BaseBullBear

AI/semis growth calls: base, bull, bear, not vibes. TA + primary-source fundamentals. NFA. DYOR.

Best Advice: Don't trade the pattern, trade the confirmation

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I think the tech sector is finally breaking out upwards

If the rate hike does not happen, and breakout is confirmed, we could be rallying for ATHs in $DRAM $ALAB $SNDK $MU

And such massive rallies would in turn boost the entirety of $SOXX and subsequent AI players/enablers

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@PizzaLuv Over the long term, yes, easily.

I think the base bull case is 400 SEK, at current capacity

And this is just the beginning

It can rise to 1500 SEK if aggressive

2500 SEK if they follow $LITE

But this is a 2028-2030 target

Short term, definitely not

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@PizzaLuv Over the long term, yes, easily.

I think the base bull case is 400 SEK, at current capacity

And this is just the beginning

It can rise to 1500 SEK if aggressive

2500 SEK if they follow $LITE

But this is a 2028-2030 target

Short term, definitely not

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

$SIVE a perfect retest of the 26 SEK zone

Reclaimed the floor of the range: 25 SEK - 45 SEK

Next targets:
- 30 SEK resistance (+7%)
- 32.6 SEK (200 EMA, +15%)

With a good week, those levels are in play :)

Have a nice weekend!

(Disclaimer: Macro is always king, TA is 2nd)

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I think we've reclaimed the structure for now.... With the US market closed on Monday, hopefully they don't decide to war again.

Then we can look for a continuation on Monday if macro stays steady.

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I think the tech sector is finally breaking out upwards

If the rate hike does not happen, and breakout is confirmed, we could be rallying for ATHs in $DRAM $ALAB $SNDK $MU

And such massive rallies would in turn boost the entirety of $SOXX and subsequent AI players/enablers

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@TrendSpider Lmaoo same post, great minds think alike huh @TrendSpider 😭

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I think the tech sector is finally breaking out upwards

If the rate hike does not happen, and breakout is confirmed, we could be rallying for ATHs in $DRAM $ALAB $SNDK $MU

And such massive rallies would in turn boost the entirety of $SOXX and subsequent AI players/enablers

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

Pinned, gonna come back to this in December.

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I think the tech sector is finally breaking out upwards

If the rate hike does not happen, and breakout is confirmed, we could be rallying for ATHs in $DRAM $ALAB $SNDK $MU

And such massive rallies would in turn boost the entirety of $SOXX and subsequent AI players/enablers

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

WOW, I did not really expect it that quick, but $AAPL did reject perfectly at the trendline, dropping around 3%

Now we wait to see if it holds the minor $320 support, or drops toward $315.

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I dont post this name much, but possible play with $AAPL over a couple weeks, drawdown to $315-310 and bounce, could go even lower, but that would need a massive push

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I think we've reclaimed the structure for now.... With the US market closed on Monday, hopefully they don't decide to war again.

Then we can look for a continuation on Monday if macro stays steady.

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

Alright $SIVE people, the Swedes did not dump the open

Now we're exactly at the 26SEK level

It would be productive to bounce off this level to confirm the reclaim before the weekend.

Hopefully allowing momentum to continue to next week

Macro is steady, let's watch the US open

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

Alright $SIVE people, the Swedes did not dump the open

Now we're exactly at the 26SEK level

It would be productive to bounce off this level to confirm the reclaim before the weekend.

Hopefully allowing momentum to continue to next week

Macro is steady, let's watch the US open

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@Million_Sancet ahhaha good good

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

$SIVE management finally detailed the $30M Glasgow foundry investment (capacity online Q4 2027).

Hopefully the start of forward news, instead of trailing like earnings.

Need to reclaim 25SEK to try and halt downwards momentum, and claim 200EMA.

Otherwise, 10-15 SEK is next.

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

As expected, a decent recovery +8% on $SIVE

Even the Swedish bought on open today 😭

I don't think lower is possible without the US Administration nuking the market as usual with macro events

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@Million_Sancet we're at retest now 🫡

Was waiting for the Swedes LOL

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

Well that so insanely quick 😅

almost up 20% from lows!!

Now we watch the retest and hold (fingers crossed this stops the drops)

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

Alright $SIVE people, the Swedes did not dump the open

Now we're exactly at the 26SEK level

It would be productive to bounce off this level to confirm the reclaim before the weekend.

Hopefully allowing momentum to continue to next week

Macro is steady, let's watch the US open

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I went to the bathroom, for 15 mins.

We're up 30% on the day!?!? 🤯

Thank you $SIVE management for releasing a forward looking update, allowing markets to price future revenue in, instead of current negative P/E.

Hopefully this continues 🫡

[SoFire @Sofigoodboy]

@baseBullBear Plz go to the bathrooom tomorrow at the same time

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@Sofigoodboy lmaooo 😭 I'll stay off the charts, good idea

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I went to the bathroom, for 15 mins.

We're up 30% on the day!?!? 🤯

Thank you $SIVE management for releasing a forward looking update, allowing markets to price future revenue in, instead of current negative P/E.

Hopefully this continues 🫡

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

Well that so insanely quick 😅

almost up 20% from lows!!

Now we watch the retest and hold (fingers crossed this stops the drops)

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

$SPY, did not quite hit my $755, but had a quick dip to $759 from $780 before bouncing back to $773

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

The $SPY ($767) has touched the resistance trend line that has been intact since 2022.

Could we see a dip towards the $755 support?

Possible $730-740 if it breaks?

With OPEX & FOMC minutes coming up, good time to watch this as well, as the effects spill over into the market.

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

I dont post this name much, but possible play with $AAPL over a couple weeks, drawdown to $315-310 and bounce, could go even lower, but that would need a massive push

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@Mr_Derivatives Yo Mr. Big D

What do you think of a minor $AAPL drawdown and bounce play?

i'm thinking $310 range, could go lower though

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@Mr_Derivatives Yo Mr. Big D

What do you think of a minor $AAPL drawdown and bounce play?

i'm thinking $310 range, could go lower though

[BaseBullBear @baseBullBear]

@Million_Sancet Thing is the main exchange closed right before the resistance at 25.5SEK 😭

So we really gotta watch the Swedish open, if they dump open but we hold 26 SEK, then I would say we reclaimed the consolidation structure (unless they dump lower)

Then we can try for the 200 EMA :)