Ben

🛠️ @launchbam - social predictions trading app ⚡️

[Ben @benbaltram]

@0xGustas About time! 🤖

[Ben @benbaltram]

First $2 I made on @Launchbam ✊ feels good!

Reply Bam below and I will send you an invite!

[Ben @benbaltram]

@jaxxdwyer Right on point. Reaching these volume requires extended marketing campaigns across other socials beyond the X bubble 💯

[Ben @benbaltram]

Prediction markets could become the largest derivatives market on earth.

Every uncertain outcome - elections, weather, AI, wars, earnings becomes a tradable contract.

Same core function as options and futures, but radically simpler for the retail participants.

The TAM isn’t one asset class.
It’s uncertainty itself.

[Ben @benbaltram]

Prediction markets don’t scale to billions by looking like exchanges. They scale by looking like feeds with financial incentives.

Here’s what future looks like:

Personalized by default
Everyone already lives inside algorithmic feeds. Prediction markets should adapt to the user - interests, beliefs, conviction, risk.

Discovery where attention already is
Don’t force users to open another app. The moment someone forms an opinion on X, TikTok, news etc, they should be able to act on it instantly.

Social at the core
Markets are conversations. Surface what smart participants are buying, selling, and debating in real time.

Complexity abstracted away
Most people don’t care about order books or mechanics. They want a simple way to express a view. Infrastructure should fade into the background.

One place to manage exposure
Discover, trade, hedge, copy - across markets. Power on the backend, simplicity on the surface.

Prediction markets won’t go mainstream because of better charts. They’ll go mainstream when participation feels as natural as scrolling.

[ramper @ramperxx]

polymarket just opened a free grocery store in new york

not a marketing stunt

not a temporary pop-up

a real physical store where new yorkers can get groceries for free

they signed a lease and donated $1 million to food bank for nyc

while crypto projects burn millions on influencers and conferences

polymarket is literally feeding people

the store is fully stocked

no purchase required

no income verification

just walk in and take what you need

grand opening is february 12th at noon

this is what giving back actually looks like

not corporate charity photoshoots

an actual permanent investment in the community

free groceries, free markets, built for the people who power new york

this is how polymarket build a brand people actually respect

[good @thenarrator]

"prediction markets are finding product-market fit"

some do, most are still just sports betting with extra steps

most platforms will realize people don't want to bet on the future, they want to understand it

good UX + actual insights > gamification is enough to build something real

[Kip @yeskipras]

The Logan Paul card play

> $48.2k in active positions. Biggest win +33.93%. All on Pokémon.

> here's the strategy of @Red781RuM

> Trading Kalshi since Apr 2025, goes all-in on Logan Paul collectibles
> 411 predictions. $12.8k biggest win.
> Everyone else: Betting on elections
> Him: betting 72-86¢ on rare card auctions in size

> let's analyse his Logan Paul PSA 10 Pikachu trade
> Market: "Will sale price be over $7 million?"
> Price: 86¢ for "Yes"
> he saw the auction at $6M+ with 20 days left, historical records, Logan's hype machine.
> @Red781RuM drops $5.1k on it
> 72¢ → 86¢ = 19.17% = $825 profit

> portfolio: $48k across Logan Paul card markets
> same play, different thresholds ($5M, $6M, $7M, $8M)

Conclusion:
Most traders: YOLO into politics @Red781RuM: ladders Pokémon card auctions
> "No crying in the casino" - 411 predictions deep. Collectibles > chaos.

[Ben @benbaltram]

@hre4anyk Great niche + huge problem! Every B2B driven business should start using it.

[BAM @Launchbam]

You don't need to be a pro to hit 70%+ win rate on predictions

Bam is a new social predictions app on @solana powered by @Polymarket

> Track top traders in real-time
> Follow them & copy their trades
> See what they're buying before it pumps

No more guessing. Just follow the money.

Join the waitlist. Link in the comments.

[Ben @benbaltram]

@whatslukedoing

Good take. Had a similar approach w: Rewarded Play app (BlockGames) to drive users to web2 mobile games.

Built our own SDK for partner studios to integrate & incentivize players as growth engine.

Main challenges: web2 game publishers hesitant to integrate alien code for a trial when already making large $$, especially for larger titles. Meanwhile for early stage studios, its a chicken & egg problem. They don’t have users and are prioritising developing features to grow their users.

Quickest path for scale = MMP route, but has its own constraints.

Essentially you are building an affiliate network. To succeed with the biz model, you need to access Tier 1 web2 gamers (US, GE, KR, JP, CA etc).

We failed, because no web2 publisher wants to acquire Tier 3 users and ads payouts are too little, to sustain rewards.

Hope its useful ✌️

[Ben @benbaltram]

prediction markets don’t fail because people are wrong. They fail because liquidity disappears.

