ATP Sharp 🎾

Free #ATP 🎾 gambling advice | 2022: +139U | 2023: 377-296 +31U | all bets 1U | 📧: [email protected] |

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

@atpsharp‘s 2022 Year End Recap for #GambingTwitter

Record: 644✅ 471❎ 29🅿️

Total Staked: 629.79 U

Av. Stake: 0.85 U

Profit: 138.76 U🔥

ROI: 22%🔥

Performance By Wager Type:
- Best ML +64U
- Worst Over 22.5 -3.5U

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

Forgot to mention, Hurkacz if he drops out (would be reasonable) would shift odds and drive the Khachanov price down a lot 👍

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATPTokyo #Futures

Draw analysis

Khachanov at +1000 for 0.1u

Likely opponent in quarters is fritz who is out of form/gassed & h2h is good

Q2 is a gauntlet same with Q3, expect Zverev to come out of bottom half, could see Shelton make a run.

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks & line analysis
📍#ATPStockholm
📅2023.10.15
Qualifying

Broady -150 1.5u @bet365

this line is off should be -200 already -170 -180 elsewhere

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

📝
🔹Garin has better stats on hard in 2023, in a coin flip I’ll give it to him, Rinky can’t hold serve & he can
🔹Vukic is a fade on Felix, even the old Felix would have played a tiebreak in this one
🔹Rodionov good v LH and Draper is not fully fit IMO
🔹hubbie tired, Zhang 📈

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks & line analysis
📍#ATPTokyo
📅2023.10.15/16/17
Round 1 & Qualifying

Garin -103 0.5u

Rodionov +350 0.25u
& +4.5g 0.75u

Zhang +150 0.25u
& +2.5g 0.75u

Vukic +171 0.25u
& +2.5g 0.75u

GLHF🍀

All lines predicted⤵️

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

Recap #ATP picks

-1u ❌

Korda and the over games in each set don’t hit as Korda can’t find his serve

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.14
👥Korda v Hurkacz

0.25u on each:
S1 o12.5g +188 @BetRivers
S2 o12.5g +210 @FDSportsbook

Given both ~87% hold rate & break edge Korda by ~5% 🤯

Korda ML 0.5u, waiting until last minute, expect odds to shift toward Hurkacz

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATPShanghai

Adding Korda half unit at +104 as discussed at bet rivers

Cap this as a slight edge Korda.

Staying away from Dimitrov Rublev see it as a coin flip as well but believe Rublev will win, so can’t justify Dimitrov (just don’t trust him in business end of long week

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.14
👥Korda v Hurkacz

0.25u on each:
S1 o12.5g +188 @BetRivers
S2 o12.5g +210 @FDSportsbook

Given both ~87% hold rate & break edge Korda by ~5% 🤯

Korda ML 0.5u, waiting until last minute, expect odds to shift toward Hurkacz

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.14
👥Korda v Hurkacz

0.25u on each:
S1 o12.5g +188 @BetRivers
S2 o12.5g +210 @FDSportsbook

Given both ~87% hold rate & break edge Korda by ~5% 🤯

Korda ML 0.5u, waiting until last minute, expect odds to shift toward Hurkacz

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATPShanghai line analysis for 2023.10.13 (Friday)

Haven’t had time to properly handicap the matches and sim the matches. So nothing official.

But my leans…

Jarry at +220 or so
Humbert at +190 or so

The lines are off to the eye test, one or maybe both win IMO

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

@Freelunchfelon1 😎

Swear free now that Korda has the break GL🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

RECAP #ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.12

S1 o12.5g +245 0.25u ✅

+0.61 units…another day in the green 🤑

Now to sit back and enjoy the match what a tiebreak by Benny

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.12 (Thursday)

Avoiding marozsan hurkacz

Korda Shelton to be tight, think Korda should be a slight fav -130 or so, Korda been so so vs LH & a lot of recent court time
BUT neither guy can break reliably

Pick: S1 o12.5g +245 0.25u

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

RECAP #ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.11

1-1 ➡️ +0.2U 🆗

another winning day 👍

Schwartzman +184 0.5u❌
Humbert -142✅

Ugo making us rich this week !

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.11 (Wednesday)

Schwartzman +184 0.5u @FDSportsbook
Love the h2h & value should be +130 to +140 imo, Jarry doesn’t do anything better than fritz

Humbert -142 @BetRivers
Should be more like -175, wolf drop off vs LH

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.12 (Thursday)

Avoiding marozsan hurkacz

Korda Shelton to be tight, think Korda should be a slight fav -130 or so, Korda been so so vs LH & a lot of recent court time
BUT neither guy can break reliably

Pick: S1 o12.5g +245 0.25u

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

RECAP #ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅 2023.10.10

Sweeeeeeppppp 🧹 🧹

2-0 ➡️ +2.28u 🔥

It’s official, on a heater

Shelton +3.5g +110✅
Zhang +2.5g +118✅

Also hit Shelton ML LIVE at +240 0.25u unofficial play

what a day💥

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅 2023.10.10 (Tuesday)

Shelton +3.5g +110

Zhang +2.5g +118

Tempted on Marozan but laying off

GLHF🍀

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

@isoooooooooe 💔

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATPShanghai

Really thought Benny had a shot against Sinner

Funny how sinner is completely out serving Shelton, never going to win with that happening

Jannik landing 72% 1st serve 🤯

His average on tour is 58% … don’t think he can keep that up forever

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

@EazyEsPicks Love it 💯

Huge edge with the coaching for a young guy on tour

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATPShanghai

Anyone hear Ben Shelton’s dad giving UNREAL advice on the raw feed? WHAT AN ADVANTAGE

Ben missed a winner at 30-all on serve down 3-4 in S3 (match on the line) & Ben’s dad stays so positive “great point construction, you had him” then saves a couple bps and wins

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

@mrenyce 🔥 unreal timing

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

BENNNY

As guessed, Sinner couldn’t keep up those godly service stats

Regression to the mean 🧠🧠🧠📉

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

#ATPShanghai

Really thought Benny had a shot against Sinner

Funny how sinner is completely out serving Shelton, never going to win with that happening

Jannik landing 72% 1st serve 🤯

His average on tour is 58% … don’t think he can keep that up forever

[ATP Sharp 🎾 @atpsharp]

@mrenyce 🔥