Tomek Bogunowicz

Alpha for AI, Robotics & Bitcoin | My fav picks:
$TSLA $BTC $SOL $MSTR $HIMS $HOOD $MTPLF $LMND $OPEN $PLTR $CRCL $ONDS $MU

[Tomek Bogunowicz @bogunowicz]

I am watching the price of oil like a hawk.

A barell price over $100 could send the fragile improving economic outlook back into a downward spiral.

If the war is prolonged (over four weeks), it will drive inflation, causing central banks to pause rate hikes. Paused or even higher interest rates would push us into a global risk-off environment.

Good for gold, bad for crypto and high-beta stocks.

[Fundamental Investing @Investinc_Intel]

$HIMS HOLDERS OPENING THE PORTFOLIO TODAY!

[Ash Crypto @AshCrypto]

Finally some bullish news.

Oil crashed -38% and hit a 3.5-month low of $74. It’s now $7 away from hitting $67, the level it was at before the US-Iran war started.

Low oil prices mean

- lower prices of goods
- lower inflation
- more chances of rate cuts

[BitcoinTreasuries.NET @BTCtreasuries]

JUST IN: Strategy's EVP Thomas Chow has just bought 100 Stretch $STRC shares and 11 $STRK shares for $9,998.

He bought the dip 🔥

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

Ship tracking data shows three Saudi-flagged supertankers with six million barrels of crude passed through the Strait of Hormuz Thursday, hours after the U.S.-Iran deal was signed.

[Vlad Tenev @vladtenev]

Congratulations to the 855,424 Robinhood customers who requested shares in the $SPCX IPO — you're now $SPCX owners. This was the largest IPO ever, and the largest for IPO Access.

When we launched IPO Access 5 years ago, we hoped it would open the door for more everyday investors to participate in moments like this, and it's been incredible to watch the vision become a reality.

Thank you for being part of it.

[Shibo @GodsBurnt]

Nobody is prepared for this…

Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC was super bullish.

9 of 18 members are NOT projecting a rate hike this year.

The markets are about to start pricing in rate cuts, liquidity injections, and assets like Crypto will fly.

The most insane rally we’ve ever seen in our lives starts TODAY.

Anyone who disagrees is an idiot who is missing the bigger picture.

Buy now or stay poor forever.

[Trade Whisperer @TradexWhisperer]

$MU $DRAM The most powerful CEOs on earth are telling you memory is in a structural transformation.

12 most important quotes.

"The future of artificial intelligence will be shaped as much by memory as by computing power." -Jensen Huang

"Go ahead and build memory fabs; however much capacity you add, NVIDIA will consume it." -Jensen Huang

"The whole industry supply chain, everything from wafers to packaging to silicon photonics... everything's in short supply because the demand is so high. It is going to persist for several years." -Jensen Huang

"The entire supply chain is challenging this year because demand is so much more. Supply has been growing 100% every year, but demand is going faster than that." -Jensen Huang

"I think it will be for quite a few years to come... Demand is so massive." -Jensen Huang

"I would say memory in advanced silicon, it's kind of the 25 times 25... From 80 gig to 2 terabytes is 25 times more memory per accelerator. And in that timeframe, you'll have about 25 times more accelerators. So 25 times 25 is 625 times." -Michael Dell (Dell CEO)

"Demand is in excess of the supply by quite a lot... So we have a severe shortage in memory silicon and also in some other areas." -Michael Dell (Dell CEO)

"As memory per accelerator and system scale expand simultaneously in AI infrastructure, a structure is forming where total memory demand increases by approximately 625 times. We are still in the early stages of technology adoption." -Michael Dell (Dell CEO)

"[US Expansion] is a tiny fraction of the memory that's needed, and in fact, even if you take the best case assumptions of the memory makers... it is not enough to meet the demand that is anticipated." -Elon Musk

"We see that tightness continuing into 2027, so we see durable industry fundamentals over the foreseeable future, driven by AI demand." -Sanjay Mehrotra (Micron CEO)

"AI actually wants to have a lot of HBM, and once you make the HBM...we have to use a lot of wafers... The current shortage could continue until 2030, so we expect more than a 20% shortage of the wafers." -Chey Tae-won (SK Group Chairman)

"Without the HBM memory, there is no AI supercomputer." -Jensen Huang

I've been calling the Context Trade since $62. It was never just my opinion.