72% of prediction markets die with <$10k in depth.
spreads blow out. prices stop updating. smart traders leave.

the counter-intuitive fix isn’t “more users.” it’s concentrated incentives + fewer markets + asymmetric rewards.

most teams do the opposite.

if you’re building or trading in predictions, this matters more than oracle accuracy.

agree or disagree?

[Ben @benbaltram]

Robinhood says prediction markets aren’t just gambling..

That’s a bold claim. But when it’s coming from the CEO of a $100B+ public company - you listen.

No house. No bookmaker. Markets decide the odds.

That’s not betting. That’s the future of trading.

[DAN KOE @thedankoe]

https://t.co/7l7Jef99QZ

[BAM @Launchbam]

76.9% Win Rate on Sports Predictions.

🎱 Read on.

Meet Gatorr - one of the most consistent sports traders we’ve tracked on Polymarket.

He has already pulled 3.5x returns on his initial capital, turning a six-figure deposit into massive gains through high-conviction sports betting. 📈

$100k initial deposit → ~$350k+ total value.

Gatorr dominates the NBA and NCAA markets by identifying mispriced favorites and high-probability spreads. Check out his recent precision:

• $17.2k win on Lakers vs. Hawks (133% return)
• $72.3k win on Texans vs. Steelers (69% return)
• $26.7k win on Celtics vs. Pacers (183.8% return)

He’s a wolf. He analyzes the market and dominates it.

His 1Day profit is $147k. 🔥

At @LaunchBam, you’ll be able to track Gatorr’s live positions, understand his risk management, and replicate the strategies of top-tier sports bettors.

Stop guessing. Start following the data.

Join the test group:
https://t.co/HsyZZF2KKT

[Kip @yeskipras]

How to quietly make $3.8M on Polymarket:

> be DrPufferfish

> atm top #15 trader on polymarket
> trades with size
> 52.3% win rate
> bet asymmetry does the work

> $13.4m total gains
> $9.5m total losses
> net +$3.89m pnl

> most people chase high win rates
> he chases mispriced scale

> specializes in sports markets
> heavy exposure to NBA & NFL
> exploits lines right before resolution
> comfy putting $500k–$900k into a single outcome

> basically he mixes high-conviction favorites with event-driven volatility
> accepts losses as inventory cost
> reinvests aggressively after wins

I went through his trades. Biggest wins come from:
> late inefficiencies
> fast-resolving games
> markets retail is too emotional to price correctly
> interestingly he doesn't diversify for safety
> concentrates when edge is clear

> he's market making with patience

we’re building a social prediction app where you can follow the smartest wallets.

Join the waitlist if you want to see what top @Polymarket traders are doing before resolution.

Early access is limited -> https://t.co/eb0A98BeG8

[BAM @Launchbam]

It’s been a while.

The new BAM app is taking shape. A social predictions app dedicated to the everyday user.
Track top traders, adapt new strategies, and progress within the ecosystem.

It all comes up to 3 simple steps to enjoy the app and use it to its full potential.

#1 The Leaderboard

Evaluate others based on objective performance data:

• Skill Score & Win Rate
• In-app Rank
• Realized P&L

Analyze their strategies, understand what works, and improve your own predictive accuracy.

#2 Social Architecture

Every user gets a unique on-chain profile. High-signal data is front and center:

• Rank Badge & Skill Score
• Win Rate & Trade Count
• Active vs. Resolved positions
• P&L Performance

Built for bragging rights. Compete with friends and earn incentives based on your profile activity

#3 UX & Aggregation

We’ve wrapped this in a smooth, mobile-first interface.
Track live charts, browse new trades aggregated from top markets (@Polymarket & @Kalshi), and manage your portfolio - all in one place.

🎱 The goal is to make prediction markets intuitive without sacrificing the depth traders need.

[BAM @Launchbam]

Prediction markets are changing the landscape.

BAM is a social predictions app powered by @Polymarket & @Kalshi that helps you be the first to discover what others believe.

We’re opening a Closed Alpha to 100 early users to stress-test the app and validate the experience.

How to get in:

🎱 Join the group: https://t.co/HsyZZF2KKT
🎱 Keep notifications on.

Want to simply wait for the 1st Live MVP?
Join the waitlist!
🔗 https://t.co/BIDmYAbMod

[Ben @benbaltram]

Housing prediction markets are much bigger than betting.

They touch the most illiquid, emotional, and consequential asset most people will ever own.

Once you can express views or hedge housing expectations in real time, prediction markets stop being niche and start becoming mainstream infra.

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: Polymarket announces plans to launch real estate prediction markets, allowing users to predict future home prices.

[Ben @benbaltram]

Remove fear. Pay for truth.
And you will get a clearest picture of reality.

Privacy + prediction markets will explode.