1/ Paper alert: Introducing Solly, the first AI to achieve elite human level performance at Liar’s Poker, the classic Wall Street bluffing game. With @Ciamac, @atzheng and Janos Botyanszki.
@sam_power_825 @_jcken The best shrinkage estimator (in MSE) is biased for any x, no? I.e., argmin_{α ≥ 0} { E |α y - x|² } < 1. Maybe the fun part is then showing that James-Stein actually allows you to choose a shrinkage α based on y, which will be better than 1
@johncarlosbaez Some great geometric intuition in high dimensions: James-Stein approximates the projection of the mean onto the sample mean. https://t.co/a7mF1VOPIs
Also, little-known but obvious in hindsight: you can derive the James-Stein estimator by minimizing SURE! https://t.co/92Rnxk3G6S