Bash

اسْتَقْدِرِ الله خَيْراً وارْضيَنَّ به ... فَبَيْنَما العُسْرُ إِذْ دارَتْ مَياسِيرُ

[BigBoyKev @BigBoyOrderflow]

My next MMT indicator is officially FINAL: The Price & Time Grid. 🛠️

It plots a fully customizable Price, Time, and Session Grid directly on your chart. But here is the real edge:

The Price Grid lets you pull in valuable historical $BTC data — fully adjustable by timeframe and aggregatable by price and exchange. Options data integration is coming next.

The Price & Time Grid indicator for MMT drops tomorrow. I'll keep you posted on my X.⏳

[Justin Drake @drakefjustin]

Today a crazy quantum story just got wilder.

On March 31, the Google Quantum AI team published a landmark result on Shor's algorithm for elliptic curve cryptography. Technically, the paper was a bombshell: a dramatic 10x improvement over the state-of-the-art. As a stunt and wakeup call to the blockchain space, those optimisations were illustrated on secp256k1, the elliptic curve underlying Bitcoin and Ethereum signatures.

But perhaps the most striking part of the paper was sociological, not technical. Instead of following standard academic process, the optimisations were kept secret, hidden behind a zero-knowledge (ZK) proof. Google's accompanying blog post mentions they "engaged with the U.S. government". The ZK proof demonstrates the existence of algorithmic improvements without leaking details. Academic censorship with ZK, a historic first!

As a co-author of the Google paper I witnessed some of the context surrounding this censorship. To be honest, multiple aspects of that context don't sit well with me. As much as I believe the general public ought to know more, I am limited in my ability to whistleblow. Though let me be clear about one thing: the Google team's professionalism has been absolutely exemplary, and they deserve nothing but praise.

Censorship has a way of backfiring. The Streisand effect, where an attempt to bury something only draws more attention to it, is exactly what's unfolding today. First, Google's key optimisation has been rediscovered by the French. And in a thrilling turn of events, a collaborative Shor-at-home challenge just launched. The initiative, available at ecdsa[.]fail, breached a new Shor world record in a matter of hours.

Let's start with the rediscovery. Just two months after Google's paper, French quantum expert André Schrottenloher cracks the main secret optimisation. His paper, titled "Optimized Point Addition Circuits for Elliptic Curve Discrete Logarithms", landed on the arXiv today. Big congrats to André, who beat several other nerdsnipped experts to it. In a blog post also published today, Craig Gidney, the world expert on Shor optimisations, revealed that he'd been sitting on this very optimisation for a whole year under censorship pressure.

Interestingly, André missed a handful of minor optimisations, both from Google's original publication and from improvements found since. It's plausible there's still plenty of juice left to squeeze out of Shor, and this is exactly what the ecdsa[.]fail challenge is about. The verifier program developed for the ZK proof does double duty, automatically filtering for valid submissions. Dozens of compounding small and micro improvements are rolling in. As of the time of writing there's an 8.4% improvement to Google's circuit, as measured by the product of logical qubit count and Toffoli gate count. Nice!

The nerdsnipping ran deeper than anyone expected. Over the last few weeks it became clear it extended well beyond André and other quantum experts. Behind the scenes, a small army of amateurs quietly got to work. Inspired by Karpathy-style autoresearch, they turned AI on Shor. Ironically, the verifier program for the ZK proof makes an ideal reward function for AIs. The barrier to entry for this modern style of research is refreshingly low, with several non-experts, even a teenager, finding nice optimisations. Get in touch if you'd like to join a Telegram group with fellow autoresearchers :)

Part 2: neutral atoms and qday

The story doesn't end with Google. On the same day Google went public, a stealthy startup called Oratomic published its own Shor paper in a coordinated release. It made a splash, ultimately becoming the most upvoted paper on scirate[.]com, a website ranking arXiv papers.

Oratomic's claim was wild. By building on Google's logical optimisations and applying custom physical optimisations for neutral atoms, they claimed just 10K physical qubits were sufficient to run Shor's algorithm on secp256k1. That number is mind-bogglingly low.

