The very pleasing bit -
All necessary approvals for the transfer of Blocks 3&4 have been obtained, including Ministerial Approval, with completion expected following issuance of the Royal Decree.
Both Blocks 3&4 and Block 9 have continued to produce and export uninterrupted throughout the recent developments in the wider area.
"The oil and gas produced from these assets is exported directly via the Arabian Sea, bypassing traffic in the Strait of Hormuz"
Every day that Brent and Gas trade at higher prices is a very good day for KISTOS.
No idea how long this messy situation drags out but I do know that cash from operations (optimistically or foolishly annualising $80 Brent) exceeds the market cap. Iโm using that level as thatโs the back end of curve even if the company doesnโt tap it. Should they? They donโt have a policy of doing so (unless to protect against capex or debt obligations) but I would favour maybe 25-35% of production being locked in - even on a rising front and back end.
If the group was net cash already the shares are more than double here so one question is when is that inflection or even close? I say that because holders have fond memories of Rockrose and thereโs obviously the scope to do even bigger deals whilst the probabilities of buybacks soars. Of course, itโs not all about price but itโs crucially volume and itโs extremely pleasing to see a high guide into 2030 (the first message to the market). Of course, Andrew and Peter are rapidly growing this again now (with the distraction and shock of the uk levy behind) so a 30,000-40,000boepd range is maybe more of a priority.
Oman shortly completes shortly and we know prices in the region are now nearing $170 (a huge premium over the benchmark).
Norway economics significantly improve in 2026 so this oil move is really substantial for the firm.
These two geographies comprise >70% of production with the surplus coming from Netherlands and UK.
The shares have underperformed a little lately but the longer they stay down the more they are underpinned. Management delivered mouth watering returns before and I do think this is shaping up for something special again.