ME

[ME @BForzale]

@raijinhid Big mistake omg

[ME @BForzale]

Tean wants to sell at the better price, we will be more near than 0,7 than 0,4 by wednesday. And 1$ next week-end ... $JUP

[an6y.jpg | ⌥ @an6y_jpg]

Were we all wrong in saying $JUP is going to $2-$3?
Yes, obviously, but also no.

We didn’t understand the new mechanics on this new type of launch.

The demand was there. Around $125m sent $JUP to $0.7. If this would have been a normal launch the price predictions would have hit.

But why didn’t this happen?
@JupiterExchange setting and clearly communicating the DLMM price settings automatically created a psychological resistance price for traders at $0.7, which in reality was quite the opposite. At 0.7 the DLMM liquidity (volatility resistance) was gone, proper parabolic price discovery would have been possible.

A lot of demand/volume was handled via OTC deals on @WhalesMarket. @HGEABC alone bought around 9m tokens there.

@JupiterExchange supplying sooo much liquidity completely halted any type of parabolic price discovery. Good for accumulators and airdrop dumpers. Bad for bots, traders, degens and moon boys aka volatility lovers.

If you want to know how much this liquidity is keeping the $JUP price in check simulate at $1m USDC buy on $JUP and $PYTH.
Slippage:
$JUP: 1.32%
$PYTH: 32.7%

A quick linear extrapolation: with $125m in buying pressure with a normal launch pool would have catapulted the $JUP price to around $2-$3 post launch.

What does this mean?
1. The launch worked as intended, the mechanics are spot on and probably as fair as can be for a token launch. Great stuff @weremeow
2. On Wednesday the @JupiterExchange DLMM pools gets pulled. The price then will determine the circulating supply for the next 12 months. @ $0.7 or above there will be 1.35b tokens available, @ or below $0.4 it will be 1.1b tokens after the team removes the DLMM. Both are bullish in their own way. Either @JupiterExchange raises a huge amount of $ to build great tech or we see a circulating supply cut. The truth will probably be somewhere in between.
3. Imo we can expect some sort of bullish news leading up to Wednesday, most likely staking. Why? @JupiterExchange want to get as close to $0.7 as possible to raise as much as possible.
4. Once the DLMM pool is removed volatility will return, traders will return, volume will increase and a moon mission could be set in motion.

I‘m comfortable holding my free airdrop.

What’s your take?
Do you like the mechanics?
How will this work for future launches, now that we know how it works?

[ME @BForzale]

@GianTrades I don’t think so :/

[ME @BForzale]

@bookofbrin @KyleReidhead @MeteoraAG Where is the pool Jup mate ? I see only jup/sol jup/usdc ect

[ME @BForzale]

@nftsk007 Will come back in 2 weeks 😊

[ME @BForzale]

@indragiri313 🤡🤡

[ME @BForzale]

@ChubzDynasty @JupiterExchange @weremeow Marketcap is 800M DYOR

[ME @BForzale]

@StrictlySeabass You are :/

[ME @BForzale]

@geezasol @Uniswap @JupiterExchange They will never understand what they should buy ...

[ME @BForzale]

@Picolas_Caged New token, no liquidity use dca

[ME @BForzale]

@chriswoelfer86 3$ ...

Be realistic mate hahaha

Will open around 0,5$

[ME @BForzale]

$Jup between 0,4 and 0,5 at launch and we good

[STREET FIGHT HARD 🥊🔞 @streetfighthard]

Gets me every time

[ME @BForzale]

@llSevenllll @Ninjascalp Yeap $Ray for sure

[ME @BForzale]

@0xTapout @wenwencoin People are taking profit after x2,5.

Wait few weeks to sell in profit.

All eyes on JUP and sol rn

[ME @BForzale]

@vebits You just dropped it and got your royalties, was expecting so much more

[ME @BForzale]

@vebits I love your project but you didn’t promote it, look at your last tweet on it ?

You don’t talk about it, you don’t add storytelling on it, super disappointed, was a nice project

[ME @BForzale]

@Ghost_INJ 100-150$ will be more than enough for inj