Knowing essentially nothing about neutral atoms when Oratomic's paper landed, I was intrigued and decided to learn more about the tech. I fell straight down the rabbit hole and spent a couple hundred hours on the topic. I got a little obsessed and watched every YouTube video I could find and spoke to a bunch of experts.

My conclusion? The tech is real, very real. Even Google recently decided to start a neutral atom lab, a notable pivot from their sole focus on superconducting qubits. If you care about qday, i.e. the day a quantum computer will break the first piece of cryptography in production, neutral atoms demand your attention. I shared some of my learnings on Shor and neutral atoms in a 30min talk at the ZKProof cryptography conference. You can find it on YouTube by searching "zkproof neutral atom".

Here's an interesting observation about this duo of breakthrough papers: neither Google nor Oratomic say a word about what their results mean for qday. No timelines. Zero. Nada. That is especially baffling given that the whole point of whitehat quantum cryptanalysis is to inform qday estimations and help the general public make good decisions.

So let me attempt to partially fill the silence, similarly to what Scott Aaronson did in his April 29 post. Given everything I know, including scary non-public information, I now put the odds of qday by 2032 at 50%. 10% by 2030.

Anecdotally, the US government has its own date: 2035. Originating at the NSA and later adopted by NIST, it's when branches of the US government will be disallowed from using quantum-vulnerable cryptography. In plain language: with hindsight, that date is a joke and should be discounted entirely. I don't see how NIST avoids being forced to pull it forward by years.

Part 3: post-quantum cryptography

There are good reasons to sound the alarm today, but please do not panic. Rushing carelessly towards immature post-quantum cryptography is a recipe for disaster. IMO a good target date for migration is 2029, roughly 3.5 years out. 2029 happens to be the date selected by Google, Cloudflare, and the Ethereum Foundation.

These days most of my time goes to safely migrating Ethereum towards post-quantum cryptography as part of the broader lean Ethereum effort. There's a lot to do. We need to rip out and replace BLS signatures at the consensus layer, KZG commitments at the data layer, and ECDSA signatures at the execution layer.

The plan to get there is compelling, and is based on hash-based cryptography. Within the Ethereum Foundation we've developed a Swiss army knife called leanVM (github[.]com/leanEthereum/leanVM) powered by the magic of hash-based SNARKs. Thanks to truly exceptional work by Emile, Thomas, and others, its performance is derisked. Regarding security, leanVM is a jewel, a minimal zkVM crafted for end-to-end formal verification and maximum security.

Want to help? There are two $1M initiatives. First, the Proximity Prize (proximityprize[.]org). Solve a long-standing mathematical conjecture in coding theory, improve hash-based SNARKs, and go home a millionaire. Second, the Poseidon Initiative (poseidon-initiative[.]info), offers $1M for breaking Poseidon, the SNARK-friendly hash function.

[Saifedean Ammous @saifedean]

https://t.co/m7QurENTnF

[Yasser @yasseralfadol]

حقيقة الواحد من 2014 وعنده موقف سلبي من "الثنائي الخليجي" السنة دي بعتبرها نهاية لاستقلالية القرار السوداني او على الاقل نهاية مساحة المناورة وهامش التحرك المتوفر لبلد زي السودان وبداية للتبعية والارتهان للأجندة الخارجية وتحول السودان من شريك إلى تابع أو هكذا ينظر إليه
صحيح "الثنائي الخليجي" ظهر بينهما تنافس في الفترة الاخيرة إلا أن محصلة تدخل الاثنين في السودان كانت ومازالت سلبية.
الأول ضخم المليشيا حتى أصبحت تمثل تهديدا وجوديا للدولة، والثاني حاول إعادة ترتيب المشهد السياسي وفرض ما يسمى بـ"الاتفاق الإطاري" بالإضافة إلى توريط الجيش في الرباعية وترحيبه بتصنيف قوة مساندة للجيش كمنظمة إرهابية

