BigErnBets

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[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

This is as bad it will get. Worst day of betting for me ever. Pinning this for fuel 🫡.

❌️Hunter Greene u4.5 Hits Allowed
❌️Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Strikeouts
❌️Eury Perez o5.5 Strikeouts
✅️Robert Gasser u5.5 Strikeouts

❌️Reds -1.5
❌️Rockies F5 +0.5

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

7/25 FULL CARD

Hunter Greene u4.5 Hits Allowed (+105)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Strikeouts (-103)
Eury Perez o5.5 Strikeouts (-139)
Robert Gasser u5.5 Strikeouts (-128)

Reds -1.5 (+160)
Rockies F5 +0.5 (+105)

Hunter Goodman HR (+255)
Pete Alonso HR (+300)
Sam Antonacci (+800)

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Taking Nola and Conine simultaneously getting pulled from the game as a sign from God.

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Run it Back 😤😤😤
(Don't tail)

Aaron Nola o5.5Ks
Gage Jump o1.5 BBs
Astros F5 ML
Red Sox F5 -0.5

HRs:
Wood ☢️
Greene 💣
Conine 🚀

Can we bounce back?

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Run it Back 😤😤😤
(Don't tail)

Aaron Nola o5.5Ks
Gage Jump o1.5 BBs
Astros F5 ML
Red Sox F5 -0.5

HRs:
Wood ☢️
Greene 💣
Conine 🚀

Can we bounce back?

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

❌️ Wheeler (pulled at 68pc to start the 4th)
❌️Mahle(nearly hitless)
❌️Yankees F5 -0.5 (Sox tie it in the Bot 5th)
❌️WSH o4.5 Runs (8 runners left on)

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Full Card

Zack Wheeler o7.5 Ks (+105)
Tyler Mahle o4.5 HA (-145)

CJ Abrams HR (+300)
Seiya Suzuki HR (+400)
Brice Turang HR (+700)

Nationals o4.5 Total Runs (-135)
Yankees F5 -0.5 (-115)

Nice and light looking for the bounce back 🫡

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Pulled at 68PC to start the 4th. I am going to crash out.

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Full Card

Zack Wheeler o7.5 Ks (+105)
Tyler Mahle o4.5 HA (-145)

CJ Abrams HR (+300)
Seiya Suzuki HR (+400)
Brice Turang HR (+700)

Nationals o4.5 Total Runs (-135)
Yankees F5 -0.5 (-115)

Nice and light looking for the bounce back 🫡

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Full Card

Zack Wheeler o7.5 Ks (+105)
Tyler Mahle o4.5 HA (-145)

CJ Abrams HR (+300)
Seiya Suzuki HR (+400)
Brice Turang HR (+700)

Nationals o4.5 Total Runs (-135)
Yankees F5 -0.5 (-115)

Nice and light looking for the bounce back 🫡

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

The last two days have been miserable.

Back to the drawing board.

🪝Framber Valdez o4.5 Ks (-111)
❌️Ronel Blanco o5.5ks (+103)
❌️Cristopher Sanchez o7.5 Ks (-106)
✅️Kyle Freeland u4.5 Ks (-134)
✅️Pirates F5 -0.5 -110
✅️Angels ML -110

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Full Card with HR Looks

Framber Valdez o4.5 Ks (-111)
Ronel Blanco o5.5ks (+103)
Cristopher Sanchez o7.5 Ks (-106)
Kyle Freeland u4.5 Ks (-134)

Pirates F5 -0.5 (-110)
Angels ML (-110)

HRs:
PCA
Ryan Jeffers
Nolan Arenado

Avoided the reverse sweep. Attack, attack, attack 😤

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Full Card with HR Looks

Framber Valdez o4.5 Ks (-111)
Ronel Blanco o5.5ks (+103)
Cristopher Sanchez o7.5 Ks (-106)
Kyle Freeland u4.5 Ks (-134)

Pirates F5 -0.5 (-110)
Angels ML (-110)

HRs:
PCA
Ryan Jeffers
Nolan Arenado

Avoided the reverse sweep. Attack, attack, attack 😤

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

@ZMjar69 Getting FRIED rn

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

HE OWNS THE METS 😤😤😤

Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Ks (-103)

The Mets got pieced up by Sasaki last night and it's Yamamoto's turn tonight.

The Mets have allowed 4 of their last 6 RHP opponents to cross this line over their last 10 games.

More below:

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Dylan Cease is insane.

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

@PropKitchen Just sent this exact screenshot into the discord 😂😂😂.

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

@PropKitchen Make it make sense.

Challenge Level: Impossible

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

I will call this early.

Will not get off of his Sinker. Barely throwing a Slider at all here.

Currently:
Sinkers - 17
Sliders - 6

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

HE'S BEEN ELECTRIC ⚡️

Eury Perez o5.5 Strikeouts (-139)

Tougher matchup on paper, as the Padres only have garnered a 19.2% K rate vs. RHPs in their last 10 games, but Eury has been electric over his last 6 games.

More below:

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

7/25 FULL CARD

Hunter Greene u4.5 Hits Allowed (+105)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Strikeouts (-103)
Eury Perez o5.5 Strikeouts (-139)
Robert Gasser u5.5 Strikeouts (-128)

Reds -1.5 (+160)
Rockies F5 +0.5 (+105)

Hunter Goodman HR (+255)
Pete Alonso HR (+300)
Sam Antonacci (+800)

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

The Mets struggle incredibly versus the Splitter, Yama's go-to pitch, and give off a Whiff Rate of 37.1% season long (44.7% over the last 10).

H2H Yama has crushed the mets and averages 8Ks per game with a K rate of 32.4%. Over in 9 of 18 so far, Yama has a great spot to hit 10

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

In that span, their season long K% has jumped from 22.2% to 25.7%.

Juan Soto was pulled from last night's game and was scheduled to have imaging done today, so there is a very solid potential he misses tonight. Soto has ranked dead last on the team in K% at just 13.4%.

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

We should see a near 30% usage rate out of Eury's slider here where the Padres hold an average whiff rate of 34.9%.

Given his velo, recency, and exact pitching mix this should be another great outing for Perez. Ladder to 9 is fully a possibility here.

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

HE'S BEEN ELECTRIC ⚡️

Eury Perez o5.5 Strikeouts (-139)

Tougher matchup on paper, as the Padres only have garnered a 19.2% K rate vs. RHPs in their last 10 games, but Eury has been electric over his last 6 games.

More below:

[BigErnBets @BigErnBets]

Posting a K rate of 33.9 and a Whiff rate of 30.7 in that span. He has average 7 Ks per game and crossed this line in 5 of those games.

In this same span, the Padres have given it up to 5 of their last 6 opponents on the mound.