BettingPython

Building better betting algorithms with Python.

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

One of the easiest sporting events to find +EV bets:

The MLB #HomeRunDerby

Ohtani's getting steamed to win it all

But my projections say he shouldn't be the favorite 👀

Read on for more 👇

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@BowTiedParrot Why wouldn’t the $5000 collect interest

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@BowTiedBull If you use average for both, this probably looks even worse

If you use median for both, this probably looks even worse

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@MattFtheOracle Do these guys also lead the league in % of targets that are contested?

I would guess that having a large % of targets being contested is bad

Contested target = failed to get separation

At the same time, could just mean the QB/OC wants to force feed a guy the ball

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@JoeyKnish22 @brave pays you for browsing

Essentially a sportsbook welcome bonus, but always and with no limits

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

Pinnacle is backing Carolina with Cam back 🚀

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

I ❤️ college basketball in the state of Utah (Hoosiers are cool too)

Odds to win the NCAAB Men's Championship

Draftkings (obviously) has some very bad prices

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

Is there actually a rake if only 5% of contest entries max enter?

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@wgreen0 @ToddFuhrman @FDSportsbook Thanks for catching that!

I did mean Oregon, but they’re implied at ~29% to make it

The ESPN playoff predictor puts their odds at 4%

Will have to win 2 toss ups against Utah

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@ToddFuhrman @FDSportsbook These are all 2 way markets. Odds to NOT make the playoffs, via @FDSportsbook :

UGA +1180
Ohio State +142
Oklahoma +136
Bama -112
Oregon -310
Cincy -550
Michigan -550
Mich State -2400

Oregon seems extremely overvalued at an implied 56% chance to make it

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@PFF_Bet Big upset last week as -2.5 pt favorites!

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@ActionNetworkHQ @tankathon cc @NJGov

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@benbbaldwin If he had the option to give, that was the weakest mesh in the history of meshes

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@adamchernoff @LeeSharpeNFL @UnabatedSports has an alternate line calculator that I use for this exact situation

Just use 0 as the alternate spread

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@PFF_Bet Kliff (+450) likely has a leg up on Vrabel (and of course is reflected in the odds)

Lower season win total (8 vs 9.5), now won convincingly without his star QB

Main thing holding Kliff back is the Cardinals success with him sitting home with COVID

Should be an interesting race

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@PFF_Eric They’re just playing for that cover

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@UnabatedSports Thank you for adding non-Rodgers content to my timeline

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@zackbeauchamp @CowboysStats You're backing Jordan Love at +7.5 this week, I assume?

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@PFF_Anthony He makes the other 21 D1 athletes look like average high school players

[BettingPython @bettingpython]

@EthanCDouglas @CowboysStats @inpredict @benbbaldwin 10k sounds big and everyone is impatient