رغم الاختلاف الظاهري بين "الثنائي الخليجي" إلا أن سياستهما واحدة مع دول مثل السودان ولبنان واليمن تنطلق من هوس السيطرة التامة وانعدام الثقة واعتبار الآخرين مجرد أدوات ما حلفاء لدرجة تجنيدهم لمدير مكتب الرئيس للتجسس على رأس الدولة اللي هو حليفهم

مناسبة الكلام دا هو إحالة العميد طارق الهادي للمعاش صحيح القرار متأخر، لكن المشكلة بالنسبة لي هي في السياق الذي تمت فيه الإحالة والذي يثبت مجددا أنه موقفي السلبي منهم صحيح وأن الدولة السودانية لا تزال عاجزة عن ممارسة سيادتها وأنه قرارنا ما يزال يتخذ في عواصم خليجية

[Mark Townsend @TownsendMark]

It was the biggest massacre for decades - 10,000 Sudanese killed over two days. The international community knew genocide was inevitable. Why and how did it happen? Huge thanks to @Sihanet @ikhlassahmed77 @nattyray11 @KholoodKhair https://t.co/j1dZwBvDwP

[Yousif @yizzeldin12]

الجزء 1/12
البطولة، والرعب، و"حُفَر الجحيم": داخل الأيام الأخيرة للفاشر

على مدى يومين في أكتوبر 2025، يُعتقد أن ما يصل إلى 10,000 شخص قد قُتلوا، فيما لا يزال نحو 40,000 مدني من مدينة الفاشر السودانية في عداد المفقودين. هذه هي قصة ما حدث.

بقلم مارك تاونسند، وفيديو من إعداد إلينا موريسي ولور بولينييه

داخل سيارة تويوتا لاند كروزر بلون أخضر فستقي تهتز فوق السهل الصحراوي، ضغط عبود خاطر قدمه على دواسة الوقود حتى النهاية. خلفه، كانت الشمس تشرق فوق الفاشر، بينما يتصاعد الدخان من المدينة المنكوبة. كان خاطر يقود آخر مركبة في قافلة الإجلاء الأخيرة من الفاشر.

كانت الساعة 5:45 صباحًا في 27 أكتوبر 2025. لم يعد بإمكانه الانتظار أكثر. العاصمة التاريخية لإقليم دارفور الواسع في السودان كانت ستسقط خلال الساعتين التاليتين.

قُتل آلاف المدنيين، أطفالًا ونساءً ورجالًا. وشهدت شوارع المدينة أسرع وأوسع موجة قتل في هذا القرن.

مثّل سقوط الفاشر النهاية الدموية لحصارٍ بالتجويع استمر 18 شهرًا فرضته مليشيا الدعم السريع (الجنجويد)، في أكثر فصول حربها تدميرًا ووحشيةً ضد قوات الحكومة السودانية.

دافعت حامية عسكرية مستنزفة عن المدينة إلى جانب القوات المشتركة، وهي مجموعات حماية ذاتية محلية توحدت لحماية السكان من الإبادة الجماعية.

عند الساعة السادسة صباحًا، ظهرت الطائرات المسيّرة، تلاحق القافلة، وتطارد خاطر، البالغ من العمر 53 عامًا، قائد القوات المشتركة في الفاشر.

في الشاحنة التي كانت أمام خاطر كان الجنرال إمام داود، مصابًا بجروح خطيرة لكنه لا يزال واعيًا بما يكفي ليُدرك أنه ربما سيموت خلال اللحظات القادمة.

يقول دود: "صُدمت من شدة الهجوم الذي كانت تنفذه مليشيا الدعم السريع (الجنجويد) علينا. كانوا يستخدمون كل شيء ضدنا: طائرات انتحارية مسيّرة، وقنابل."

حاول خاطر دفع قافلته، المكونة من 40 مركبة، إلى سرعة أكبر. خلفهم كانت تتقدم قافلة من المركبات المدرعة التابعة لمليشيا الدعم السريع (الجنجويد). بجانبه جلس حارسه الشخصي "بوكا"، وفي الخلف أربعة مقاتلين مراهقين حول رشاش ثقيل من طراز DShK.

