Silver and $BTC are very volatile with up and downs.
Both phases end with crashes:
-2020 Covid
-2025 Almost WW3 and Trump Tariffs
Gold corrects, but not as hard as Silver and $BTC

🟩Phase 3: Silver/Gold pump

In this phase the main attention is on silver.
Silver puts in an explosive rally, Gold pumps too.
$BTC on the other hand gets no retail attention even tho it doesn't perform to bad.
This phase ends with a drop in $BTC (2020 not being as hard as now tho) and a top for both precious metals.
In my opinion we are currently at the end of phase 3.

⬜️Phase 4: Bitcoin pump

After we saw precious metals top in 2020, they consolidated below their ATH.
This was the start for the $BTC rally.
Investors looked somewhere else to make profits and they chose Bitcoin.
$BTC put in a huge parabolic rally, receiving all the retail attention.
____________________

Why do I think precious metals topped?
Look at the headlines, look at the masses.
They wait in line in front of stores to buy it, thinking they are making a good choice.
But they are late, too late.
Nobody is interested in $BTC right now, the sentiment is dead.
The profits from Gold and Silver will rotate like they did in 2020.
And we all know where they will be put it into.
By the way, the rate cuts from the Fed are very similar in both times too.
The only thing that is a big difference is the big fat money printing from the FED becasue of the Covid crash.
But the FED started something that you can call "small" QE just a few days ago too, so the direction is the same.

RESUME
All of the above is not a guarantee that $BTC will pump from here.
But it shows us, that there is at least a decent possibility that we can pump.
And I know that this would catch A LOT of people offguard so lets see...

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

@papilios50827 A very good thread my friend 🙏

[papilio @papilios50827]

Why isn't it possible, that the cycle theory is over?
Wasn't it clear, that at some point in time, the 4-Year-Cycle will be over?
If yes, why not this time?
Be cause we "topped" on the "perfect predicted date" and prices are down since then?

A thread 🧵⬇️

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

Nice analysis for $TROLL

[ELECTRO @ElectroExtant]

Why @MustStopMurad must buy $TROLL...

[Free @free_electron0]

The most known meme in history, soon to be on Coinbase, Binance US, and probably all the other T1 CEXs

At the onset of what is shaping up to be a bullish Q4 for crypto

Most logical memecoin candidate for a run to $1B+

$Troll

[αstrostar ⭐️🌐 @astromaster17]

$NYAN will have a comeback

[Market Watcher @watchingmarkets]

And here they come. ☕️