Here are Brady’s 19 career games with a passer rating of 85 or lower and an EPA/play of 0.200 or higher. He has 4 postseason games like this, including his last 2 conference title games.
Overall in the 19 games
EPA/play: 0.289
Passer rating: 77.5
Record: 15-4
Basically what this means is, even though his passer rating looks bad (77.5), he still played at a near-MVP level in these 19 games.
(A 0.289 EPA/play would’ve ranked 1st in 2017, 3rd in 2018/2019, and 4th in 2020)
Games with a passer rating of 85 or lower, but an EPA/play of 0.200 or higher (including playoffs)
Tom Brady - 19
Aaron Rodgers - 1
Overall, Brady’s EPA is positive (5.7) in games where his passer rating is 85 or lower. Rodgers is at -39 EPA in his games with a PR 85 or lower.
Air yards to the sticks 2020
Rodgers: -0.4
Mahomes: -0.3
Allen: -0.3
Wilson: 0
Watson: 0.2
Brady: 0.5
Negative numbers mean you relied on YAC for first downs. Positive means you threw it however many yards BEYOND the first down.
Brady lead the entire league in this regard
Air yards to the sticks 2020
Rodgers: -0.4
Mahomes: -0.3
Allen: -0.3
Wilson: 0
Watson: 0.2
Brady: 0.5
Negative numbers mean you relied on YAC for first downs. Positive means you threw it however many yards BEYOND the first down.
Brady lead the entire league in this regard
Tom Brady on 3rd down in his past 2 conference championship games had an EPA/play of 0.990 (via https://t.co/t2490T1uRB)
He went 16 for 22 passing for 276 yards (12.5 YPA), with all 16 completions going for a first down.
@ElvinRyan_FF @Mark_in_Mi How’d you say “no” when the lowest depth of target was the saints in 2020. Yards per attempt doesn’t show how far you’re throwing it on average.