The NBA makes an unprecedented move in American pro sports league by punishing the very worst teams in the draft lottery and creating a new system to incentivize winning — after months of meetings and conversations among league, ownership and team stakeholders. A radical response from the NBA to radical behavior, with nearly 8-to-10 teams jockeying for lottery odds down stretch of this season. The new “3-2-1” lottery starts next Draft and lasts through at least 2029.
Things that legitimately affect the outcome of basketball games, beyond what 'shooter/defender-adjusted' shot quality* might say:
1. tenacity to come back from a deficit (+ vice versa)
2. hot hand (it's real!)
3. fatigue/form on the shooter/defender
4. in-game adjustments