The market is dropping in response to the Fed's first meeting with Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair for one key reason:
We will have far less information going forward.
During the press conference today, Fed Chair Warsh announced that the Fed has "dropped" forward guidance.
He even hinted that the "dot plot" could be changed or eliminated along with all forms of Fed communication, such as the policy statement and press conferences.
In other words, the market will now have less Fed outlook which means more uncertainty.
On top of this, the five new "task forces" established by Warsh were said to have grand objectives with minimal guidance on what to expect.
As markets have repeatedly proven, uncertainty and volatility go hand-in-hand.
The new era of Fed policy will come with more volatility.
Today I initiated a position in Boeing $BA.
Perhaps the most hated company of the decade. There was a time where planes were falling out of the sky often and the company responsible for that was Boeing.
I am banking on Boeing as a turnaround play. Ever since COVID, the company has not touched real operational profitability in a single year - I believe that will change soon.
In the past 5 years, the share price is -3.5%.
To give some background, this company has been badly hurt by order cancellations and regulatory hurdles in the past, and it all stems from a poor management (under former CEO, Dave Calhoun) that did not take care of engineering defects and let it go in the push for beating Airbus in deliveries. This obviously backfired and if you watched the news, you have seen mentions of door issues, engine problems, etc.
They have been associated with some deadly crashes in aviation history, even if the company was not responsible for it after further investigation. Ex. Air India in June 2025.
My thesis:
It is obvious enough to me that the USG would never let Boeing go out of business and the first admission of proof was during COVID when they received billions in a bailout.
Boeing operates as a duopoly with Airbus, with 59% market share in wide body aircraft and 40% in overall commercial market, with 56% being Airbus.
Inherently, aircraft manufacturing is not easy. The government cannot wake up one day and decide to let Boeing go out of business and build up another aircraft manufacturer - its impossible.
There are natural barriers to entry such as regulations and capital intensity, and despite their recent incidents, Boeing is still one of the most reliable manufacturers.
This being said, Boeing has struggled with profitability for several years now.
2019: -$636M
2020: -$11.87B
2021: -$4.2
2022: -$4.93B
2023: -$2.22B
2024: -$11.82B
2025: $2.23B ✅ (first year of profitability since 2018)
In 2025, they came away with a profitable year...but this was a "fugazi" profitable year caused by a $9.6B gain in divestment of Digital Aviation Solutions Business. $2B profit on $10B gain...they would've been about -$8B in net income without it.
In 2026 without any divestment, they are projected to finish the year with $745M NI.
> The total backlog has grown to $695B, including 6,100 commercial planes. Last year it was $545B and 5,600 planes. A 27.5% and 9% increase, respectively.
> As of April 2026, they have made 600 deliveries (most since 2018).
> Wiring issue has been resolved and deliveries are back on pace.
On top of this, for 2027, they expect commercial airlines to post a profit for the first time in years.
Analysts expect $4.5B for NI in FY2027, and EPS of $4.11...and then doubling to $8.35 in 2028.
That being said, analysts are not always right so this should be taken with a grain of salt. However, commentary from Boeing's management on deliveries and turn in profitability has been positive.
Another area they are growing in is defense, space, & security. A 21% revenue growth YoY and +0.6% increase in operating margin. Backlog in this segment has reached $86B, up nearly 39% YoY.
There have been concerns about the high debt, but the company has been paying off their debt while maintaining a strong cash position.
"Cash and marketable securities ended at $20.9 billion, primarily reflecting debt repayments and free cash flow usage in the quarter. Debt balance ended at $47.2 billion, down $6.9 billion in the quarter on the pay-down of maturing debt, consistent with our debt reduction plans. There are $1.4 billion of maturities left in the year. We also maintain access to credit facilities of $10 billion, all of which remain undrawn, and we remain committed to strengthening the balance sheet and supporting our investment-grade rating."
For this company, the negativity for the most part is already priced in, but any surprised of profitability sooner than 2027 or even on time will lead to a massive rerating in the share price.
New 🚨
We just received 14 stock trades from Rep. Tim Walberg
~$50K buy of $CAT (Caterpillar)
~$50K buy of $LHX (L3Harris)
~$50K buy of $ETN (Eaton)
- And more ...
