$AMD just announced plans to invest up to £2 Billion in the United Kingdom 🇬🇧 over the next 5 years
"to accelerate AI innovation and research and expand access to the compute resources needed for long-term economic growth and scientific leadership across the country."
Oh look… $NVDA CEO warned memory shortage is expected to persist for many years, due to massive scaling demand of AI infrastructure.
With further announcements tomorrow.
$MU and $EWY (Samsung/SK Hynix) operating profit projections aren’t looking too crazy anymore?
Yeah… I think all your upstream semi supply chain companies are going much higher.
Goldman now expects a combined $5.3 trillion of capex spending for the four largest hyperscalers $GOOGL / $META / MSFT / $AMZN from 2025 to 2030.
Revised up from $4.5T from Q1 earnings.
“Aggregate capex est. $7.6 trillion between 2026 and 2031.”
And it flows upward to these tiny chokepoints like $SIVE for CPO lasers/ $SOI for Silicon Photonics substrates. Leaderdrive/Harmonic for Humanoids components.
And so on…
Ai names don’t move in a straight line up,
but is just the beginning of the next Industrial Revolution as we move from R&D/compute buildout into commercialization from Agents -> Physical AI -> discovery.
President Trump is now investing billions into drones.
He is replacing Chinese technology in military.
Here's 7 companies with 10x-20x probabilty:
1. $ONDS — Iron Drone Raider
→ Autonomously intercepts hostile drones mid-air using a net (no jamming)
→ Customers: Middle East military, UAE, NATO Europe, U.S. public safety
→ Revenue up 555% YoY. $14.4M in defense orders in 2024 alone.
2. $AVAV — Switchblade 600 + Puma
→ Tube-launched kamikaze drone that destroys armored targets on impact
→ Customers: U.S. Army, Marine Corps, Italy MoD, NATO allies, Ukraine (via FMS)
→ $874M Army contract + $990M Switchblade IDIQ. Scaling to 1,200 units/month.
3. $KTOS — XQ-58A Valkyrie
→ High-subsonic combat drone that flies alongside F-35s as a loyal wingman
→ Customers: U.S. Air Force, U.S. Marine Corps, Space Force, international militaries
→ $231.5M Marine Corps contract + $1.45B Pentagon prime. Revenue $1.3B (+19% YoY).
4. $AVEX — Group 3 OWA UAS
→ 3D-printed one-way attack drone built for GPS-denied environments at scale
→ Customers: U.S. Air Force
→ $18.5M Air Force contract (May 2026). Just raised $320M in April 2026 IPO.
5. $UMAC — NDAA-compliant drone components
→ Not a drone maker — they're the supply chain. Motors, FPV systems, flight controllers that replace banned Chinese parts.
→ Customers: U.S. Army, Red Cat Holdings, DoD Blue UAS approved vendors
→ $12.8M Army component deal. Florida motor factory coming online.
6. $RCAT — Black Widow + FANG FPV
→ Soldier-portable recon drone + FPV strike drone for platoon-level ops
→ Customers: U.S. Army (Program of Record), NATO, Air Force Special Ops
→ Army acquisition target: 5,880 Black Widow units over 5 years.
7. $DPRO — Flex FPV + Commander 3XL
→ Tactical FPV drones deployed with active U.S. Army units — they also teach soldiers to build them in the field
→ Customers: U.S. Army, Dept of War units, Asia-Pacific military, Babcock International
→ Production scaling from $5M to $100M capacity in 2026.
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To be fair Trump did tell everyone to buy $DELL, multiple times this year.
He did go out and buy $1-$5M worth of Dell stock himself after all…
But should have seen this coming with Dell blowout earnings. After what happened with $INTC.
If you feel like you’re late, there’s a lot of implications to Dell’s upstream suppliers that markets might not have priced in yet.
Institutions are aggressively accumulating shares right before the close by leveraging short-term call options to drive up the price, which subsequently triggers a chain reaction of short squeezes. At its core, this is a high-stakes gamble on liquidity.
The logic is solid. The inference era is a major re-rating opportunity for CPUs. I've locked onto these core assets and will be buying the dip aggressively.
Is $AMD overvalued now?
Goldman Sachs predicts AI-agent token usage will increase 24x by 2030.
Jensen Huang says inference will go up by a billion times.
Imagine $AMD CPU revenues in 2040 if agentic inference scales as predicted and GPU-to-CPU ratio turns from 8:1 to 1:8?
$XFAB (photonics + power semis) is an interesting long idea at $1.28B MC, that I took positions in.
Given EU CHIPS act 2 is today as the catalyst for European photonics players.
> 800 VDC power semi exposure to $NVDA push through $NVTS + $POWI
> Silicon Photonics / CPO exposure with $NVDA as evaluation stage for high volume manufacturing (optical transceivers/switches)
> The only high-volume SiC foundry in the US.
> One of the critical MEMS foundries
> ~1.29 P/B, which was around what $SOI was sitting at when I went long. Depressed valuations due to legacy drag
> ~6.5-8.5 fwd p/e 2028 personal est.
> backstopped by Government:
- EU CHIPS act, $128M Euros
- US CHIPS act $50M PMT (department of commerce).
With likely more coming (just signals critical importance to Western supply chains).
So at a certain point with all the grants, they’re just getting the capex funded by the Governments.
EU CHIPS act 2 is coming out this week, and I’m gonna go ahead and guess $XFAB might get included given they were before, and this package is specifically targeting photonics.
~$1.3B MC seems compelling to me if it can pull a Soitec reversal (low p/b, very high growth segments, auto legacy drag).
As for the $NVDA silicon photonics relationships it’s under “photonixFAB”.
Markets probably missed this silicon photonics relationship (like $TSEM when I went long) with Nvidia since XFab leads this… Just under a different name.
For power semis, XFAB is named for SiC + $NVTS. In PCN-22181, $POWI explicitly names XFAB as its foundry.
Given its exposure to power semis and photonics as growth, low P/B, gov backstop (of course dyor, just sharing my personal thoughts)
Thought it personally seemed compelling.