🌍 With 2024 set to be the hottest year on record, are climate summits "fit for purpose"?
🌡️Fossil fuel delegates outnumber climate scientists
🌡️Weak financing frameworks
🌡️Lack of actionable carbon reduction metrics
Reforms are vital → https://t.co/9bHIB0vCOr #COP29
📣 Iran and Israel recalibrate while ceasefire holds
In this week's MENA strategic bulletin, we assess the fallout from 12 days that put the region on edge.
Full analysis here:
https://t.co/sX9NAdUjy3
5/🇮🇷What’s Iran thinking?
Iran, for now, is cautious. It’s distancing itself from the Houthis and avoiding provocations – especially after recent setbacks to its missile programme.
But it won’t negotiate with Trump unless sanctions are lifted. And they won’t be.
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🇮🇱 On March 18, Israel ended a two-month truce with Hamas, launching a massive air campaign in Gaza. Netanyahu says this is “just the beginning.”
Our latest MENA Bulletin explores what happened – and what it means. https://t.co/E80VXQXsbL
Here’s a break down:
4/
What’s the US thinking?
The US is directly targeting the Houthi movement as the last and most powerful remaining Iranian proxy. But there’s a catch:
The Houthis have grown more independent – and strategic. They’re not likely to back down just because Washington wants them to.
Will Trump’s Gaza Plan Prompt Arab States into Action?
Facing almost unanimous popular opposition to Trump’s Gaza proposal, Arab leaders are being pushed to think hard about a viable alternative solution :https://t.co/4a9IPhVK67
Our latest MENA Strategic Bulletin analyses the prospects of the latest round of Gaza ceasefire talks, as well as bringing updates from Tehran, Damascus and Ankara.
Full analysis here: https://t.co/kOMYOFO0Km
#Gaza#MaximumPressure#TrumpMENA
Azure Strategy’s Political Personality Profiles analyse decision-makers using Margaret H. Hermann’s methodology – predicting how beliefs, values & past behaviour shape future actions.
Ahmed al-Sharaa - Is his shift to ‘moderate’ leader genuine? https://t.co/HTPomUrHbK
In this week’s MENA Strategic Bulletin, Kanz Majdalawi unpacks the consequences of Trump’s 90-day aid freeze for Gaza, the West Bank, Jordan, Lebanon and Syria #USAID#MENA#Jordan#Syria#Lebanon
👉 https://t.co/NLJ28Q7YMI
Unpacking the Gaza ceasefire deal:
- Who will be released in the prisoner exchange, and when
- What it means for humanitarian aid entry
- Provisions for internally displaced Gazans to return home.
https://t.co/1fIePp7pNT
MENA Strategic Bulletin: After more than two years of political deadlock, Lebanon has finally elected a new president. What's in Joseph Aoun's intray?
https://t.co/cwcAYiebho
👉As Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham seeks international legitimation, Israel looks to take advantage of its moment of strategic ascendency. What's next? https://t.co/hTGivQ5wuS
#Syria#HTS#Israel#Yemen#MENA#Geopolitics
📢MENA Strategic Bulletin Special Edition: The overthrow of Assad.
We unpack the consequences of a seismic week in Syrian history: https://t.co/2PeSFJyfEi
🗓️Coming up in January: An Azure Strategy–@RapidanEnergy special event on Trump 2.0 for MENA - energy, climate, and geopolitics. Contact details below 👇👇👇
The rapid advance of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham in Syria has taken many by surprise.
With Assad unlikely to go gently, there’s a high likelihood of a protracted struggle at a great civilian cost.
Read our full analysis here: https://t.co/h4cmWjys0l
📣 MENA Strategic Bulletin: Trump’s Middle East Appointees
From a real estate investor to a Baptist preacher, Trump’s Middle East picks are typically unconventional.
Here's what to expect: https://t.co/Pt5qyw9MoG