في الحقيقة، كان من المعجزة أن ينجو الستة كل هذا الوقت. لكن اختبارهم الأكبر كان لا يزال أمامهم، "حُفَر الجحيم"، وهي سلسلة من الخنادق الاصطناعية تنتهي بوادٍ بعمق خمسة أمتار.

يقول دود: "لا يمكن لأي مركبة أو إنسان الخروج منها. كل من يُحتجز بداخلها تقتله مليشيا الدعم السريع (الجنجويد)."

كان دود يتوقع أن ينتهي الأمر بهذا الشكل.

وكذلك كانت أجهزة الاستخبارات الغربية. فقد جرى نمذجة الانسحاب الفوضوي للقوات المشتركة من المدينة من قبل مسؤولين.

وبدرجة من الدقة جعلت ما حدث في الفاشر ربما يكون أكثر حدث إبادة جماعية تم توقعه بشكل صريح في التاريخ.

[🇸🇩🇸🇦النمر الاسود @s37484849]

45 شاحنة محملة بالمواد الغذائية انطلقت من بورتسودان نحو الدلنج وكادوقلي ولله الحمد والشكر بدعم كامل من وزاره المالية الاتحاديه وتوجيه مباشر من رئيس مجلس السيادة...
بعد الضيق فرج بإذن الله تعالى

[Sudanese Echo @SudaneseEcho]

Time Measured by Bodies: TRT Arabic Exposes a UAE-Backed Rapid Support Militia Crime in Al-Hilaliya

A report broadcast by TRT Arabic has revealed one of the most harrowing crimes of Sudan’s war, documenting a campaign of siege, starvation, terror, and mass killing carried out by the UAE-backed Rapid Support Militia in the city of Al-Hilaliya, east of Al-Jazira State, in late 2024.

The report opens with a chilling description of daily life in the city, where time was no longer measured in minutes or hours, but by the number of bodies. According to residents, a person was dying roughly every half hour. Al-Hilaliya was not an area struck by disease or a natural disaster, but a city subjected to deliberate collective punishment.

Eyewitness accounts confirm that Al-Hilaliya was placed under a total siege, followed by systematic starvation, after which residents were left to die slowly. On some days, families buried around ninety people in the morning, another sixty by midday, and up to one hundred more by the end of the day. The scale of death reflected the complete collapse of life imposed by the siege.

According to those interviewed, the UAE-backed Rapid Support Militia fully surrounded the city after the governor of Al-Jazira announced that Abu Aqla Keikel had joined the Sudanese Armed Forces and defected from the militia. Immediately afterward, militia forces entered Al-Hilaliya and imposed a siege that lasted nearly two months, blocking water, food, and medicine, and trapping more than seventy thousand civilians inside the city.

The report makes clear that this was not a military operation, but an organized campaign of revenge. Militia members stormed every home without exception, looting money, gold, livestock, and phones, and dragging residents out by force. Survivors describe terror and intimidation as the most devastating weapons used, to the extent that children died from fear rather than illness.

Places of worship were not spared. Worshippers were killed inside mosques, civilians were shot in the streets and inside their homes, and families were attacked as they tried to flee. Some residents drowned while escaping, while others died from severe beatings.

Later, death took an even more insidious form. Residents told TRT Arabic that militia members ground agricultural fertilizers, mixed them with wheat, and distributed it to civilians, causing mass poisoning within days. Wells used for drinking water were also deliberately poisoned. Multiple witnesses described entire families dying after consuming contaminated water.

According to residents, more than two thousand people died within one to two weeks due to poisoning, hunger, and the absence of medical care. As deaths mounted, families were forced to bury victims in mass graves, sometimes placing eight or more bodies in a single grave.

The city was effectively turned into an open prison. Civilians were forced to pay enormous sums, reaching billions of Sudanese pounds, to be allowed to leave Al-Hilaliya using rudimentary transport. Even payment offered no guarantee of safety, as many were targeted and killed along exit routes.

One father recounted how his son was murdered on the road while trying to evacuate his wife and daughters for medical treatment. Militia members stopped them, killed the son, seized the vehicle, and left the women behind, bleeding and helpless.

