Against The Spread

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[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

I'm not here to sell picks.

Betting Twitter is run by guys with subscription picks and zero spreadsheets.

So I built one. Then a database. Then a Tableau dashboard on 3 years of MLB data.

Here's what I'm building — and why the data embarrasses a lot of "experts."

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Recent cold streak so we took the day off.

Ready to bounce back tomorrow.
We have added new start of series data into our database and it will be featured in our picks tomorrow.

Picks dropping 10 am tomorrow.
It's time to turn it around.

#ATSAnalytics

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@RazorsInsight Great call so far you are locked in rn. This Dodgers game was my worst beat in a minute

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #3 — Jun 10

SGP+ Parlay (+488) 🎯

→ CHC -1 (Lorenzen xERA 6.13)
→ PIT 0 runs 1st inning (Ohtani ERA 0.74)
→ Scherzer over 4.5 hits (xERA 6.82)
→ PHI F5 +0.5 (Luzardo xERA 3.48)

Four data backed legs. Plus money.
0.25 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Parlay

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #2 — Jun 10

Arizona Diamondbacks F5 -0.5 (+114) 🐍

→ Gusto xERA: 6.24 — emergency start
→ ARI wRC+ vs RHP 2025: 110 — elite offense
→ ARI Wednesday away: 69.2% in 2025
→ MIA Wednesday home: 30.8% in 2025

0.25 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #1 — Jun 10

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-126)

→ Ohtani ERA: 0.74 confirmed by xERA ✅
→ LAD wRC+ vs RHP 2025 : 113 — elite
→ PIT wRC+ vs RHP 2025: 84 — struggles
→ PIT after blowout bounces back: 37.5%

1.0 unit. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@RazorsInsight For sure especially not being able to score the runner on 3rd with only 1 out smh

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Day 16 results:

❌ BOS ML (-109)
Tolle regression. TB played great defense late.

❌ NYM ML (-131)
Peralta massive regression.
Mets can make any pitcher look good.

✅ TOR WALK OFF WIN 🎉
Bounce back data: 78.9% delivered.
Sharp money was right.
Walk off 9th inning.

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Day 16: 1-2 (-1.35 units)
Overall: 18-22 (-3.53 units)

Back tomorrow. Fresh research. Process never wavers.

#ATSAnalytics

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@NickyCashin The line continuing to move towards TOR is pretty telling let’s go Jays

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #3 — Jun 9

Toronto Blue Jays ML (+110) Boosted

→ TOR G2 bounce back: 78.9% in 2025
→ PHI Tuesday away: 41.7% in 2025
→ TOR wRC+ vs RHP 2025: 113
→ Sharp money moving line toward TOR

$25 bonus bet. Gut Call. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #2 — Jun 9

New York Mets ML (-131)

→ NYM Tuesday home: 83.3% in 2025
→ NYM wRC+ vs RHP 2025: 118
→ Peralta xERA: 3.78 — confirmed solid
→ May bottom 5% in hard-hit rate

0.75 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏 #BestBet

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #1 — Jun 9

Boston Red Sox ML (-109)

→ Tolle xERA: 2.31 — confirmed elite
→ TB Tuesday home: 35.7% in 2025
→ BOS Tuesday away: 58.3% in 2025
→ Martinez xERA: 4.53 — regression due

0.60 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Day 15: 1-1 (+0.06 units)
Overall: 17-20 (-2.45 units)

Back at it tomorrow. Big slate. Let’s make some money.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Day 15 results:

✅ PHI F5 -0.5 (-130) — WIN
Sanchez xERA 2.82 delivered.
5-2 after 5. Clean. 🎯

❌ MIL + F5 U6.5 (+160)
Harrison struggled. HR festival.
ATH game at Las Vegas venue
hitter friendly park, lesson learned on venue research.

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@PhillySharp1 We love the F5 as well -0.5 has solid value

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #2 — Jun 8

MIL ML + F5 Under 6.5 Parlay (+160) 🍺

→ Harrison xERA: 3.11
→ MIL 2026 away record: 19-10 = 65.5%
→ ATH Monday home: 30% in 2025
→ Coors hangover suppresses MIL offense
→ ATH scores 3.7 runs Monday home avg

0.50 units. Bet log live in bio.

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #1 — Jun 8

Philadelphia Phillies F5 -0.5 (-135) 🔔

→ Sanchez xERA: 2.82, 7-2 record, 86.1 innings, 3 HR
→ Corbin xERA: 5.27 — due for regression
→ PHI Monday away: 55.6% in 2025
→ PHI 2026 away record: 16-13

0.75 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #2 — June 7

Texas Rangers -1 (+102)

→ TEX Sunday Home: 57.1%
→ CLE Sunday Away: 42.9%
→ deGrom 2-1, 1.52 ERA at home
→ deGrom great K% and BB% which will suppress the low scoring CLE bats

0.75 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏 #BestBet

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@RazorsInsight We are on the rangers today but our data has the angles and pirates as promising angles!