LB

Like to talk betting angles that are usually better in theory than practice

[LB @BetWithLB]

@Insidetheirish @PardonMyTake Why is it wild? He's more experienced, has time in the pros, won his championship, and wants to give a fellow coach some words of advice. Kudos to Hammock for being generous enough to offer, and to Freeman for being strong enough to listen.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@t_smooth86 @Steponaduck Didn't look likely but we'll take it

[LB @BetWithLB]

@wyattwendry2023 ND easily 3 tds better than the Badgers wk1, and the continuity vs rebuild should be a big factor. Freeman has been a machine ATS too. I do like Wisconsin as the season rolls on though.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@jrs_rankings 8-4 Iowa is the only reason I'd want to see the move to 24

[LB @BetWithLB]

@birds_on_bat_82 @MichaelWBratton I just don't get this. If the SEC just means more, surely winning it, and getting a bye, is worth the risk for an edge case team. Georgia, Ole Miss, Aggies, OSU, Indiana, TTU etc were all in regardless of CG. Bama + BYU were the only at risk teams because they were lower anyway

[LB @BetWithLB]

@CF_Budge They could do the show and just give teams some sort of @KFordRatings style "in the discussion" rating. Even as simple as looking good, on track, in trouble. Nothing that would tie the committee into this Bama ND Miami mess. Then rank them at the end.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@DanWetzel The problem isn't the CGs it's the NY6. If you keep your NY6 as playoff games and on NY there's no way around it.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@Kberg43 @LChaney_ I would say that only applies to CG losers who were already in. If Bama are 10th tonight, and if they lose to UGA, they won't drop down. And if BYU are 12th and lose they won't drop either. But only one would be in. I think Ole Miss are safely in fwiw.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@Kberg43 @LChaney_ Yeah I'd agree. TTU is -550 to win which would suggest there's a small additional risk (around 5%) that ND misses out even if BYU lose. Again not sure it's enough to say the rankings will be different tonight than last week, but with all the noise it's probably about right.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@BrianBuckWargo @LChaney_ It seems to be bouncing around alright, but -2000 to -3000 is only about 1.5% difference (95.2 to 96.8). That doesn't scream to me that we'll see much jumping between 8th and 12th.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@SPG9814 The graph isn't comparing apples with apples. 10th (whether that's Bama now, Bama with an SECCG loss or ND for example) is in with a BYU loss, and out with a BYU win. The 71% includes the approx 45% chance of beating UGA, and 80% chance TTU win. The 39% chance is basically on BYU

[LB @BetWithLB]

@nickyperks They won't drop for losing. BYU winning is the only way 10th are out. Even if they get blown out, which they won't.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@SPG9814 Didn't this happen with Bama last season too? Odds movement suggested they were in right at the last minute.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@ESPN_BillC I feel like every Georgia Bama game in recent memory was predicted to go UGA 27 - 24 Alabama

[LB @BetWithLB]

@Shane1Alexander @CFBMatrix They won't be punished. If they lose + BYU lose, they stay 10th, and are in. If they lose and BYU win, they stay 10th but don't get in because BYU gets the auto and along with the G5 and ACC reps so 10th won't cut it. But there is no punishment or downgrade imo

[LB @BetWithLB]

@ThePastorSean @Asher_FLT @MasonPlummer_ There's 7 at large spots for ND, as much as I want them in, its only right that the best 5 conf champs get in.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@Asher_FLT @onetruehoosier @MasonPlummer_ With that Aggies loss TTU could be 4th come Tuesday. Not sure they would drop 7 places for a conference game loss. Win today and TTU are as good as guaranteed to be in IMO. And if any of OU, Bama, Ducks or ND lose today then its a cert for TTU.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@onetruehoosier @Asher_FLT @MasonPlummer_ If TTU and BYU end up 1-1 H2H I don't see Tech dropping behind ND.

[LB @BetWithLB]

@ThePastorSean @Asher_FLT @MasonPlummer_ The ACC and best G5 champs will probably take 11th and 12th spots

[LB @BetWithLB]

@CFBMatrix @arisports Is this available on B12 radio Dave?