The report concludes that what happened in Al-Hilaliya was not random violence, but a coordinated crime using siege, starvation, poisoning, terror, and extortion as tools of collective punishment. It represents a grave violation of international humanitarian law, carried out in full view of the world, until the Sudanese Armed Forces eventually arrived and lifted the siege, liberating the city from what residents described as a slow, engineered death.

#Sudan
#RSFisTerroristOrganization
#UAEKillsSudanesePeople
#UAESponsorsTerrorism

[Bash @bashnew]

@FCB6O ما حقيقة الكلام عن الطائرات التي تهبط في مطار نيالا؟ هل لديكم معلومات عنها

[Zu Elkefl | ذو الكفل @HkZuk]

https://t.co/MyO1IU3rsS

[António Guterres @antonioguterres]

I strongly condemn the horrific drone attacks that targeted the @UNISFA_1 logistics base in Kadugli, Sudan, resulting in fatalities & injuries of members of the Bangladeshi @UNPeacekeeping contingent.

My heartfelt condolences to the families of the fallen peacekeepers & the Government & people of Bangladesh. I wish a swift recovery to the injured.

Attacks against @UN peacekeepers like this one are unjustifiable & may constitute war crimes. I remind everyone of their obligation to protect UN personnel & civilians. There will need to be accountability.

[منصة حوارات @hiwaratt]

https://t.co/yrWT5Sb2a2

[Bash @bashnew]

وَلَا تَحْسَبَنَّ اللَّهَ غَافِلًا عَمَّا يَعْمَلُ الظَّالِمُونَ إِنَّمَا يُؤَخِّرُهُمْ لِيَوْمٍ تَشْخَصُ فِيهِ الْأَبْصَارُ * مُهْطِعِينَ مُقْنِعِي رُءُوسِهِمْ لَا يَرْتَدُّ إِلَيْهِمْ طَرْفُهُمْ وَأَفْئِدَتُهُمْ هَوَاءٌ}

[Bash @bashnew]

@princebhavik @bitoasis having same issue, CS not assisting at all

[Josh Man @JoshMandell6]

Take this from a former market-maker in US 30yr Treasury bonds at Salomon. This is a ticking time bomb, swept under the rug. We used to talk about the disaster that would ensue if ever there was a "MISSED AUCTION" in 30yr bonds. A missed auction means that there were not enough bids to cover the offering. Think about that ... were it not for the FED, we would be experiencing a failure to roll over bonds right now which leads to default.

Personally, I blame fiscal policy. Monetary policy, in this case low-key QE in disguise, is just the janitor cleaning up the mess made by congress.

There isn't enough rug to hide this for long. Soon, they pull up the rug and find the dead bodies. It's really beginning to smell bad.

The Big Print is coming ... read about it before it happens if you want to get ahead of the curve.

@LawrenceLepard

[Bash @bashnew]

Great stuff
Podcast Episode #213 - Caitlin Long and the Financial Crisis that Wasn't - Gold Goats 'n Guns https://t.co/kSXbfuGXIK via @TFL1728 @CaitlinLong_

[Bash @bashnew]

CEA Chairman Steve Miran Hudson Institute Event Remarks – The White House https://t.co/GvSJ5lC5qO

[Bash @bashnew]

China mocking Trump’s

[Brian Shannon, CMT @alphatrends]

Today, I have seen numerous insightful comments from truly intelligent individuals whom I respect regarding tariffs, the markets, and what lies ahead.

I am not interested in any single one of those comments on their own.

What interests me is how price action reflects a consensus formed by all of those voices, based on how they position themselves in the markets.

The clear message conveyed by price action is one of indecision and a lack of trust.

We remain below a declining 5 SMA, which signals to me that it is not yet safe to buy—at least not within my preferred timeframe.

Only Price Pays™

30 Minute timeframe $SPY $QQQ $SMH $IWM

[Bash @bashnew]

@SudanHODL ربنا يخلف عليكم و يعوضكم ، الحمدلله علي الصحة و العافية