Based Ohio Politics

Proud Buckeye | Common-Sense Conservative | 🇺🇸 | Priv: @OhioPolitics7

“Yesterday is a mystery, tomorrow is a mystery, but today is a gift”

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

"Sherrod Brown supports sex change surgeries for minors"

"Jon Husted - First Energy's golden boy"

"Amy Acton tripped over her dog fence and was drunk"

"Vivek Ramaswamy made a fake Alzheimers drug"

[Maga_Cracka_Mike @Cracka_Mike]

I can't wait until this midterm election is over just so I don't have to hear the same 3 or 4 campaign attack ads endlessly over and over and over

It's like some type of psychological torture I swear lol thankfully we're almost there

[Steve Cortes @SteveCortes]

🚨 Wow.

According to a Democrat operative, David Crowley originally dropped out of the Wisconsin governor's race and endorsed Lieutenant Governor Sara Rodriguez in exchange for $250,000 and a job guarantee for his wife in a future Rodriguez administration.

This is the worst kind of public corruption and rigged political establishment dealmaking that voters hate. But it's exactly who corrupt David Crowley is.

Here's Corrupt David Crowley on July 9 lying to voters about this very kind of arrangement:

"Nobody called me or anything like that to ask me to step out of this race."

Wisconsin is not for sale.

Elect @TomTiffanyWI!

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@davidcrowleyfan Acton +6
Brown +7

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

Ohio doing what it does best.

Husted +2 is my prediction as of now

[Rasmussen Reports @Rasmussen_Poll]

Incumbent Republican Sen. Jon Husted has moved ahead of former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown in the special election for a U.S. Senate seat in Ohio.

More At Rasmussen Reports:
https://t.co/O0aouYQfD6

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@Kattergang Bayh +2

Ballard is going to act as a huge spoiler candidate and push Bayh towards the finish line

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@TremblantLodgin Amy Acton is winning this district by 2.9% compared to Vivek Ramaswamy.
Sherrod Brown is winning this district by 3.4% compared to Jon Husted.

Vivek Ramaswamy is overperforming Husted by 0.5%, but conventional wisdom says that Husted should be overperforming after the ad

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

Reminder: this poll was conducted DURING the scandal, and Vivek is STILL outperforming Husted

Could the entire ad fiasco be a nothingburger?

[Quantus Insights @QuantusInsights]

NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS OHIO 1ST DISTRICT POLL | October 24, 2026

Our latest survey finds Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman leading Republican Eric Conroy by four in Ohio’s redrawn 1st Congressional District, with Democrats Sherrod Brown and Amy Acton also ahead of Republicans Jon Husted and Vivek Ramaswamy among the same voters, less than two weeks before Election Day.

📊 U.S. Congress Ballot
🔵 Greg Landsman (D): 46.6%
🔴 Eric Conroy (R): 42.4%
⚪️ Undecided: 5.1%
⚪️ Would not vote in this race: 3.9%
⚪️ Another candidate: 1.6%
⚪️ Nathan Weise (L): 0.5%
— Landsman +4.2. With leaners allocated: Landsman 47.6% / Conroy 43.9% (+3.7).

📊 U.S. Senate Special Election Ballot (OH-01 voters)
🔵 Sherrod Brown (D): 46.2%
🔴 Jon Husted (R): 42.8%
⚪️ Undecided: 5.3%
⚪️ Bill Redpath (L): 2.4%
⚪️ Would not vote in this race: 1.9%
⚪️ Another candidate: 1.4%
— Brown +3.4. With leaners: Brown 47.2% / Husted 43.9% (+3.3).

📊 Governor Ballot (OH-01 voters)
🔵 Amy Acton (D): 47.8%
🔴 Vivek Ramaswamy (R): 44.9%
⚪️ Undecided: 3.5%
⚪️ Would not vote in this race: 2.9%
⚪️ Another candidate: 0.8%
— Acton +2.9. With leaners: Acton 48.1% / Ramaswamy 46.3% (+1.8).
––––––––––––––––––––––––––
📊 The Redrawn District
The new map moved OH-01 about ten points to the right, from Harris +7 to Trump +3. This sample recalls Trump +1.6, so the electorate here looks like the redrawn district, and all three Democrats lead on it. Landsman runs about six points ahead of the recalled presidential margin; unaffiliated voters back him by 25.
––––––––––––––––––––––––––
October 19–21, 2026 · 561 likely voters · MoE ±4.4

Full report and methodology: quantusinsights [dot] org/polling

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@4_frenz Amy Acton was going to win this district anyway. It's a Trump +3 district in a blue year.

Winning by only 3 and underperforming Sherrod Brown of all people is not a good sign, though. At least needs to be Acton +7ish

[henry @DemNationalist]

I actually don’t think Vivek being Indian will hurt him too much. Didn’t hurt Jindal or Haley in more unfavorable states. What will hurt Vivek more is being Hindu. It’s the one area you’re allowed to be vulgarly biased, like saying you don’t want a Muslim / Atheist candidate.

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@Doggocrat @Not_Dem_Not_Rep There's still the shot that McCann wins. But I think that Huizenga almost certainly wins

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

They’re selling dollars for 31 cents

[Kalshi Politics @KalshiPolitics]

NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: Democrat Sean McCann has a 69% chance to win the MI-04 House race

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@Not_Dem_Not_Rep I don't gamble

[JJ🕊️ @jesseyjay94]

President Trump was asked why he’s defending Vivek’s ad:

"I’m defending it because I know that if that ad were about MY mother, you would love it. You would LOVE every inch of it.

And what’s happened is the press has teamed up, because he’s a Republican, and they’ve tried to make it like it’s a horrible thing. This is a mother saying very bad things about her daughter, and I don’t know why that should be shielded.

The only problem is the press has decided to unify and act like it’s a horrible thing."

"If Mary Anne MacLeod, my mother, Mary Anne MacLeod Trump said that about me, you’d have it as your number one story."

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Internal polling from both sides show Republicans closing the gap in the Midwest Per Politico

In a shift from earlier this month Democrats are privately warning they might not get 2018-level numbers

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@TK3Kaiba What???

Of course there's going to be a blue shift - but if Vivek were to lose, he would be losing this district by 7 or so points, not 3

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@ollkorrec https://t.co/s2UDjcO0vP

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@paulesq711 I don’t really think that matters tbh

Voters aren‘t going to go “oh yeah Vivek’s from Cincy and Amy’s from Youngstown - I’m voting for Vivek”

[Gabriel D. McKee @gdmckee1985]

Obamacare was sooo good.

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@DutchChrInd Beau Bayh honestly has striking similarities to Andy Beshear. Could see him becoming a national figure in the next 10 years or so

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@RVBATS_ Only reason this is even on the board is because Passaic County voters are a weird breed and made the seat Trump +1

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@Noodlebrokeback I don't think so.

This tweet was pure speculation - I still have Acton winning

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@crawlings13 Lula isn't winning

[Based Ohio Politics @BasedOH]

@RealAlbanianPat Why?