Boring War

Looking at war without bravery and derring do, but from the point of view of logistics, finance, production, boredom and skepticism. All periods covered.

[Boring War @BoringWar]

Hi All. An update for all the new followers here. Boring War, with its focus on the non-glamorous and glamourised aspects of war, will be launched in a few months. Until then, the account will only tweet sporadically. However, the plan is to be more active later in the year.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Hi all, just sent out this post. Trump and Putin tried very hard to corner Zelensky and put him in a terrible position. In return he has shown that the best way to deal with both bullies is to stand up to them and dont play by their rules. Its a lesson Europe must learn now.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Always remember Trump is not looking to make a deal, he’s not mediating between Ukraine and Russia, he’s not going back and forth, etc. He wants Putin to succeed and would be more than happy to see Ukraine suffer.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Got some stick about this post this morning, but would say it’s proven to be exactly right. European leaders have been humiliated (once again) by their pandering to Trump. And this time they have boxed Zelensky in shamefully.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Hello All, just sent out my free weekend update. The last 24 hours confirms the reality of European weakness. European leaders pretended that Trump was on their side, but when push comes to shove, Trump refuses to abandon Putin. It’s repetitive and depressing.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Just sent out this post. Trump is one of the worst negotiators in foreign policy history (as his deal with the Houthis shows). When it comes to Putin, he has already given away the farm, so that Putin’s negotiating floor now is higher than the ceiling would have been with Biden.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Hi Everyone, @MBielieskov and I are back with the latest episode of the Ukraine-Russia War Talk Podcast. We do a deep dive into the role if drones in defensive warfare and how they are influencing what we are seeing on the front line. This is free https://t.co/VRe3ZOSsgZ

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Hello All, just sent out my free weekend update. Was this the week that Putin made a major miscalculation? Trump offered him practically everything Putin could have wanted, and the Russian dictator turned it down. It was foolish.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

If you want a dose of reality this morning I just released this post on the minerals deal. It’s not historic, or even necessarily good for Ukraine. The reporting has been quake optimistic. Ukraine gets no security, weapons or support from it, but has given hostages to fortune

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Hi Everyone, I'm delighted to be able to say that Minna Alander's first post (free for everyone) has just been released on the S-Stak. She discusses the reports of Russian military preparations against the Baltics and Nordics--and points out that Trump's policy choices could determine just how threatening these steps become.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Putin is getting real concessions. Ukraine is only getting what any sovereign state is entitled to receive.
Also, Trump makes his sixth threat of sanctions on Russia but Steve Witkoff has a private meeting with Putin. Which do you think matters? Finally; Russia does not want a ceasefire? Really? It’s amazing how the Kremlin narrative spreads.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Hi All, just sent out weekend update #130 (yikes), free as all. It starts with a discussion of “concessions”. The Russian narrative is so strong in the west that Ukraine is being offered nothing by Trump and people are saying they are getting concessions.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Hi all, sent this free post out yesterday. European leadership has failed to this point, leaving the continent in a weak situation. Thankfully, Ukrainians resistance has given it a chance to save itself.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

I sent out this piece yesterday. Trump's final plan is basically Russia's plan, which would legitimize Russian conquests and provide Russia the best possible situation in which to rebuild its military--while giving Ukraine nothing. Europe needs to stand with Ukraine now.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

The Chinese think Trump is a weak chump. And the way he has handled this ridiculous trade war, they are likely right. https://t.co/tkp96rJO93

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

OK, sent out this free piece on the details of the Trump "final" plan for Ukraine that has been seen by Axios. The 5 points have basically been dictated by Putin. They set up a process which would allow Russia to expand into all of its neighbors.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Hi All, with all the news swirling around today of Trump trying to force Ukraine into a bad deal--and threatening to walk away if the Ukrainians refuse, I wrote this piece about the positive or negative ways that could work out for Ukraine. Alot of it comes down to how Europe and China react.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Looks like this Trump tweet was pleading aimed at Ukraine to get the Ukrainians to accept a deal that he has worked out with Putin. The deal is a Putin dream. Ukraine must legally hand over Crimea, gets no occupied territory back and is barred from NATO.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

If the USA selected the President and all Cabinet members by picking names of random US citizens out of a hat, the country would be better run than it is at present.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Just sent out my free weekend update. Two big stories this week. First the struggling Russian offensive shows that all the nonsense about the unstoppable Russian military and Ukraine on the point of losing was wrong.

[Marc Polymeropoulos @Mpolymer]

The “surrender to China” plan in full force. US soft power is meaningless to MAGA. The self inflicted destruction of the US continues….