.vitaly ⚔️

quasi-linear convective system enjoyer

[NWS New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY]

An Extreme Heat Warning is now in effect for the entire tri-state region from Wednesday afternoon until Friday evening. Additionally, severe storms are possible Wednesday afternoon. See our latest briefing below.

https://t.co/LpL4h0XYMs

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

i gen just keep getting error messages

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

is the nws website working for anyone else

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

was trying to take a pic of the clouds and got photobombed

[Matthew Cappucci @MatthewCappucci]

Have weather forecasts seemed less accurate lately? There's a major contributing factor: nearly half the morning weather balloons in the Lower 48 are "missing."

This is an ongoing crisis that is degrading critical severe weather forecasts that we all rely on. It's having real, tangible impacts on degrading forecast quality.

If you work in transportation, agriculture or commerce, this should matter to you.

Regardless of the causes, this negatively affects people of ALL political backgrounds. Weather affects everyone. And it's impacting ALL of us negatively.

We can't look at weather balloon data that doesn't exist. We can't pump nonexistent data into models. We can't rely as heavily on models that don't "know" what's happening above our heads.

This is especially concerning for severe weather forecasts. We can't go 18 hours without ascertaining how the atmosphere is layered, how much storm fuel has built up and if severe thunderstorms are going to erupt. The Storm Prediction Center has even acknowledged forecasting frustrations in at least one public bulletin.

As an atmospheric scientist myself, I can say firsthand – the forecasts I'm able to offer you are less accurate than they would otherwise be. I'm not able to predict severe weather with the confidence I normally would. That is extremely concerning.

The United States is "supposed" to launch balloons at 0Z and 12Z ideally – a.k.a. around 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. Eastern time. That's not happening. Many sites, due to staffing issues stemming from broader political and organizational issues, have pushed to 18Z, or early afternoon. That's not helpful for morning severe weather forecasts. In other words, you get less lead time. Less advanced notice. Quicker ramp-ups and ramp-downs to the forecast.

We're not able to get jet stream, temperature, moisture or wind profiles of the atmosphere each morning like we otherwise would.

Moreover, the World Meteorological Organization encourages 12Z soundings; that data is shared via the Global Observing System (GOS) under the World Weather Watch (WWW). That's not happening.

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

i love how oklahoma decides to produce beautiful supercells when i’m not there like fuck you too

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

asperitas from earlier!

carmel, ny
#nywx

[OTUS Project @project_otus]

Intercept today in Jeffersonville, IL 🤯

[Collin Gross @CollinGrossWx]

Satellite loop of Von Kármán vortices spinning downwind of Guadalupe Island today! ☁️🌀☁️🌀

[Max Archer @MaxArcherWX]

This lightning in OKC is insane!!!

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

@CaprisunWx im so mad at you

[pais ♱ @ravensthr0at]

quick smiley vess because he is very dear to me 🖤 #sleeptoken

[Amelia Urquhart 🏳️‍⚧️ @ameliaUrquhart_]

Stratton NE storm just now

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

thinking about what types of clouds sleep token would be

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

autism has its perks

[the conspiratorial 17 @ornithization]

you should all take the oregon dept of fish & wildlife ‘wolf or coyote’ quiz with me https://t.co/jJ0kSqd9mh

[TornadoTRX @tornadotrx]

The Charleston, IL tornado literally dead-man walking before becoming rainwrapped yesterday.

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

@soapinspace yeah

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

@CaprisunWx it’s been so bad 🫩

[Zayac ||⚔️🌿 @kocosik]

Knight Vessel

#sleeptoken

[.vitaly ⚔️ @bowechoes]

the european mind cannot comprehend 70+ mph straight line winds