Benjamin Engen

Data, Economics & Politics

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

Check out my latest in @GoogleCloudTech on setting up their new Cloud Workstations tool to back your local development experience with the power of the cloud.
#gcp #googlecloud #cloudworkstations #devexperience

https://t.co/VazzQA4Zin

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

Colorado Political District Explorer puts registration trends and competitiveness at your fingertips. Provides historic registration trends, current demographics, and future competitiveness. #copolitics
https://t.co/VAfJPYvtkG

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@spencersoicher @KRDONC13 https://t.co/4tBXsU76y9

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@blairmiller https://t.co/JPAUnalqkA

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@KyleClark The thing about CD-03 is that its turnout dynamic became significantly more favorable to a Republican on Election Day. Much bigger swing than we saw in similarly close CD-08. #copolitics
https://t.co/M2jUZWGg0O

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@Broncoclimber @KyleClark Yes, that wasn't the point I was making. I'm pointing out that yet-to-be tallied ballots could swing things back Republican. To your point, a Republican candidate should have been able to compete in a turnout environment ten points more difficult than the one we're seeing.

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

Daily cumulative ballot returns in CO CD-03. RTLA=The percentage of UAF+OTH ballots needing to vote for the REP for that REP to receive 51% of the vote.
#copolitics

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

Daily cumulative ballot returns in CO CD-08. RTLA=The percentage of UAF+OTH ballots needing to vote for the REP for that REP to receive 51% of the vote. #copolitics

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@AndyKnny @Rossputin What? 70% turnout would be unprecedented in a CO Mid-term. Even in '18 we were only at 65% turnout and ballot returns thus far this cycle have paced well behind that. We're looking closer to 55% in '22.

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@scottparadis @NBCNews I entertained that idea but that figure is too far off what that math would yield for that to be the case. Approaching it that way should yield a figure in the 60-63% "in" range.

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@AndyKnny I'm loving that of the 5 State Senate races the pros at @BrownsteinHyatt declared competitive, the closest of them right now is a 7 point spread. Really straining the definition of competitive there. https://t.co/kTPeBcQ47r

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@KyleClark Be mindful of the distinction between "votes" and "ballots cast" those two are quite different. One makes it sound like a rogue election official is illegally leaking the actual election result.

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@JesseAPaul Oh man, this is why I stopped reading the news. You can see your numbers don't reconcile and you just can't resist jumping to a conclusion that is, in all likelihood, false. Way to arm the "fake news" bloc with more ammo. Good night.

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@JesseAPaul Gotcha, 130k UAF cast. But Your table only shows 70k selections. It's misleading. Obviously, there is an inconsistency in how they're being tabulated. What if all the processed ballots were from El Paso? Do you think it'd still be fair to say Republicans lead in selection?

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@JesseAPaul You literally said "A week before election day 399,466 ballots have been returned" That's a far cry from 130k cast?

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

@JesseAPaul The raw SoS return file. Just think about it logically. You yourself point out that 400k ballots have been returned. Unaffiliated voters are the largest bloc of registered voters in the state. Do you think they comprise such a small percentage of the returns?

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

Quickly deploy your @apachesuperset proof of concept to the cloud using Google Cloud Run.

https://t.co/FV5dulrZuc
#superset #dataviz #dashboard #analytics #datascience

[Benjamin Engen @bengen343]

Colorado’s newly drawn political districts ensure Democrat dominance in the 2022 Congressional, State Senate, and State House races. #copolitics
https://t.co/fBM6yXY2Y5