Interested Outsider

Looking from the outside in, overthinking some issues, underthinking others. Pedestrian/driver at intersections.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@bartinoheat I thought that might have happened.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@rugby_podcast See this?

Is this legal in rugby?

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

Indeed.

Game is over here, but what is *any* of the match officials watching here?

Doleman & the crew were terrible tonight, but the worst thing as a reds fan, was it wasn’t unexpected.

[Christy Doran @ChristypDoran]

Knock-on every day of the week from Ratina before McKenzie try and not called.

What is Doleman watching!?!?!?

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@DrCraigEmerson we've got some catching up to do!

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

See also, the $1Mn ever smaller block of land in capital cities has consequences.

Inflation is hurting everyone, and those with kids are worried about their future housing security ... and if you get there, the government now wants some of it, instead of assisting with provision

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

Maybe aspiration shouldn’t be punished, inflation shouldn’t be dismissed & concerns about population growth matter to voters …

Employment is still insulating the government (& perversely house prices & rents too)

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

Maybe aspiration shouldn’t be punished, inflation shouldn’t be dismissed & concerns about population growth matter to voters …

Employment is still insulating the government (& perversely house prices & rents too)

[AusPoll @AusPoll6]

🚨 NEW: Federal voting intention

🟧 ONP: 31% (+4)
🟥 ALP: 28% (-3)
🟦 L/NP: 20% (-2)
🟩 GRN: 12% (-1)
⬛️ OTH: 9% (+2)

Two-party-preferred
🟥 ALP: 51% (-3)
🟦 L/NP: 49% (+3)

ALP vs ONP
🟥 ALP: 51% (-4)
🟧 ONP: 49% (+4)

RedBridge/Accent | 25-28 May | n=1005 | +/- 24-30 Apr

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

Nothing in our FY26 tax returns. Min. FY27

Eventually, Jim's promises of milk & bread years out will become a problem for his marketing.

But, as I've said, I expect much larger tax cuts in the next budget or election campaign ... he will want to bring them forward though ...

[Jim Chalmers MP @JEChalmers]

BREAKING: We've just introduced legislation to deliver more tax cuts to Australian workers.

Labor's five different tax cuts will benefit the average worker by up to $2816.

This Budget makes the tax system fairer for workers, businesses and first homebuyers.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

You don't create wealth by taxing it, you nurture & encourage the investment.

This has been proven time & again (at home & abroad). Trojan horses in the parliament don't want "more tax" from the mining industry, they would prefer we didn't mine.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

Like it or not, mining is Australia's (best) chance to ensure living standards grow in the next century.

Be wary of Senators & MPs trying to get in the way of this, via increasing taxes, environmental regulations, lawfare by proxy.

They are in the way of our future wealth.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@GrayConnolly Gutsy? That’s one of describing taking advantage of the situation.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@MikeBromley15 Six agains on last tackles after dropped calls, overruling bunker, missing high shots while calling others, all in the second half,

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@Dollarydoos_ Good first half of footy. Pretty poor second half of everything.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@JEChalmers @QuentinDempster And no one will feel the impact of any of them.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@AUdcunn He’s had a game of two halves. One good for the game, one good for New South Wales. And that’s a real problem.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

And what’s the talking point after origin? It’s not the send off. But it is the calls. Not good for the game, not good for the series.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

@TheAusInstitute Being smug doesn't make your point, and you guys have a habit of ignoring a little thing called reality.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

Interesting

🎯Predicted 2 weeks ago ...

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

While we're fighting over the budget & tax, once again, assumptions in the budget for commodity price reversion are rather ridiculous (3 commodity price forecasts under costs for many global miners)

So, expect large MYEFO upgrades to revenue late this year & tax cuts next budget

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

The ways to help young people are to get them into property (at lower headline prices than market currently) or increase their incomes while young/raising families (this can be done via tax brackets/offsets/transfers)

The budget doesn't do this.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

The problem though, is that the best "benefit(s)" for young people in the budget & tax changes is(are) indirect & based on hope

Otherwise, the changes *negatively* impact young people, in particular those who may feel they need to invest instead of purchasing PPOR to "get ahead"

[Patrick McGorry @PatMcGorry]

Labor’s tax reforms need ordinary language to get the message across https://t.co/xbIsYf8sMC is the “backlash” not largely a media creation? These changes benefit the vast majority of people esp young people.

[Interested Outsider @b_leeder]

Tbh the bigger problem is that $800Bn a year budget was under $500Bn only 6-7 years ago … and the improvements in services that should come with that increase in relative spending isn’t being felt by the community (or the taxpayers perhaps)

[Stephen Koukoulas @TheKouk]

Most of those ferociously complaining about the budget have never worked in public policy, never had to consider balancing the huge issues in a $800 billion a year budget, never implemented reforms that impact all 28 million Australians, never copped the public hate campaigns against them & their families. We are seeing the lid being lifted on the priorities of those people.