Guilherme A.

Macro Analysis and Austrian Economics enthusiast.

[Hayek-Club Weimar @WeimarClub]

Sozialismus ist das perfekte Geschäftsmodell für Politiker: Er erzeugt Abhängigkeit, und Abhängigkeit erzeugt Wähler. Wer vom Staat lebt – durch Transferleistungen, Subventionen, „soziale“ Absicherung, planwirtschaftliche Privilegien – wählt denjenigen, der die Hähne aufdreht. Der Politiker wird zum Versorger, der Bürger zum Klienten. Je größer die Abhängigkeit, desto größer die Macht. Deshalb lieben sie ihn. Nicht aus Ideologie, sondern aus nacktem Eigeninteresse.

Kapitalismus hingegen ist für die politische Klasse eine existenzielle Bedrohung. Er belohnt Eigenverantwortung, Risiko, Innovation und private Initiative. Er macht Menschen unabhängig vom Staat – und damit unkontrollierbar. Wer seinen Lebensunterhalt selbst verdient, seine Entscheidungen selbst trifft und seinen Wohlstand selbst schafft, braucht keine Gönner in Berlin, Brüssel oder sonstwo.

Jede Regulierung, die „den Markt zähmen“ soll, ist in Wahrheit ein Instrument, um Wettbewerb zu ersticken und etablierte Interessen zu schützen. Der freie Markt braucht keinen Politiker als Mittler. Der Politiker braucht den freien Markt als Feindbild.

Deshalb die ewige Rhetorik: Kapitalismus wird als „gierig“, „ungerecht“, „unsozial“ gebrandmarkt – während der Staat, der mit Gewalt monopolisiert, umverteilt und kontrolliert, als moralische Instanz auftritt. Es ist die älteste Strategie der Macht: die Abhängigkeit als Tugend verkaufen und die Unabhängigkeit als Gefahr.

Der Staat hat kein Interesse an freien Menschen. Er hat Interesse an Untertanen, die ihm dankbar sind. Sozialismus liefert die Untertanen. Kapitalismus liefert die Freien.

#FreiheitstattKnechtschaft #SteuernsindRaub #Eigentum #Freiheit #ParasitenwegmitEuremZwang

[Eric Basmajian @EPBResearch]

Private payrolls vs. government payrolls

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@Rothmus

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@Rothmus

[Eraldo De Paola @EraldoPaola]

>Be EM fund manager
>pretend you like value investing
>see Brazil trading cheap
>dont give a phuck about local politics and economics, country is going through huge problems and massive massive massive tax rate increase on everyone
>even with historical tax rate, socialists are able to marginally increase gvt spending further, destroying all the fiscal discipline former gvt fought for
>watch a judiciary dictatorship being implanted, innocent people arrested, journalists being chased
>opposition congressmen and people that worked for former gvt escaping to save themselves (exile)
>former president arrested for nothing, slowly tortured on daily basis in prision
>one of the biggest companies in stock exchange is petrobras, unfortunately belongs to the gvt
>socialist gvt say phuck the price of oil, cut the price of diesel its election year (forces a loss for investors)
>you still dont care “long Brazil, it has fundamentals”
>things are cheap for a reason
>mid and small banks go bankrupt, big historical fraud
>owner phone’s convos leaked
>politicians and supreme court judges envolved in the scheme
>no one to judge it accordingly, only God
>central bank personnel who oversaw the risk for local FDIC being personally chased by supreme court
>no one cares. Suspicion of narcotraffic and organized crime behind bank fraud
>no one cares
>high interest rates push for highest bankruptcy among small companies in decades
>have a bad public system for everything (african level) except for collecting taxes (charge taxes like scandinavia)
>see downtrend in consumption, recent increase in inflation and a full blown local credit crisis brewing
>still dont give a phuck and long brazil

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@heresyfinancial

[Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff]

The actual name of Obamacare is the Affordable Care Act. Democrats promised it would make health care affordable. Now they claim we have a health care crisis due to soaring costs. If the ACA failed to make health care affordable, why would more government subsidies succeed?

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@TXMCtrades Some bitcoiners are not against the state enought

[Joseph Brown @heresyfinancial]

Taxation is theft

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@seanbhart @ASvanevik I think you could answer this with the legendary pencil argument by Milton Friedman.

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@rationalaussie ... GOV could enforce that just aproved kyc wallets are to be used. Also still better than gold because they can't debase $BTC like they could with gold by mixing it with lesser metals.

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@rationalaussie True. But since fiat is needed to purchase $BTC and GOV still controls the fisical world (where ppl spend and pay taxes), it means that $BTC is not untouchable by GOV. Still much better than gold tho, for now. But just like in the past only GOV coined gold could be accepted...

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@ceterispar1bus The thing about these protocols, if were truly decentralized they shouldnt abide by rules of the most centralized thing ever - the state.

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@Noahpinion Monetary rational in BTC is far superior as a as a potential more stable store of value and currency. ETH's burn rate is more volatile leading to predictability in economic calculation. @ErikVoorhees said something similar in a tweet reply.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

We do not need the SEC to protect us from #Bitcoin.

We need #Bitcoin to protect us from the SEC.

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@RiverOtterDan @ErikVoorhees @hodlerforlife @TheStalwart Just cause it not registered does not mean it's a scam. And vice versa, fiat is a scam.

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@AnonsNFT The literal point of p2p descentralized networks is to create an enviroment where centralized authorities cant meddle with peoples things at whim. My point being, if a project obeys the most centralized entity ever than it is not descentralized, specially a 'pro privacy' one.

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@AnonsNFT If something aims to be truly decentralized it wouldnt obey stupid regulation from a centralized entity. Would be like: 'O geez the state (thieves) only allows fiat as payment method therefore i'm not creating bitcoin'.

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@TheHarryPainter @SpencerKSchiff @PeterSchiff But just cause something isn't a store of value now doesn't mean it can't be. Gold didn't start out being money, it became money naturally in time

[Guilherme A. @azvdo_g]

@TheHarryPainter @SpencerKSchiff @PeterSchiff Potential store of value. The critcs are right saying that something so volatile can't be store of value. But Btc has properties that would make it a store of value, but as I said it takes time for ppl to universaly agree on that. Also Btc volatility is in a macro downtrend.