BastoniBets

Quant & value-led sports betting
Focus on price, not picks
Fully tracked results
DMs open — process & tools
Tools I use - see website

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

Welcome to BastoniBets

This account documents a value-based betting approach focused on long-term ROI, not daily “locks”.

• Bets placed where price > true probability
• Flat/controlled staking
• No deleting, no cherry-picking
• All results tracked and public

[Rodney @marlonbrandos89]

@JacintaAllanMP Not a fan of this. Great cause that should be supported but government should stay out of donations.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@squizzysbets Yeah I know. Happened a few weeks ago and told myself I’d limit my exposure on players. I think I had nearly 5u on bowey in the end 😬

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

Pretty disappointed with myself today. Let emotion get the better of me after a poor weekend and went a bit harder than usual on afl cappers league tips.

Jake Bowey and JDG overs both didn’t eventuate which were the main killers.

-3u

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

Only reason it wasn’t more was thanks to some line out ev and bonus conversion bets.

Game 3 tomorrow!

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@SadzysSingles @jakeecollins @BetsniperAUS With footy it really does take knowledge to do well. My strategies for USA sports don’t at all but yeah definitely different with Australian sports.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@jakeecollins @SadzysSingles @BetsniperAUS Game plans gonna be difficult to find a tool to help. Betsniper afl prop tool has positional changes and lots of other things to help find value

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

Rough weekend. A few close losses in Saturday’s nba finals game 2 and likewise in afl games. -10u over the 2 days.

Sitting at -1u after the first week of June.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Puntasaurus 👏

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Bens_Betting Have a great trip mate

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Puntasaurus

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@nathrobinson07 That 3 legger on SB is now down to 1.61. Can’t find better on any other book either damn.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@SaiyanBallers Liking this. Tailed.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@BetsniperAUS Line out ev?

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Puntasaurus

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

+9.5u yesterday. Mixture of some top down betting on US sports and bottom up on AFL.

Both @FootyFGPod and @Bens_Betting hitting their multis was key. Thanks guys!

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

That Bont recount was huge. 6u swing for me on that alone.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Bens_Betting Yessirrrr

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

That Bont recount was huge. 6u swing for me on that alone.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

This grouping of EV tools will help new starters quite a bit and makes a lot of sense for experienced users.

For those interested, I use a Top-Down approach for the majority of my betting.

[Betsniper @BetsniperAUS]

To better reflect the function of our tools, we have updated how we group tools together.