I present data on bovine TB mainly in the UK. I also tweet on other subjects which interest me like climate change & Freedom of Information. I strive to inform.
@lorrainesright ... but managing bovine TB is not the issue. Surely the top priority for you has to be to ensure badger culling never returns regardless of what bovine TB levels are like.
HOW TEMPERATURES SINCE 2018-12-31 HAVE BROUGHT FORWARD THE 2°C CROSSING
If York data was used in IPCC AR6 to give temperatures up to 2018-12-31, temperatures since then have brought forward the 2°C crossing by 10yrs when the last 300 monthly points are used in a quadratic fit.
@WeRone777 Does that apply? I like to learn about what is happening & why these things happen. I am particularly interested in what does and does not drive government policy and behaviour. I try to gain understanding through illustrating data which are subject to FoI legislation.
LET US PRETEND 2°C BY MID 30'S WON'T HAPPEN
Let's pretend that we will not be in a 2°C world in the mid 30's so we can continue to spend vast amounts of money pumping carbon into the atmosphere on rail, roads and housing.
@jemmm85517813 At what set of consequences, do you think civilisation in the UK would collapse and associated adaption become impossible? Before that point is reached, what do you think adapting to accelerating AMOC degradation would involve doing?
@jemmm85517813 FOSSIL FUEL
A move away from cheap fossil fuel & transport which heavily relies on it can be threatening. Fossil fuel consumption is still central to what most think is necessary for easy life. Thats why awareness of global temperature trajectories & what this means is important.
@jemmm85517813 But UK gov can announce the risks & invest in things which will matter in 5 to 10 years time instead of things which may have no value & make emissions in those years far worse. Policy is currently based on old IPCC reports. Risk awareness has changed considerable in last 8 yrs.
HS2
"Nothing in current UK climate‑risk assessments suggests HS2 would become non‑viable as a high-speed transport system this century — only more expensive." Does this ignore prospect of crossing 2°C in mid 30's with accelerating AMOC degradation & seasonal weather extremes?
SOMETHING FOR THE FUTURE
Are attitudes to net zero changing?
"When I vote I'm thinking taxes, money... probably not the environment," says one, with another adding that cutting carbon emissions to net zero was "something for the future".
https://t.co/4SccVMAvnN
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES
Met Office HadCRUT5 Infilled Global Monthly Temperature Anomalies For Land and Sea relative to the 1850-01 to 1900-12 mean, extrapolated to 2°C.
@BanGaoRen@paulpowlesland@BeeColls BADGERS NOT THE CAUSE
"They know badgers aren't the cause but it's now a rural myth & easy low hanging fruit to yank on." These graphs show what has happened to bTB levels after badger culling started to be rolled out in 2016 & eligible herds gamma tested.https://t.co/GQcw5t4wDw
@BanGaoRen@paulpowlesland@BeeColls BADGERS NOT THE CAUSE
"They know badgers aren't the cause but it's now a rural myth & easy low hanging fruit to yank on." These graphs show what has happened to bTB levels after badger culling started to be rolled out in 2016 & eligible herds gamma tested.https://t.co/GQcw5t4wDw
SCIENCE-LED & DATA-DRIVEN
I wish more work was both science-led & data-driven. Work which is heavily science-led has to be policy driven. If the work of a university fails to support preferred policy both sanctioning of the work & government funding is more likely to be refused.