What exactly are you waiting for?

[Cole Grinde @GrindeOptions]

Kevin Warsh is the right man for the job.

[Evan | Investments @NotA_Bull]

I’m so glad I was dollar cost averaging into $HOOD. We’re back at $100/share.

[Energy Headline News @OilHeadlineNews]

The oil shortage is ending — and now comes the glut - FT

[Cole Grinde @GrindeOptions]

GUYS, INTEREST RATES WILL BE CUT.

It’s silly to think otherwise.

Oil was the biggest overhang over the economy and now that the war in Iran is coming to a conclusion, we will see a huge drop in oil prices.

We’ve already started to drop to the $70’s which is down from $115/barrel at peak war escalation.

Kevin Warsh knows this.

I think investing in companies that are correlated with interest rates will be some of the better buys in the market going forward like $SOFI.

Mark my words.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

SUMMARY OF FED CHAIR WARSH'S STATEMENT:

1. Shorter Fed policy statement is intended to "give you the facts"

2. Forward guidance in Fed statement "not well-suited" to current policy state

3. Establishes new "independent task forces" in 5 key areas

4. Task forces will propose next steps including changes to the Summary of Economic Projections

5. The Fed will be maintaining its 2% inflation objective

6. Fed policy appears to be restrictive for housing, but not financial markets

A new era of Fed policy is ahead of us.

[Mike Alfred @mikealfred]

short SPCX / long BTC probably prints over the coming quarters. Watch and learn how value arbitrage works at massive scale.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged in its first policy decision with Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman.

[Joel @growthrapidly]

$HIMS ‘s little rally continues. It’s past $32 and on its way to $40! The market is finally recognizing its true value! It’s still very cheap at current price, though!

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: The US and Iran are discussing moving up the signing of the Iran deal from Friday to potentially as soon as today, per Axios.

If that happens, the MOU would be signed electronically, the parts of the deal concerning the Strait of Hormuz would go into effect, and the full text may be released.

[amit @amitisinvesting]

VANDA RESEARCH:

In the last 3 trading days, retail investors have bought the same amount of SpaceX $SPCX as they also bought in the following stocks combined…

$NVDA $GOOGL $META $SPY $QQQ $AMZN $MSFT

Retail really wants more SpaceX.

[Cole Grinde @GrindeOptions]

I really do think that Tesla is on the verge of its next leg higher.

We are seeing increased production and manufacturing across-the-board globally for all their operations.

From megapacks to EV‘s, AI, FSD, semi’s to superchargers and all the other products Tesla is offering, they’re all growing.

Over the next 1 to 4 years, we are going to see this stock explode higher.

Whether or not they merge with SpaceX is irrelevant imo, we will still see the stock grow quite handsomely from $400 to over $2600 over the coming years..

There is increased margin, expansion, profitability, and manufacturing capacity happening at record levels.

This doesn’t even include the Optimus robot, which should be launching in the next 1 to 3 years at scale.

Giga Texas is actively building the Optimus factory and the data center that will be the brains behind it.

Tesla is actively investing in capex and it will exceed $25 billion this year. That’s not including any acquisitions or adjacent investments they decide to make on top of that.

The Terafab in partnership with $SPCX will also be a huge boost to the long term thesis around Tesla. It will increase domestic supply of AI chips.

$TSLA is undervalued here just based off their growth that’s coming.

Buying under $400 is ideal.

[Insiderwave @insiderwave_]

🚨NEW TRADES ALERT

Senator John Boozman just disclosed up to $675k worth of new trades.

Including buying $PLTR for the first time ever.

This is notable because $PLTR is a major government defense contractor.

Boozman sits on the Defense Subcommittee, where he helps oversee Department of Defense budget.

[Cole Grinde @GrindeOptions]

KEVIN WARSH WILL BRING POSITIVE VIBES TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE TOMORROW.