@GauteNilsen@susanneheart 45% er absolutt tall for antall døde den uka, og ikke justert for økning i antall 75-84-åringer. Økningen for hver uke i 2025 ser ut til å ligge omtrent på økningen av 74-84-åringer fra 2015-2019 til 2025; ca 350k vs ca 470k i dag, dvs ca 35% økning. Enig, eller overser jeg noe?
@bigbookisbest@UriksFredrik Leavitt ramset nylig opp konflikter hun hevdet Trump har løst («one peace deal per month»), men det var ren desinformasjon: Ingen av konfliktene i listen din er løst med hjelp av Trump eller signert i det Hvite Hus, og ingen av partene har kreditert Trump for å ha bidratt.
We just learned that the world’s most powerful person, Donald Trump, has a boss: the bond market.
He may not have acknowledged this to himself, yet, but the global financial tumult he caused - and has temporarily eased - has locked him in a fiscal prison.
Because, as I have been saying for 24 hours, he came perilously close yesterday to having caused such an extreme fall in the price of US government debt that it would have become prohibitively expensive for his administration to fund a large deficit - more than 6% of GDP - and also to refinance the almost $8 trillion of government debt that matures in the coming year (almost a third of America’s sovereign debt).
The point is he is totally in hock to the good will of bonds investors.
And when he announced his reckless roster of massive tariffs eight days ago he alienated them, because they feared he would tank the economy such that tax revenues would plummet and the deficit would balloon.
So they sold US government bonds, Treasuries, and the yield on the bonds - the de facto interest rate - soared.
Which is why Trump blinked, and put on hold the more extreme tariffs, except for the 140% on China, for 90 days.
You might think the worst part of this is the uncertainty he has created for businesses and investors for the next 90 days. Since no one in their right minds would make a major US investment till the final tariff determinations are made.
But the cancerous uncertainty is not the worst of it.
The worst of it is he has shredded any respect that overseas governments and investors might have had for America’s economic and fiscal competence.
Shades - you might say - of how Truss and Kwarteng’s unwise unfunded tax cuts undermined the perceived fiscal competence of the UK.
But unlike Truss and Kwarteng, there is pretty much no mechanism for removing Trump.
All of which means that bond and stock markets will remain fragile and volatile - fearful that Trump will regain his mojo and engage in some other fiscal extravagance.
He has also handed a loaded gun to his perceived enemy, China, and his supposed ally Japan.
This matters in both cases, because he is engaged in the mother of all trade wars with China - and Japan wants a trade deal with him that would see it escape mega tariffs.
The loaded guns they have are their massive loans to the US government. Japan owns more than a trillion dollars of US Treasuries and China not much less.
If they were to sell those bonds, or even if they chose not to refinance maturing bonds, that could be a disaster for Trump. Because it could cause another potentially crippling spike in bond yields.
Here is the measure of Trump’s debacle.
He may well have trashed America’s single most important financial competitive advantage, namely that investors have traditionally bought the dollar and US Treasuries at a time of economic and political uncertainty.
No more - because he personally has become the world’s source of economic uncertainty snd anxiety.
So, as I say he, is now in a fiscal prison. And if bond investors, including Japan and China, see him imposing tariffs or cutting taxes in ways they don’t like, they learned yesterday they have the means and power to stop him.
@McFaul@grok What’s your best guess cost estimate of this visit, including the preparations for the original intent of visiting the dog sledge event. Break it down to the main cost categories.
@kenklippenstein@AKDay89 Are you this ignorant on purpose to test your readers’ intelligence..? 1) Goldberg assessed and treated the messages as sensitive. 2) If the administration had testified it was classified he would not have published. 3) They testified it was NOT sensitive, therefore he published.
@grok@datgoodDeShawn@historyinmemes@grok A few hours ago you gave this opposite answer to the same fact check question. 1) Why do you give two completely different answers? 2) What’s the correct answer?
No, the claim about spiral structures 600m beneath the Great Pyramid is likely false. No credible sources support it, and the depth is geologically implausible. Recent discoveries show shallower features like hallways and L-shaped anomalies, not spirals. The image is a conceptual diagram, not evidence.
Zelensky has thanked Trump, Congress, and the American people many times.
But let's be clear: when Trump and Vance said that THEY are trying to help Ukraine right now, and need to be thanked for the work personally, there are reasons to wonder. 1/ THREAD
@danbychoi@Eilertbredo Regnestykket går opp: Én overgang til annet merke er én mindre Tesla solgt og i bruk på sikt. Det er også demokratisk fordi man aksepterer andres (kjøperens) syn på saken. Ingen påstår det «endrer verden», men helt fint å markere avstand ved å ikke kjøpe merkevaren hans.
@OleAsbjoernNess@DagLovold Velge side? Saken i DN handler om å jobbe for at Norge ikke rammes av EUs (eventuelle) tollmur som svar på USAs (eventuelle) straffetoll mot EU. Det handler om å sikre Norges interesser - ikke om å «velge side».
@espenteigen Hvor har du dette fra? Det er jo stikk motsatt: Biden-administrasjonen jobber for å STOPPE en avtale («plea deal») som lar tre 9/11-tiltalte erklære seg skyldig og dermed unngå dødsstraff. https://t.co/P69k3n43nf
As Donald Trump prepares to pardon people convicted for their role in the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol, it's worth looking at what leading Republicans said in the immediate aftermath of that day's violence.
A thread:
@JarleAarstad@espenteigen Ja. Bare å starte med hovedpunktene på nettsiden, og så følge lenkene som gir mer detaljerte data, og til slutt Dødsårsaksregisteret.
Er din og Teigens hypotese her at FHI har konspirert om å lage en løgnaktig framstilling av dødelighet fra 2015-2024?
@JarleAarstad Ja. NTB-artikkelen siterer NHI på at dødeligheten har gått ned 20% fra 2015 til i dag, i alle deler av befolkningen.
Dokumentert på NHIs nettsider https://t.co/FytK5iuQ0n
@MoodRobert@VGanders@vgnett Hvor står det at VG mener han ikke er kvalifisert? De siterer Paul Riechoff på at han mener Hegseth er den *minst kvalifiserte* av nominerte forsvarsministere gjennom USAs historie.
@historyinmemes Apple filed for the “iPhone” trademark in several countries as early as 2002, sparking speculation about a potential product. The tech community had speculated about it since early 2000 and the name “iPhone” was frequently proposed in fan forums and tech blogs.
🧵I’ve read through the evidence section—the first 85 pages—of Jack Smith filing on Trump’s private criminal efforts to stay in power despite knowing that he’d lost the election.
The evidence is stunning. It’s clear why Trump did not want the public to see this testimony.
13 things jumped out to me on Trump’s attempt to defraud the American people and steal the 2020 election.