Formerly ElectionProjection

This is Scott Elliott. I used to run an election website called

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Today's GOP, where a man can be a man.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

I'm so encouraged by the developments that are occurring since the election of DJT, but I do wonder if it will continue in 2 and 4 years from now. Is this a movement based on a man, or a true sea change based on an ideological shift?

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Add'em up! That's over 212 million votes. No other political candidate in United States history across all offices and all careers has ever received more. Donald J Trump is the most voted for person in our nation's great history.

[Charlie Kirk @charliekirk11]

The largest popular vote totals by a Republican presidential candidate in American history:

1 - 🔴 Trump 2024 - 74,845,955 (and counting)
2 - 🔴 Trump 2020 - 74,223,975
3 - 🔴 Trump 2016 - 62,985,106

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

@EricLDaugh @elonmusk This is the most impactful event of the election. That may be a bit of an overstatement, but it is truly hard to overstate the impact of Musk's acquisition. (yeah, I know I just overstated it...but you know what I mean)

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Here's a fact for you... after three nationwide presidential elections, Donald J. Trump owns more votes than any single candidate in the history of the United States. Over 200 million!!

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

@EricLDaugh @EricLDaugh
can you speak to the low early ED turnout in Clark? We should be up big, not down slightly at this point in the day.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

The rhetoric of the Democratic Party in 5 words...

"Every accusation is a confession"

Perfectly stated.

[Clint Russell @LibertyLockPod]

Just now: Oprah says that if Trump wins, "it is entirely possible that we will never have the opportunity to cast a ballot again"

Friendly reminder that no one voted to make Kamala Harris the democrat party's nominee. Every accusation is a confession.

[2WAY @2waytvapp]

Top Democratic strategist Jim Messina calling early voting numbers “scary” on MSNBC “is the biggest indication we’ve seen that the early vote is a problem for” Kamala Harris, says @MarkHalperin. Messina’s comments are “brutal honesty. Look at every major urban center in the swing states and there is not one — not Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta, Las Vegas or Phoenix — where Democrats are doing well. And the problem is two voting blocs. It's Blacks, Latinos and people of color and young voters.”
#HarrisWalz #Trump @2waytvapp

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

@EricLDaugh He thinks the fix is in. Without those the extra days to receive ballots, he would have predicted the other way.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

I wish I had held to my 7 point Trump win in the national vote.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Predictions coming soon. Here's a teaser: I'm dialing back my initial assertion that Trump would win the popular by 7 (although I certainly still think that's very possible). My official popular vote prediction will be around 4 to 5 percent for Trump.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Looking at data coming out today regarding early vote turnout and indies preference, I'm starting to think my predictions are too blue.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

They waited a couple hours in both 2016 and 2020 to call South Carolina for Trump.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Watch South Carolina on election night. If they call it for Trump when the polls close, Trump will win the election.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

@jeremymoorenc Correction. Lol. It was Biden by THIRTEEN among indies, 54 to 41.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Correction: Trump up 5 among indies. Implications unchanged.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Finding the nugget of truth in an otherwise ludicrous national poll from Marist.... Among independents, Trump leads by 7! That's landslide territory and precludes an electorate that has more Dems than Gopers.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

@jeremymoorenc Their model is D+4. In 2020, the electorate was D+1. No way this year is more Democrat than 4 years ago. Oh, and by the way, Biden won indies by ELEVEN in 2020!

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

For those worried about Dobbs...

[Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh]

BREAKING: New memo confirms that Democrats are facing a huge turnout issue in the battlegrounds.

PA: Urban turnout is down 381K votes, female turnout is down 450K votes.

WI: Urban down 100K, female down 238K.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Finding the nugget of truth in an otherwise ludicrous national poll from Marist.... Among independents, Trump leads by 7! That's landslide territory and precludes an electorate that has more Dems than Gopers.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

Senate prediction....

GOP sweeps the rust belt states and ends up with 56 or 57 seats

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

I believe the big story on election night will be Trump's performance with Democrats - recall the 'Reagan Democrats' - especially among Latinos.

[Formerly ElectionProjection @bloggingcaesar]

The issues are in our favor, the candidates are in our favor, even the polls are in our favor. Let's go execute and we got this big!