$BTC is moving higher on a weekend move, but keep an eye on the CME close. About 95% of the CME gaps will be filled within a week.
Be cautious when opening long positions.
$BTC
Last week was chaotic during NY.
Almost every NY session nuked. The only time we pushed up was when we dumped into the open.
Going into next week, watch the pre-NY price action and anticipate the inverse move.
$BTC
Reviewing this chart, USDT.D is still trading below weekly supply.
If this weekly candle closes bearish and we begin to see a break in structure alongside early signs of a trend shift on the LTF, BTC is very likely to retest the local highs.
This would align with the 2021 fractal, where price consolidated below resistance for several months before eventually breaking down. At this stage, this appears to be the most probable scenario.
$BTC Keeps rejecting from its 4H 200MA/EMA Trend.
If this wants to get out of this choppy range, that would be the first level that needs to be broken on the upside.
$BTC
Overall, BTC remains range bound, with nothing really special happening. To better understand where we are, let’s rewind a few weekly candles and break down what’s unfolded.
Starting with the large red weekly candle that dropped from 94K to 80K: the following week opened and swept the lows around 85K before pushing higher and testing 92K for the first time. After testing 92K, we can see sellers gradually stepping in before closing this weekly candle.
The next weekly candle then opened and briefly swept the prior week’s wick low with a slight deviation. Shortly after, price reversed upward again, sweeping the 92K liquidity once more, but sellers regained control, resulting in an indecisive close with a long wick.
The next weekly candle opened by holding above 90K. During FOMC, price once again swept the 92K region, this time pushing into 94K with deviation, before closing red, confirming continued seller presence. Our current weekly candle is also indecisive, but its behavior is important. Price pushed up toward 90K, then sold off aggressively down into the 84K region, filling liquidity left by the previous long wick.
What does this tell us? BTC is currently in a equilibrium from a price action perspective. We’ve swept the external range highs at 94K and have now come back down to rebalance and sweep the downside liquidity.
If 84K holds as our higher low after this rebalance, BTC is likely to rotate back toward 90K. A flip of 90K could open the door for another move toward 94K, provided we see acceptance above the yearly open at 93.6K. However, if 84K fails to hold and LTF S/R levels are not respected, downside continuation remains possible.
Key levels to watch: if 86.7K fails, 85.2K becomes the next area of interest. If that level doesn’t hold, a sweep of 83.8K is likely. Overall, we are still range bound, we’ve taken highs and we’ve taken lows, so the early part of the week, particularly Monday and Tuesday, will be crucial.
If a bearish narrative forms early in the week, look for a push higher into the latter half. Conversely, if we begin the week with bullish conditions, expect potential downside later.
Hopefully this helps.
$ETH
ETH is basically stuck in the same story: bouncing, but still under key overhead levels.
The orange band ($2.7–3.0k) is the battlefield. It’s support until it isn’t.
Above that, ETH needs to reclaim $3.2–3.4k to look “healthy” again.
Expectation: hold $2.7–3.0k = chop + attempts higher.
Lose it = quick downside acceleration (because everyone leaning on the same floor).
$ETH/BTC
ETH is still range-bound vs BTC. Not broken, but not winning either.
It needs a clean reclaim above the range highs (roughly mid-0.03s) to flip momentum back in ETH’s favor.
As long as ETH/BTC can’t break up, rallies in ETH are likely “bounce vibes,” not “ETH leads the market” vibes.
Break up = better odds alts wake up too.
$BTC
Still in a downtrend from the top, but it’s trying to base.
That $84–88k zone is doing all the heavy lifting right now (buyers defending it).
Big make-or-break level above is still $100k (prior support turned resistance).
if BTC keeps holding ~$84–88k, you usually get a grind back toward ~$92–95k first, then the real test is $100k. Lose that ~$84k area and it opens the door to the lower support zone (~$76–72k).
$ETH
ETH is also chopping inside a support band around the high-2Ks/low-3Ks (your shaded zone).
The trend still looks heavy, but the bounce attempts say buyers aren’t fully asleep yet.
What matters: reclaiming the recent breakdown area (~$3.2k–$3.4k) would be the first “okay maybe” signal.
If it can’t, ETH stays stuck in range/grind mode.
$BTC
$BTC is basically in a relief bounce + consolidation after that sharp dump from the highs.
You’ve got a near-term floor around the mid/low 80s (the box) getting tested, and a major resistance/supply around ~$100k (big box).
Translation: market is deciding if this is a dead cat bounce or the start of a proper reclaim.
Reclaim + hold above $90k–$92k helps.
Fail the floor = opens the door to deeper sweep.
Another day, another ATH for gold.
That said, don’t FOMO here. Historically, major gold pumps have been followed by significant corrections, in the range of 22% to 68%.
The top looks close.
I expect 2026 to be a very bearish year for all assets.
Cash will be king in 2026.
I have said this many times before.
#Bitcoin is the only crypto currency you can hold multi cycle.
Every other crypto risk to go literally to zero and stay there after 1-2 cycles.
Do you agree?
$BTC / $USD - Update
I am waiting today for that move down to $86,800 for a possible long entry upon holding.
Going to get wicky over next few days, but determined to catch the big moves like yesterday
$BTC
So far, nothing has changed in the BTC scenario. Due to the holiday season, volume has dried up so there's no proper movement on either side. It's still stuck in the 85k-94k range and consolidating in nearly the same place for days. But as mentioned earlier, as long as it holds the 85k-83k level, we are still expecting BTC at the 94k area.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto