Deep value research and disciplined derivatives strategies. Building long-term wealth through steady alpha—because in markets, every basis point matters.
Full breakdown + our view 🎥
https://t.co/NQNYtGNKNT
Disclamer: We are not SEBI registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor before placing any trades
Understanding markets today requires understanding #geopolitics.
At #BasisPointCapital, we focus on the small structural shifts that compound over time.
Because in markets:
Small edges × Consistency × Time = Radical difference.
#EnergyMarkets#Geopolitics#OilMarkets #Investing #India #Macro #BasisPointCapital
Authority + Thought Leadership
For 50 years, the US barely built new refineries.
Meanwhile, the world's largest refinery complex sits in India.
Energy geopolitics is shifting — and India sits at the center of it.
A thread 🧵
Energy markets are evolving.
The question is no longer just:
Who produces oil?
The real question is:
Who refines it, transports it, finances it, and sells it.
Something unusual is happening in the options market 👀
The Nifty 25500 Put for 10 Mar is trading higher than the 25500 Put for 30 Mar (monthly expiry).
This should NOT normally happen.
Here’s why this matters 🧵
In options pricing, time = value.
Longer-dated options should always carry more premium because they include Theta (time value).
Normally:
Monthly PE > Weekly PE
But today the market flipped that logic.
BREAKING: First Missile Fired. Is The Bottom Already In?
Most traders will panic tomorrow.
We won’t.
Here’s why 👇
#Nifty50#StockMarket#ExpiryDay
History shows something interesting:
When the first missile is fired,
markets often price the worst immediately.
Fear spikes.
Volatility expands.
Weak hands exit.
And then?
Recovery begins.
📊 Sentiment is EXTREME.
* PCR at 0.45 → Deep pessimism
* High VIX → Fear premium inflated
* Expiry tomorrow → Fuel for sharp moves
When everyone expects collapse…
markets usually surprise.
#OptionsTrading #VIX
Look at cross-asset clues:
* Crypto bounced 62K → 67K
* No global panic unwind
* Institutions not dumping risk
This doesn’t look like systemic fear.
It looks like event pricing.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #GlobalMarkets
🔎 Tactical Levels – Nifty 25,000 PE (30 Mar)
Resistance:
* 250
* 400
Spike into these zones?
Shorting opportunity.
Why?
High IV = Expensive fear.
Professionals sell expensive fear.
#OptionChain #Derivatives
🔎 25,500 PE (ITM)
Resistance: 600
Currently ~450
If it approaches 600 →
Aggressive short-put setup.
That’s a bullish trade
🔎 25,000 CE
Support: 450
Dip toward 450?
Potential bounce trade.
Expect stop-hunts.
Expect volatility traps.
Expiry sessions reward discipline.
What we’re watching tomorrow:
✔ Crude oil trajectory
✔ Opening hour positioning
✔ IV crush possibility
✔ Institutional flow
Noise doesn’t move markets.
Positioning does.
#CrudeOil #MarketStrategy
Final Thought:
Social media thrives on fear.
Markets thrive on structure.
Declutter.
Trade levels.
Manage risk.
Smart money buys panic.
See you after expiry.
— Basis Point Capital
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Seasonality isn’t a strategy by itself… but it’s an edge worth tracking.
Yesterday, we looked at NIFTY’s March seasonality.
Today, shifting focus to Bank Nifty 👇
📊 Bank Nifty – March Performance (2004–2025)
• Avg return: +2.94%
• 75% of March months ended positive
• Consistently a strong historical month
Seasonality analysis across major indices is underway — stay tuned. 🔍📈
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered or authorised analysts. The charts and levels posted will only be for educational purposes.
Seasonality isn’t a strategy by itself… but it’s an edge worth tracking.
March has historically delivered for NIFTY 50👀📈
📊 Avg Return: +1.99%
✅ Positive 70% of the time
📅 Strong seasonal bias in March
Seasonality analysis across major indices is underway — stay tuned. 🔍📈
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered or authorised analysts. The charts and levels posted will only be for educational purposes.
#StockMarketIndia #Nifty50 #OptionsTrading #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #BasisPoint
Digital MOAT in making!
Short term pain, long term reward🔥
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Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered analysts. Do your own diligence before taking any financial decisions.
#CareerLauncher#CLEducate #StockMarketIndia #EdTech #Investing #BasisPoint