1. This is first time he's ever traded stocks
2. Most of his buys were disclosed 482 days late
3. His biggest gainer was $CAT, up ~158% since his 2/7/25 entry
Makes us wonder how many politicians are hiding their trades from the public
$HOOD - ROBINHOOD LAUNCHES TRUMP ACCOUNTS APP
Robinhood has released its official Trump Accounts app.Parents can now open a Trump Account to invest in their child’s future.
Eligible children born 2025–2028 will receive a $1,000 starter contribution from the U.S. Treasury.
The app is available for download today — a major step toward long-term financial security for millions of kids.
One of my favorite signals in the market:
Buying stocks below CEO purchase prices.
• $SOFI CEO bought $1M worth of shares at $17.88, another $500K at $17.32, then another $500K split between $15.73 and $16.00. Today, $SOFI trades at $15.57.
• $NOW CEO bought $3M at $105, saying the stock can 10x from here. Today, the stock trades at $101.
• $NKE CEO and Tim Cook each bought $1M at $42 (after previously buying around ~$60). Today, the stock trades at $42.
• $HIMS repurchased $80M worth of shares in Q4 at an average price of $39 because management considered it undervalued. Today, the stock trades at $23.
Insiders sell for many reasons.
They buy for one.
CEO buying activity is one of the strongest signals investors can track.
We found another stock ✍
Six politicians have been buying $NOW (ServiceNow) in 2026:
Byron Donalds: ~$30K
Tony Wied: ~$50K
Ro Khanna: ~$15K
Charles Fleischmann: ~$15K
Josh Gottheimer: ~$15K
Michael McCaul: ~$15K
And the fact that Khanna is buying makes it even more compelling
Here's why:
1. He bought SanDisk 8 months ago
2. That stock is up over ~3,000% since
3. ServiceNow "maybe" could be the next SanDisk (we'll see)
BREAKING: Yesterday Donald Trump filed his entire personal stock portfolio
So we recreated his top 20 holdings and launched it on Autopilot for the world to invest alongside
Here's the breakdown & possible conflicts of interest
1. ServiceNow $NOW: est. owns ~$3.3M
No major details on possible connections
2. Nvidia $NVDA: est. owns ~1.6M
Has tweeted about Nvidia multiple times
3. Dell $DELL: est. owns ~3.1M
Told the world to "buy a dell" a couple months ago, has only bought
4. Oracle Corp $ORCL: est. owns ~$3.6M
Allegedly close to Larry Ellison
5. Costco $COST: est. owns ~$4.0M
Top Conviction Growth Names to own for the next 5 years -
AI Infrastructure
1. $NBIS
2. $IREN
3. $CIFR
4. $ALAB
Space
1. $FLY
2. $RKLB
3. $SATL
4. $PL
Defense
1. $ONDS
2. $OSS
3. $PLTR
Optics
1. $AAOI
2. $LWLG
3. $AXTI
4. $LITE
5. $MRVL
6. $CRDO
7. $LPTH
Energy
1. $AMPX
2. $TE
3. $EOSE
Fintech
1. $LMND
Quantum
1. $IONQ
These stocks has major potential to beat general market for many years.
The White House is quite literally telling you to buy these 5 sectors…
Rare Earths ~ $USAR, $MP, $CEG
Space ~ $RKLB, $PL, $ASTS, $LUNR
Chips ~ $AMZN, $AMD, $GOOGL, $TSM
AI Infrastructure ~ $CRWV, $NBIS, $ADUR, $CIFR
Defense ~ $ONDS, $PLTR
These names will squeeze over the next 8 months & make many rich.
Don’t miss out…
🚨 Domino's cae un 32% en bolsa en un año. Y Berkshire lleva 6 trimestres seguidos comprando.
🔴 Ventas mismo local EE.UU. Q1 2026: +0,9% (consenso esperaba +2,7%)
🔴 Ventas mismo local internacional: -0,4%
🔴 EPS: $4,13 (miss de $0,18 vs estimaciones)
$NKE
Tim Cook and $NKE CEO have both bought another $1 million worth of shares yesterday each
This is just before the price action reaches the 'Impossible level to ignore' price at $39
I suspect they know something
And they know good companies
The issue for $NKE is whether or not you believe they can turn it around and do you have the capability to hold to see this happen?
Tim Cook believes they can
$UNH Q1 EARNINGS
• Revenue $111.7B vs Est. $109.2B
• EPS $7.23 vs Est. $6.57
• Medical Care Ratio: 83.9%
FY26 Guidance
• EPS $18.25 vs Est. $17.75
Authorized a $2B stock buyback to be completed by the end of Q2 2026.