Bayesianer

Let's learn together.

[DCinvestor @DCinvestor]

you’re crazy if you don’t think many other global institutions are watching Robinhood Chain (and Base Chain from last cycle) and salivating at it

the L2 playbook works with ETH at the center of it and a constellation of RWAs and other onchain assets

and this cycle has just barely started

[Lisandro Catalán @catalanlisandro]

Visité al rabino Daniel Levy. Conversamos sobre la actualidad de Tucumán, las problemáticas de la provincia y las reformas que impulsa el presidente @JMilei para transformar el país. También compartí las propuestas que impulsamos desde La Libertad Avanza para cambiar Tucumán.

[Peter Dedene @dedene]

I am hoarding these for the upcoming GPT-5.6 release like health potions before a boss fight.

[banteg @banteg]

mini shai-hulud song

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

A key modern bad trend: "Awareness lowers the threshold for what counts as a disorder. It trains people to scan their inner lives for symptoms and reinterpret normal distress as pathology. Once someone adopts an illness identity, they behave in ways that confirm and deepen it."

[Aaron Rupar @atrupar]

standing ovation after King Charles sings the praises of NATO and says "that same unyielding resolve is needed for the defense of Ukraine"

[Ethan Mollick @emollick]

Two and a half years after we released our paper (which both coined the phrase “jagged frontier” and provided some of the first experimental evidence of real productivity gains from AI), it has now been published. The academic process takes awhile!

Read: https://t.co/0GO5StqVbM

[Bayesianer @bayesianer]

@NOELreports His way of sending a sublet warning to the Ukrainians, that it was discussed in the white house

[Paul Graham @paulg]

Prediction: In the AI age, taste will become even more important. When anyone can make anything, the big differentiator is what you choose to make.

https://t.co/3GQUlfH58t

[Jack Hopkins @thejackhopkins]

Let me say this as clearly as possible, because people keep getting it wrong.

Republican lawmakers didn’t stick with Trump because they were hypnotized...terrified...or somehow helpless.

They stuck with him because he’s one of them.

Trump didn’t corrupt a moral party. He exposed a corrupt one.

If Trump were merely embarrassing...reckless...or rude... they would have dumped him years ago. Politicians abandon liabilities fast. What they don’t abandon...are mutual liabilities.

Trump normalized behavior that many of them were already guilty of: ethical shortcuts...financial murkiness... abuse of power...contempt for oversight... lying as policy.

He didn’t invent the rot...he gave it cover.

And here’s the part people don’t like to hear:

For a lot of Republicans in Congress, Trump isn’t the risk.

Accountability is.

Trump absorbs attention like a sponge. While everyone is watching his circus...others operate quietly in the shadows. He’s not a distraction...he’s a shield. A very useful one.

Once they crossed certain lines together...election lies, January 6th...obstruction...weaponization of government ...there was no clean exit.

Loyalty became self-preservation. Defection meant subpoenas...investigations...and career death.

That’s why the so-called “good Republicans” vanished.

They weren’t persuaded. They were purged. Retired. Primaried. Marginalized. What you’re seeing now isn’t universal agreement...it’s selection pressure.

Only those comfortable with ethical decay remain.

This is how systems rot. Not with villains twirling mustaches...but with people who decide, one compromise at a time, that survival matters more than principle.

Trump didn’t take over the GOP.
The GOP recognized itself in Trump.

And that’s why expecting them to “come to their senses” is a fantasy.

You can’t ask people to enforce standards that would incriminate them.

The alliance holds...because it has to.

That’s not psychology.
That’s incentive structure.

And until people stop confusing fear...with complicity... they’ll keep being shocked by behavior that was always predictable.

[Charlotte Clymer 🇺🇦 @cmclymer]

“When even one person stops performing… the illusion begins to crack. Friends, it is time for companies and countries to take their signs down.”

— Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney opens Davos remarks with very clear shot at Trump

[Lindsey Graham @LindseyGrahamSC]

If you want to know what I think about recent developments in Iran, watch this clip:

[Lindsey Graham @LindseyGrahamSC]

Meeting with @PahlaviReza, the exiled crown prince of Iran.

We stand with the people of Iran and against the brutal regime.

Make Iran Great Again.

[Dr. Maalouf ‏ @realMaalouf]

We are witnessing one of the biggest feminist revolutions in history, and for some reason, Western feminists are completely silent.

[Radosław Sikorski 🇵🇱🇪🇺 @sikorskiradek]

@FM_Szijjarto Peter, you have as much solidarity from us as we have from you.

[MFA Austria @MFA_Austria]

We stand with #Ukraine.

Russia is the aggressor and we share Ukraine’s commitment to a comprehensive, just and lasting peace!

🇺🇦 🤝 🇦🇹

[Statsministeriet @Statsmin]

Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen:
"Dear @ZelenskyyUA, Denmark proudly stands with Ukraine and the Ukrainian people."

[Andrej Plenković @AndrejPlenkovic]

Croatia knows from its own experience that only a just peace can last. The Croatian Government stands firm in its belief that Ukraine needs such a peace - a peace that means sovereignty, territorial integrity, and a secure Europe.
🇭🇷🇺🇦 @ZelenskyyUa

[Kristen Michal @KristenMichalPM]

We stand united with @ZelenskyyUa and Ukraine in our fight for freedom. Always. Because it is right, not easy. 🇪🇪🇺🇦

[Simon Harris TD @SimonHarrisTD]

Ukraine is not to blame for this war brought about by Russia’s illegal invasion.

We stand with Ukraine. 🇺🇦 🇮🇪