Most pitchers aim at a spot. I aim at a spot based on how I know I'll miss it.
Every pitch has a miss pattern. Once you map it, you stop fighting it and start using it.
My cutter and gyro ball miss pretty evenly around the target. Not a lot of shape to the miss. So I just throw at the glove and trust it'll be close.
My sweeper is completely different. I almost always miss up arm side or down glove side. I almost never miss up glove side or down arm side. That's an elongated miss pattern with a clear direction.
So in an 0-2 count, my catcher sets the glove in the zone. I throw at it. If I'm on, the pitch starts at their front hip and they take it for a strike. If I yank it, it breaks off the plate and they chase it. Either way, I win.
My curveball misses up or down, almost never side to side. So my catcher sets the glove on the ground at his feet. If I miss up, it lands in the zone for a strike. If I bounce it, it's a chase pitch in the dirt.
I'm not trying to hit the perfect spot every time. I'm engineering outcomes from my actual misses.
That's the difference between guessing and having a system.
If I could face any hitter ever, it would be prime Barry Bonds — not because I wanted to as a kid, but because he's the ultimate test.
Bonds is like Soto in one key way: he can hit anything in the zone to all parts of the field. There's no hole. No weakness you can just attack over and over. You can't just live on the outside corner or bury something in one spot and expect to get him out consistently.
So what do you do?
You tunnel. You bounce between speeds. You make the at-bat uncomfortable instead of trying to overpower him or trick him with one pitch.
Two pitches I think would actually give him problems:
1. Splitters running away from him. The shape and the depth would be hard to handle even for someone with his eyes.
2. Modern changeups — the ones with like 0 and 18 inches of movement. That kind of shape would beat his swing plane in a way that most stuff he saw in his era simply didn't.
Bonds never faced pitchers throwing those shapes at that level of command. That's the variable nobody talks about when they compare eras.
Would he still be the hardest at-bat in baseball history? Probably. But this is how I'd attack it.
I probably would have won the 2018 Cy Young if I didn't get hit in the shin and miss five weeks. That's not a complaint — it's context for how close the margin is at the top.
Every year I made one key upgrade:
2017: stopped forcing fastballs, started attacking with breaking balls.
2018: added a second elite breaking ball. Curve to lefties. Sweep to righties. Now I had a weapon for each side of the plate.
2020: cut the walks. That was the year everything clicked.
Here's what most people miss — you can't just decide to "pitch smarter." You have to earn that stage. Your stuff has to be good enough. Your control has to be refined enough. Your mindset has to be locked in. Only then can you actually read swings and play the game instead of just surviving at-bats.
That 2020 season I also started obsessing over first-pitch numbers. Throwing a first-pitch ball almost never makes sense. So I asked: which three pitches give me the highest strike percentage? I set my catcher up middle. I started tracking my miss patterns and using them on purpose.
That's the shift — from developing stuff to deploying it. Most pitchers never get there because they never finish the development phase. I did the work year by year, piece by piece, and then the game slowed down.
Most pitchers aim at a spot. I aim at a spot based on how I know I'll miss it.
Every pitch has a miss pattern. Once you map it, you stop fighting it and start using it.
My cutter and gyro ball miss pretty evenly around the target. Not a lot of shape to the miss. So I just throw at the glove and trust it'll be close.
My sweeper is completely different. I almost always miss up arm side or down glove side. I almost never miss up glove side or down arm side. That's an elongated miss pattern with a clear direction.
So in an 0-2 count, my catcher sets the glove in the zone. I throw at it. If I'm on, the pitch starts at their front hip and they take it for a strike. If I yank it, it breaks off the plate and they chase it. Either way, I win.
My curveball misses up or down, almost never side to side. So my catcher sets the glove on the ground at his feet. If I miss up, it lands in the zone for a strike. If I bounce it, it's a chase pitch in the dirt.
I'm not trying to hit the perfect spot every time. I'm engineering outcomes from my actual misses.
That's the difference between guessing and having a system.