@NateSilver538 State polls were off, on avg, about 4-5 pts for Trump in both '16 & '20. I've been mentally adjusting current state poll avgs by that amount this year, which leads to a Trump landslide, but I'm wondering if there's reason to think actual error might be smaller this year.
@jaycaspiankang I've been thinking the whole time how glad I am that he stepped aside, because he can't deliver a speech. Problems reading the prompter, stumbling over the best lines. He said we should "ban universal background checks." (A misread, obvs.) I'm grateful they put him on so late.
@BrianTom Saw both these teams play in person last week and can state definitively that OK has much larger crowds. Florida was probably second loudest!