Liquidity conditions are still stable this week, but the structure underneath is shifting slightly.
The Blockcircle Global Liquidity Scorecard (GLS) shows global money supply continuing to lean toward easing, with the global score holding at 70/100. China remains in easing mode while the US and Europe stay neutral and Japan and the UK continue tightening. That mix keeps global liquidity stable rather than strongly expansionary.
The most noticeable change this week is in the Reverse Repo facility. Money parked at the Fed has dropped sharply to around $227M, continuing the trend of cash leaving the facility and moving back into the financial system. That is usually a constructive signal because it means idle liquidity is returning to markets.
US net liquidity remains around $5.82T and is still classified as neutral. Compared with last week the level has improved slightly, but the broader 50-period trend is still sideways rather than expanding. In other words, liquidity is not contracting, but it is not accelerating either.
Short term funding markets remain tight. Overnight lending sits around 3.66% and funding conditions are still flagged as tight even though the policy backdrop is easing.
Looking across markets, both the BTC/M2 ratio and the S&P500/M2 ratio are currently tracking liquidity rather than outperforming it. That suggests capital is following the liquidity cycle but not aggressively front running it yet.
Putting it together, the GLS summary reads: liquidity stable, funding tight, policy easing, markets neutral.
Compared with last week the biggest shift is the continued draining of the RRP facility and a slight stabilization in net liquidity. Compared with last month the system is gradually moving from contraction toward stability, but the expansion phase has not fully started yet.
For investors this usually means patience still matters. Liquidity is improving slowly, which supports long term positioning, but the environment is not yet the kind that typically fuels aggressive speculative runs.
Markets right now are waiting for the next real expansion in liquidity rather than reacting to it.
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